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Mike Pento Warns Global Central Banks Are Entering The Danger Zone
Mike Pento Warns Global Central Banks Are Entering The Danger Zone Authored by Michael Pento via PentoPort.com, Investors are experiencing huge moves in commodities, currencies, equities and in sovereign debt across the globe. And now the fall has arrived. Expect the volatility currently witnessed in markets to only surge. This is because global central banks […]
Getting Serious About Debts and Deficits
Getting Serious About Debts and Deficits Photo Source CafeCredit.com | CC BY 2.0 With the possibility that the Democrats will retake Congress and press demands for increased spending in areas like health care, education, and child care, the deficit hawks (DH) are getting prepared to awaken from their dormant state. We can expect major news […]
Druckenmiller: We’re At The Point In The Rate-Hike Cyle Where ‘Bombs Are Going Off’
Druckenmiller: We’re At The Point In The Rate-Hike Cyle Where ‘Bombs Are Going Off’ Despite the consensus view heading into 2018 that the Treasury yield curve would finally steepen as the Federal Reserve raised interest rates 4 times in 2018 (and possibly again in 2019), driving US stocks lower as higher interest rates brought the […]
One Step Closer to Recession
One Step Closer to Recession As you know by now, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates again yesterday, its eighth increase since the rate hike cycle began in 2015. In his post-announcement press conference, Jerome Powell cited a strong economy, low unemployment, solid growth, etc. He said that “It’s a particularly bright moment” for the […]
Marty Feldstein Warns “Another Recession Looms…” And The Fed’s Out Of Ammo
Marty Feldstein Warns “Another Recession Looms…” And The Fed’s Out Of Ammo Authored by Martin Feldstein, op-ed via The Wall Street Journal, And unlike in the past, the Federal Reserve has little room to encourage growth by reducing rates… Ten years after the Great Recession’s onset, another long, deep downturn may soon roil the U.S. […]
The Fed’s Not Backing Off: Powell’s Standouts & Zingers at the Press Conference
The Fed’s Not Backing Off: Powell’s Standouts & Zingers at the Press Conference US is “on an unsustainable fiscal path, there’s no hiding from it.” I have to say, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is a breath of fresh air when he talks, after the near-physical pain I experienced listening to his last three predecessors. I […]
The Everything Bubble: When Will It Finally Crash?
The Everything Bubble: When Will It Finally Crash? Much like the laws of physics, there are certain laws of economics that remain constant no matter how much manipulation exists in the markets. Expansion inevitably leads to contraction, and that which goes up must eventually come down. Central banks understand this reality very well; they have […]
The Fed’s In A Box And People Are Starting To Notice
The Fed’s In A Box And People Are Starting To Notice It’s long been an article of faith in the sound money community that the Fed, by bailing out every dysfunctional financial entity in sight, would eventually be forced to choose between the deflationary collapse of a mountain of bad debt and the inflationary chaos […]
Free-Riding Investors Set up Markets for a Major Collapse
Free-Riding Investors Set up Markets for a Major Collapse Free riding is one of the oldest problems in economics and in society in general. Simply put, free riding describes a situation where one party takes the benefits of an economic condition without contributing anything to sustain that condition. The best example is a parasite on […]
Gold in the “Everything Bubble”: Effective Diversification?
Gold in the “Everything Bubble”: Effective Diversification? What do you do when nearly all asset classes are overvalued? Diversification is one of the oldest principles by which people try to hang on to their wealth, however little they might have. Don’t put all your eggs in one basket, it goes. Diversification is not designed to […]
Rethinking the Fed’s 2% Inflation Target: Spotlight On an Absurd Debate
Rethinking the Fed’s 2% Inflation Target: Spotlight On an Absurd Debate Is the Fed’s 2% inflation target too high or too low? That’s the big debate now amongst central bankers. The Wall Street Journal reports Policy Makers Rethink a 2% Inflation Target. From Ottawa to Oslo, policy makers have been considering whether that level of […]
The Great Financial Crisis: Bernanke and the Bubble
The Great Financial Crisis: Bernanke and the Bubble Ben Bernanke responded to Paul Krugman’s post last week, which agreed with my argument that the main cause of the Great Recession was the collapse of the housing bubble rather than the financial crisis. Essentially, Bernanke repeats his argument in the earlier paper that the collapse of […]
There’s a New Crash Coming
There’s a New Crash Coming Donald Trump is the epitome of irrational exuberance. You might remember that phrase from the 1990s. Alan Greenspan, the head of the Federal Reserve at the time, was describing how the tech boom was creating a bubble by generating enthusiasm way out of proportion to the actual value of the […]
The Dollar Shortage & China’s Bond Selling Are About To Corner the Fed
The Dollar Shortage & China’s Bond Selling Are About To Corner the Fed Earlier this week – news went by relatively unnoticed by the ‘mainstream’ financial media (CNCB and such) that Beijing’s started selling their U.S. debt holdings. Putting it another way – they’re dumping U.S. bonds. . . “China’s ownership of U.S. bonds, bills and notes slipped to […]
Leveraged Loan Demand Is Off The Charts As Dangers Mount
Leveraged Loan Demand Is Off The Charts As Dangers Mount Ten years after the crisis, demands for leveraged loan offerings is once again off the charts. Portfolio managers who are seeking rising yields as the Federal Reserve hikes rates have shown unprecedented demand for recent deals, despite repeated warnings that they may be buying “at the wrong […]
