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Oh Canada! Canadians Starting To Feel The Pain of Debt.

Oh Canada! Canadians Starting To Feel The Pain of Debt. Many Canadians are facing the consequences of spiraling debt. The Bank of Canada has increased its key interest rate three times since last summer, prompting some of Canada’s larger banks to raise their prime lending rates. Forty-seven percent of Canadians are feeling the pinch, indicating they […]

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Lesson From Canada: There Really Are No Rate Hike Targets

Lesson From Canada: There Really Are No Rate Hike Targets Despite an inflation spike in Canada, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz says “Rate hikes Aren’t Mechanical.” Bloomberg reports Poloz Says Canadian Inflation Spike Doesn’t Violate 2% Target. Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz said he’s not worried about inflation temporarily rising above the 2 […]

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Belief in Inflation (And 4 or More Rate Hikes in 2018) Picks Up

Belief in Inflation (And 4 or More Rate Hikes in 2018) Picks Up Investors Increasingly believe the Fed may hike four or more times in 2018. The inflation scare is picking up steam. Due to Federal Reserve Beige Book regional reports, investors increasingly believe the Fed will go on a rate hike spree this year. […]

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Why Trade Wars Ignite and Why They’re Spreading

Why Trade Wars Ignite and Why They’re Spreading The monetary distortions, imbalances and perverse incentives are finally bearing fruit: trade wars. What ignites trade wars? The oft-cited sources include unfair trade practices and big trade deficits. But since these have been in place for decades, they don’t explain why trade wars are igniting now. To truly […]

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Dissecting the Madness of Economic Reason

Dissecting the Madness of Economic Reason David Harvey’s latest book provides a riveting reading of Marx’s Capital and a trenchant critique of a political and economic system spiralling out of control. A decade after the financial crisis of 2008, global capitalism remains in dire straits. Despite central banks providing a steady diet of low interest rates […]

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The Next Crisis Will Be The Last

The Next Crisis Will Be The Last It is an interesting thing. Throughout the last four decades there is a direct link between the actions of the Federal Reserve and the eventual economic and market outcomes due to changes in monetary policy. In every case, that outcome has been negative. The general consensus continues to […]

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BofA’s Striking Admission: Markets Will Soon Begin To Panic About Debt Sustainability

BofA’s Striking Admission: Markets Will Soon Begin To Panic About Debt Sustainability In the latest BofA survey of European fixed income investors (both IG and high yiled), the bank’s credit analyst Barnaby Martin writes that “after fretting about inflation at the start of the year, April’s credit survey shows that the biggest concern has reverted […]

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The Risk of the Fed’s Continuous Rate Hikes

The Risk of the Fed’s Continuous Rate Hikes This past week, the Fed raised interest rates by 0.25%. The effective Fed fund rate is now 1.63% – the highest since the big market crash of 2008. However, it could get as high as 3.375% by 2020. The decade 2020 – 2029 could see a high-tech […]

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Mises the Man and His Monetary Policy Ideas Based on His “Lost Papers”

MISES THE MAN AND HIS MONETARY POLICY IDEAS BASED ON HIS “LOST PAPERS” One day in 1927 Austrian economist, Ludwig von Mises, stood at the window of his office at the Vienna Chamber of Commerce, and looked out over the Ringstrasse (the main grand boulevard that encircles the center of Vienna). He said to his young friend […]

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Monetary Policy is a Complete Failure? Will Shutting Down the Fed Solve All the Problems?

Monetary Policy is a Complete Failure? Will Shutting Down the Fed Solve All the Problems? I recently did an interview and was asked about the Federal Reserve. There is so much absolute nonsense sophistry that circulates where people think that ending the central bank will somehow cure everything. I really just laid it out plain […]

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Who Needs Wall Street When You Can Have A Monetary Unicorn?

Who Needs Wall Street When You Can Have A Monetary Unicorn? The single most important price in all of capitalism is the interest rate—-and at all points on the maturity curve. And the single most important truth about honest interest rates is that they must be discovered by markets, not imposed by the state. We got to […]

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The Fed is Raising Rates Because of the Pension Crisis

The Fed is Raising Rates Because of the Pension Crisis QUESTION: The Fed says it will raise rates two or three times more this year. My question is this: If the stock market is crashing, why are they still raising rates? HW ANSWER: The Fed is raising rates because they must be NORMALIZED given the […]

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Consequences of Replacing the Gold Standard with the PhD Standard

Consequences of Replacing the Gold Standard with the PhD Standard In 2011, Jim Grant chastised the Fed about replacing the Gold Standard with the PhD Standard. Our “reward” is coming up. Here is the pertinent video clip of James Grant. “The 2007-2009 real estate debacle is the monetary equivalent of a chain reaction on a […]

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The euro area’s deepening political divide

The euro area’s deepening political divide Two European elections – in Germany on 24 September 2017 and Italy on 4 March 2018 – warn that the peoples of Europe are drifting apart. Much of the recent deepening of these divisions can be traced to Europe’s single currency, the euro. This column argues that the political […]

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The Central Bank Bubble: It Will Be Ugly

The Central Bank Bubble: It Will Be Ugly 21 Mar The global economy has been living through a period of central bank insanity, thanks to a little-understood expansion strategy known as quantitative easing, which has destroyed main-street and benefitted wall street. Central Banks over the last decade simply created credit out of thin air. Snap […]

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