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Tag Archives: oil production
Oil Rigs Down Almost Universally
Oil Rigs Down Almost Universally All rig count data is provided by Baker Hughes. All monthly charts are oil rigs only. Gas rigs are not included in the count. The last data point for all monthly charts is April 2015. When I talk about “peaks” in this post I am only speaking of the peak since 2011 and […]
Changes to Total Global Credit Affects The Oil Price
Changes to Total Global Credit Affects The Oil Price In some posts on Fractional Flow I have presented some of my explorations of any relations between the oil price, changes to global total credit/debt and interest rates. My objective has been to gain and share some of my insights of how I see the economic undertows […]
The U.S. Production Decline Has Begun
The U.S. Production Decline Has Begun It is not because of decreased rig count. It is because cash flow at current oil prices is too low to complete most wells being drilled. The implications are profound. Production will decline by several hundred thousand of barrels per day before the effect of reduced rig count is fully […]
Saudi Arabia: the great oil game
Saudi Arabia: the great oil game Saudi Arabia just increased oil production to a record level, never reached in previous history. They are doing that in a moment of record low oil prices. What do they have in mind? (Image from Arthur Berman) When the collapse of the oil prices started, in the summer of […]
No Steep Decline In U.S Oil Production Expected Anytime Soon
No Steep Decline In U.S Oil Production Expected Anytime Soon Increased oil output in the US has kept World oil output from declining over the past few years and a major question is how long this can continue. Poor estimates by both the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) and the Railroad Commission of Texas (RRC) […]
A Plot To Hold Down Oil Prices Or Just A Happy Coincidence?
A Plot To Hold Down Oil Prices Or Just A Happy Coincidence? The recent unprecedented surge in oil imports has again prompted a review of things here. In a prior story, we wrote that the lack of capacity to process light sweet crude at refineries produced via shale plays could be playing a role in the […]
Big Hit For U.S. Oil Production In January
Big Hit For U.S. Oil Production In January U.S. crude oil production fell at least 135,000 barrels of oil per day in January 2015 compared to December 2014 according to the EIA (Figure 1). Figure 1. U.S. crude oil production. Source: EIA and Labyrinth Consulting Services, Inc. (Click image to enlarge) Related: Latest EIA Predictions Should Be […]
Saudi Arabia’s Oil-Price War Is With Stupid Money
Saudi Arabia’s Oil-Price War Is With Stupid Money Saudi Arabia is not trying to crush U.S. shale plays. Its oil-price war is with the investment banks and the stupid money they directed to fund the plays. It is also with the zero-interest rate economic conditions that made this possible. Saudi Arabia intends to keep oil prices low for as […]
OPEC Says US Oil Boom Will End This Year
OPEC Says US Oil Boom Will End This Year OPEC says the demand for oil – its oil – will rise during 2015 because the cartel is winning its price war against US shale producers by driving them out of business. “Higher global refinery runs, driven by increased [summer] seasonal demand, along with the improvement […]
Is Saudi Arabia Setting The World Up For Major Oil Price Spike?
Is Saudi Arabia Setting The World Up For Major Oil Price Spike? In order to maintain a grip on market share by pushing U.S. shale producers out of the market, Saudi Arabia (and OPEC) is willing to use up its spare capacity. That could lead to a price spike. Saudi Arabia produced 10.3 million barrels per day […]
Latest EIA Predictions Should Be Taken With More Than A Pinch Of Salt
Latest EIA Predictions Should Be Taken With More Than A Pinch Of Salt The U.S. government released its landmark Annual Energy Outlook on April 14, with some rather bold predictions about the future of oil and gas. The EIA released the 2015 edition of its report at a Washington conferencehosted by the Center for Strategic and International Studies. […]
Harper’s Folly: Canada Losing $30+ Billion/Year on Tar-Sands Oil
Harper’s Folly: Canada Losing $30+ Billion/Year on Tar-Sands Oil Oil is our most-precious commodity as fuel for the global economy. It is also becoming a scarce commodity, as global production has flattened, while global demand continues to climb relentlessly, everywhere in the world except for the dying economies of Europe and North America. It is a classic […]
Who’s To Blame For The Oil Price Crash?
Who’s To Blame For The Oil Price Crash? When we think of the recent drop in oil prices, the question is not only who started it, but who’s responsible for keeping the prices falling. Probably no one would dispute that the price plunge began with the eager and copious production of oil from shale formations […]
Oil Market Knee-Jerk Reaction To Nuclear Deal Unjustified
Oil Market Knee-Jerk Reaction To Nuclear Deal Unjustified A group of exhausted diplomats did the unthinkable. The P5+1 countries and Iran came to a massive and historic framework agreement over Iran’s nuclear program, paving the way for a final deal to be hashed out before the real deadline in June. Negotiations went past the self-imposed […]
This Is What Will Determine If Oil Prices Go Up Or Down
This Is What Will Determine If Oil Prices Go Up Or Down It appears as if oil prices could be on the verge of a rebound, with new data showing that the U.S. oil patch is hitting an inflection point. While specific shale regions – such as North Dakota’s Bakken and Texas’ Eagle Ford – have posted […]



