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Blain’s Morning Porridge – July 29th 2019
Blain’s Morning Porridge – July 29th 2019 “I’ve seen things you people wouldn’t believe. Attack ships on fire off the shoulder of Orion. I watched C-beams glitter in the dark near the Tannhäuser Gate. All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain. Time to die.” The UK is a curious […]
Weekly Commentary: Fanning the Flames
Weekly Commentary: Fanning the Flames The Federal Reserve abandoned “data dependent” – at least for next week’s FOMC meeting. December futures imply a 1.78% Fed funds rate, up six bps for the week but still 62 bps below today’s 2.40% effective rate. Unless the Federal Reserve has completely caved to the markets, the Committee statement […]
End Game
End Game Well, here we are. All roads have led to here. The combustion case outlined in April, the technical target zone outlined in January of 2018. Trade wars, 20% correction in between, Fed capitulation in response, slowing growth data, inverted yield curves, political volatility, deficit and debt expansion, buybacks. All the big themes that have dominated the […]
The Fed’s Dangerous Game: A Fourth Round of Stimulus in a Single Growth Cycle
The Fed’s Dangerous Game: A Fourth Round of Stimulus in a Single Growth Cycle The longer the signals in capital markets go haywire under the influence of “monetary stimulus,” the bigger is the cumulative economic cost. That is one big reason why this fourth Fed stimulus — in the present already-longest (but lowest-growth) of super-long […]
Are Central Banks Losing Their Big Bet?
Are Central Banks Losing Their Big Bet? Following the 2008 global financial crisis, central banks bet that greater activism on the part of other policymakers would be their salvation, helping them to normalize their operations. But that activism never came, and central bankers are now facing a lose-lose proposition. ZURICH – In recent years, central […]
Entering Period of Perpetual Money Printing – John Williams
Entering Period of Perpetual Money Printing – John Williams Economist John Williams says be careful what you wish for when it comes to Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Williams explains, “Unless you can get a good healthy consumer, you are not going to get a good healthy economy. It’s that simple. I think the Fed […]
“She Has A Flair For Darkness” – Meet The Woman Tasked With Predicting How The Fed Will Blow Up The World
“She Has A Flair For Darkness” – Meet The Woman Tasked With Predicting How The Fed Will Blow Up The World Central bankers have two key roles: the first, and more trivial one, is to set the price of money by adjusting short-term interest rates, something they have been doing since the advent of central […]
Federal Reserve Headlines – Fact or Fiction?
Federal Reserve Headlines – Fact or Fiction? “When it becomes serious, you have to lie.” – Jean-Claude Juncker, former President of the Eurogroup of Eurozone finance ministers On July 16, 2019, Chicago Federal Reserve President Charles Evans made a series of comments that were blasted across the financial news wires. In the headlines taken from […]
Why Powell Fears a Gold Standard
Why Powell Fears a Gold Standard Chairman Powell’s testimony last week was closely scrutinized not just for its economic implications but also for its political overtones. Powell cited “trade tensions” as cause for concern about the strength of the global economy. He clearly seemed to be blaming President Trump’s tariffs. But if the tariffs are […]
The Most Dangerous Game
The Most Dangerous Game How can I not talk about the Fed? How can I not talk about the daily jawboning? It is all around us. Every. Single. Day. And it keeps working. I feel like I’m being reduced to a loon conspiracy theorist documenting the very reality of it. But I’m not. From my […]
The Precog Fed: Vice Chair Clarida Says Fed Shouldn’t Wait For Economy To Turn Down To Cut Rates
The Precog Fed: Vice Chair Clarida Says Fed Shouldn’t Wait For Economy To Turn Down To Cut Rates There was something bizarre in yesterday’s latest Beige Book: it painted an unexpectedly strong picture of the economy. Here, again, are the key points we pulled from the summary of various regional Feds’ takes on the current state of […]
“We’re Never Going To Go Away From Zero:” Presenting Kyle Bass’ Latest Trade
“We’re Never Going To Go Away From Zero:” Presenting Kyle Bass’ Latest Trade Here at Zero Hedge, we’ve dedicated plenty of attention to signs of “Japanification” in European bond markets… … with the issue taking on even more urgency now that we have influential bond strategists earnestly advocating the purchase of equities by the ECB, and the […]
Trump’s Fight With The Fed Over Interest Rates Is A Scripted Farce
Trump’s Fight With The Fed Over Interest Rates Is A Scripted Farce There is a very bizarre narrative being circulated in the mainstream economic media and it goes a little something like this: “The Federal Reserve has capitulated on liquidity tightening yet the US economy is “stronger than ever”, isn’t that weird?” There are a […]
“It’s Time To Say Goodbye To The Rally In Everything”
“It’s Time To Say Goodbye To The Rally In Everything” It was nice while it lasted but the “Rally in Everything” inspired by the dovish Federal Reserve is likely coming to an end — thanks to the dovish Federal Reserve. U.S. bonds and stocks have climbed together for most of 2019 as expectations for Fed […]
