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The Irresponsible ECB

Daniel Roland/AFP/Getty Images The Irresponsible ECB Ultra-loose monetary policy stopped being appropriate long ago, and is especially inadvisable now, with the global economy – especially the developed world – experiencing an increasingly strong recovery. As recent stock-market turbulence shows, refusal to normalize policy faster is drastically increasing the risks to financial stability. FRANKFURT – The Dow […]

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Rising Interest Rates: New Era with Tough Outcomes

Rising Interest Rates: New Era with Tough Outcomes   What will the bond market do? The conniptions in the Treasury market are causing pain in existing portfolios but offer opportunities down the road. What’s the impact of these rising interest rates on the housing bubbles in the US and Canada? Where is the pain threshold? […]

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Central Banks Will Let The Next Crash Happen

Central Banks Will Let The Next Crash Happen If you have been following the public commentary from central banks around the world the past few months, you know that there has been a considerable change in tone compared to the last several years. For example, officials at the European Central Bank are hinting at a […]

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The U.S. Deficit Is Beyond Control: Markets Don’t Like Long-Term Government Insolvency

The U.S. Deficit Is Beyond Control: Markets Don’t Like Long-Term Government Insolvency Economist John Williams sat down with USA Watchdog‘s Greg Hunter to discuss the dire state of the dollar and United States economy.  The monetary path the US is on is out of control, and the unwillingness of government officials to reduce the deficit and […]

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Conflict between Fiscal & Monetary Policy

Conflict between Fiscal & Monetary Policy We are moving into a crisis of monumental proportions. There has been a serious fundamental problem infecting economic policy on a global scale. This conflict has been between monetary and fiscal policy. While central banks engaged in Quantitative Easing, governments have done nothing but reap the benefits of low-interest rates. This […]

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Four Rate Hikes in 2018 as US National Debt Will Spike

Four Rate Hikes in 2018 as US National Debt Will Spike Chorus gets louder. But no one will be ready for those mortgage rates. It didn’t take long for rate-hike expectations to be jostled further by last week’s “monster” two-year budget bill that Congress passed with its usual gyrations, including a government mini-shutdown, and that […]

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Rising Debt + Rising Rates

Rising Debt + Rising Rates Have they all lost their collective minds? Look I get that some people are leaning Democrat versus Republican and vice versa and that’s fine, but what exactly are voters getting? If, on the one hand, you think Democrats tax and spend too much you get Republicans on the other hand […]

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Don’t Expect A Central Bank Bailout This Time, ECB’s Nowotny Warns

Don’t Expect A Central Bank Bailout This Time, ECB’s Nowotny Warns To all those hoping for a sign or signal from central bankers that the recent correction in US stocks was necessary and sufficient for intervention, here are some disappointing examples of what they have said recently: “If stock prices or asset prices more generally […]

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The Fed’s Impossible Choice, In Three Charts

The Fed’s Impossible Choice, In Three Charts Critics of “New Age” monetary policy have been predicting that central banks would eventually run out of ways to trick people into borrowing money. There are at least three reasons to wonder if that time has finally come: Wage inflation is accelerating Normally, towards the end of a […]

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Really Bad Ideas, Part 6: Money That “Rots And Rusts”

Really Bad Ideas, Part 6: Money That “Rots And Rusts” In the next downturn (which may have started last week, yee-haw), the world’s central banks will face a bit of poetic justice: To keep their previous policy mistakes from blowing up the world in 2008, they cut interest rates to historically – some would say […]

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“Strong Dollar”, “Weak Dollar” – What About a Gold-Backed Dollar?

“Strong Dollar”, “Weak Dollar” – What About a Gold-Backed Dollar? Contradictory Palaver The recent hullabaloo among President Trump’s top monetary officials about the Administration’s “dollar policy” is just the start of what will likely be the first of many contradictory pronouncements and reversals which will take place in the coming months and years as the […]

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DANGER AHEAD FOR U.S. GOVT: Unable To Service Debt As Interest Rates Surge

DANGER AHEAD FOR U.S. GOVT: Unable To Service Debt As Interest Rates Surge The U.S. Government is in serious trouble when interest rates rise.  As interest rates rise, so will the amount of money the U.S. Government will have to pay out to service its rapidly rising debt.  Unfortunately, interest rates don’t have to increase […]

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QE…The Gift That Just Kept Giving…Is Now Taking 

QE…The Gift That Just Kept Giving…Is Now Taking  I know the Federal Reserve doesn’t effectively create money or directly monetize.  I know this because then Fed chief, Ben Bernanke, told us so (HERE).  But still, something has me wondering about that exchange, now almost a decade ago.  The simplest of math. The plan to utilize quantitative […]

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The Looming Debt Crisis Nobody Seems to Look At

The Looming Debt Crisis Nobody Seems to Look At Around the globe, we are approaching a monumental awakening as municipal governments see their borrowing costs rise dramatically with rising interest rates. This is unfolding in Europe, the USA, Canada, South America, Middle East, and Asia. In fact, S&P is predicting the first-ever default by a Chinese local […]

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Central Banks Put a Safety Net Under Financial Markets

CENTRAL BANKS PUT A SAFETY NET UNDER FINANCIAL MARKETS Most early business cycle indicators suggest that the global economy is pretty much roaring ahead. Production and employment are rising. Firms keep investing and show decent profits. International trade is expanding. Credit is easy to obtain. Stock prices keep moving up to ever higher levels. All […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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