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Tag Archives: monetary policy
An Apocalyptic Paul Tudor Jones Warns The Fed Is About To Lose Control
An Apocalyptic Paul Tudor Jones Warns The Fed Is About To Lose Control In a striking interview with Goldman’s Allison Nathan, legendary trader Paul Tudor Jones argues that US inflation is set to accelerate sharply, making bonds a very poor investment, and that the Fed must act swiftly to tackle financial bubbles created by prolonged […]
Chart Predicts Every Market Crash in History
Chart Predicts Every Market Crash in History The Fed blows bubbles. Then it eventually pops them. Where are we in the cycle? Bill Bonner writes This Has Predicted Every Market Crash in History. I recreated the chart in Fred and added trendlines. But let’s tune in to Bill Bonner. “Buy the dip” has worked for […]
Draghi Admits He Cannot Stop Buying Gov’t Debt
Draghi Admits He Cannot Stop Buying Gov’t Debt Draghi has realized that he has singlehandedly destroyed the European bond market. Besides the fact that it is illegal to short government bonds, he has come face to face with the stark reality that IF the ECB stops buying government bonds, there will be NO BIDat these price […]
Deutsche Bank: This Does Not Make Sense
Deutsche Bank: This Does Not Make Sense Amid the growing debate whether rates will keep rising once they hit 3.00%, or they will fall as asset managers find the new level attractive enough to dip their toes and buy duration, one analyst laughs at everyone calling for lower rates from here onward. In a note […]
Turkey – Default or War?
Turkey – Default or War? QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, My father was ______ the banker who commissioned you to do the Turkish lira hedging project in 1983. He passed away as you know. I found this material in his files on Turkey that you apparently published back in 1985. Some articles are saying that Turkey is […]
“GDP Growth Driving Rates Higher!” – Is That True?
“GDP Growth Driving Rates Higher!” – Is That True? “Peter Cook is the author of the‘Is That True?’ series of articles, which help explain the many statements and theories circulating in the mainstream financial media often presented as “truths.” The motives and psychology of market participants, which drives the difference between truth and partial-truth, are […]
Haunted by Ghosts of the Old Eastern Bloc
Haunted by Ghosts of the Old Eastern Bloc Ridiculous Minutia Jerome Powell, the new Chairman of the Federal Reserve, just completed his third week on the job. He’s hardly had enough time to learn how to operate the office coffee maker, let alone the all-in-one printer. He still doesn’t know what roach coach menu items […]
ECB Minutes Reveal Fears About Currency Wars, Euro Slides
ECB Minutes Reveal Fears About Currency Wars, Euro Slides There were two distinct reactions in the Euro to today’s ECB Minutes, released this morning. At first, the EUR jumped following initial headlines that the ECB acknowledged that revisiting the guidance would be “part of a the regular reassessment” going forward, but noting that any changes […]
The End of (Artificial) Stability
The End of (Artificial) Stability The central banks’/states’ power to maintain a permanent bull market in stocks and bonds is eroding. There is nothing natural about the stability of the past 9 years. The bullish trends in risk assets are artificial constructs of central bank/state policies. As these policies are reduced or lose their effectiveness, the […]
Money Manager: ‘The Chaos Coming To The Markets Is Here’
Money Manager: ‘The Chaos Coming To The Markets Is Here’ Money manager Michael Pento says that profound chaos surrounding the economy is coming. The insolvency is becoming clear, and soon, we will no longer be able to sweep the problem under the rug. Sitting down with USA Watchdog’s Greg Hunter, Pento discussed the chaos people […]
“Strong Dollar,” “Weak Dollar,” What About a Gold-Backed Dollar?
“Strong Dollar,” “Weak Dollar,” What About a Gold-Backed Dollar? The recent hullabaloo among President Trump’s top monetary officials about the Administration’s “dollar policy” is just the start of what will likely be the first of many contradictory pronoucements and reversals which will take place in the coming months/years as the world’s reserve currency continues to be […]
Calm Before The Inflationary Storm
Calm Before The Inflationary Storm The economy has been showing great gains, and that positive trend is fueling fears of a surge in inflation. The Consumer Price Index, the key predictor of inflationary trends, rose .05 percent in January, which greatly exceeded the anticipated rise of 0.2 percent. The market reacted as expected as stocks […]
Fed President Sounds Panic Over Level Of US Debt
Fed President Sounds Panic Over Level Of US Debt Nearly a decade after the US unleashed its biggest debt-issuance binge in history, made possible only thanks to the Fed’s monetization of nearly $4 trillion in deficits (and debt issuance), the Fed is starting to get nervous about the (un)sustainability of the US debt. The Federal […]
Raising Interest Rates Is Like Starting a Fission Chain Reaction
Raising Interest Rates Is Like Starting a Fission Chain Reaction Central bankers seem to think that adjusting interest rates is a nice little tool that they can easily handle. The problem is that higher interest rates affect the economy in many ways simultaneously. The lessons that seem to have been learned from past rate hikes may […]
What is Optimal Monetary Policy, Anyway?
WHAT IS OPTIMAL MONETARY POLICY, ANYWAY? Ever since the important contributions of new classical economists Finn E. Kydland and Edward C. Prescott during the 1970s and 80s, modern macroeconomics seeks optimal rules for monetary policy. Indeed, Milton Friedman had previously emphasized the importance of a binding rule for monetary policy. He recommended a constant but […]
