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Tag Archives: quantitative tightening
Central Banker Observes Sudden “Evaporation” Of Dollar Funding, Warns Of Global Turmoil
Central Banker Observes Sudden “Evaporation” Of Dollar Funding, Warns Of Global Turmoil Last October, just as the Fed started shrinking its balance sheet, we published yet another article on what is arguably the biggest threat to not only risk assets, but also the global economy: “The Dollar Funding Shortage: It Never Went Away And It’s […]
BofA’s Striking Admission: Markets Will Soon Begin To Panic About Debt Sustainability
BofA’s Striking Admission: Markets Will Soon Begin To Panic About Debt Sustainability In the latest BofA survey of European fixed income investors (both IG and high yiled), the bank’s credit analyst Barnaby Martin writes that “after fretting about inflation at the start of the year, April’s credit survey shows that the biggest concern has reverted […]
Swan Song Of The Central Bankers, Part 5: The Flat Line Does Not Spell Recovery
Swan Song Of The Central Bankers, Part 5: The Flat Line Does Not Spell Recovery The punk January industrial production (IP) report brought another reminder that the Fed has stimulated nothing at all on the output/employment prong of its dual mandate. Indeed, as they celebrate a purported “mission accomplished” full employment recovery and confidently prepare to plow forward with an epochal pivot […]
Fed’s QE Unwind Accelerates Sharply
Fed’s QE Unwind Accelerates Sharply With a sense of urgency. No more dilly-dallying around. The Fed’s balance sheet for the week ending January 31, released this afternoon, completes the fourth month of QE-unwind. And it’s starting to be a doozie. This “balance sheet normalization” impacts two types of assets: Treasury securities and mortgage backed securities […]
US National Debt Will Jump by $617 Billion in 5 Months
US National Debt Will Jump by $617 Billion in 5 Months Just as the Fed accelerates its QE Unwind. Treasuries reacted. While everyone is trying to figure out how to twist the new tax cut to their advantage and save some money, the US Treasury Department just announced how much net new debt it will […]
Will Monetary Policy Trigger Another Financial Crisis?
Getty Images Will Monetary Policy Trigger Another Financial Crisis? Sustained unconventional monetary policies in the years after the 2008 global financial crisis created the conditions for the second-longest bull market in history. But they also may have sown the seeds of the next financial crisis, which might take root as central banks continue to normalize […]
What Will Rising Mortgage Rates Do to Housing Bubble 2?
What Will Rising Mortgage Rates Do to Housing Bubble 2? Oops, they’re already rising. The US government bond market has further soured this week, with Treasuries selling off across the spectrum. When bond prices fall, yields rise. For example, the two-year Treasury yield rose to 2.06% on Friday, the highest since September 2008. In the […]
According To Albert Edwards, This Country Will Trigger The “Great Unwind”
According To Albert Edwards, This Country Will Trigger The “Great Unwind” For years, SocGen’s permabear Albert Edwards was best known for preaching the gospel of terminal deflation, having introduced the “Ice Age” concept some three decades ago to describe a world trending toward monetary paralysis and the failure of conventional economic policies as central banks […]
QE Party Over, even by the Bank of Japan
QE Party Over, even by the Bank of Japan First decline in its colossal balance sheet since 2012. An amazing – or on second thought, given how central banks operate, not so amazing – thing is happening. On one hand… Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda keeps saying that the BOJ would “patiently” maintain its […]
Quantitative Tightening Is the Biggest Economic Threat in 2018
Quantitative Tightening Is the Biggest Economic Threat in 2018 In response to the 2008 financial crisis, the Fed and other central banks deployed zero or near-zero interest rates, quantitative easing, and assorted other interventions. These may have averted an even worse disaster, but their impacts were far from ideal. Nonetheless, the economy slowly lifted off […]
Abracadabra
Abracadabra And so, as they say in the horror movies, it begins…! The unwinding of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet. Such an esoteric concept! Is there one in ten thousand of the millions of people who sit at desks all day long from sea to shining sea who have a clue how this works? Or […]
The Fed’s QE-Unwind is Really Happening
The Fed’s QE-Unwind is Really Happening Fed’s assets drop to lowest level in over three years. The Fed’s balance sheet for the week ending December 6, released today, completes the second month of the QE-unwind. Total assets initially zigzagged within a tight range to end October where it started, at $4,456 billion. But in November, […]
Fed Tightens, “and so far, Nothing Has Blown Up”
Fed Tightens, “and so far, Nothing Has Blown Up” Gundlach frets about bonds during QE unwind, rate hikes, tax cuts, and rising deficits. “A tax cut will reduce revenue and it will grow the deficit and therefore, it will probably grow bond supply, and perhaps boost economic growth,” DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach said on […]
Bank of Japan Tapers (Quietly), QE Party Over
Bank of Japan Tapers (Quietly), QE Party Over No flashy announcement, to avoid alarming the markets. After years of blistering asset purchases, the Bank of Japan disclosed today that it held a total of ¥521.6 trillion in assets as of November 30, including Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs), gold, corporate bonds, Japanese REITs, equity ETFs, loans, etc. […]
Benn Steil: The Fed Could be Tightening More Than it Realizes
BENN STEIL: THE FED COULD BE TIGHTENING MORE THAN IT REALIZES Ten years ago, before the collapse of Lehman Brothers rocked global financial markets, the Fed’s balance sheet stood at $925 billion—mostly U.S. Treasuries. After fifty-nine months of asset purchases to push down longer-term interest rates, it had ballooned to a peak of $4.5 trillion, […]
