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Is Japan Zimbabwe?

Is Japan Zimbabwe? Is Japan Zimbabwe? How preposterous: Japan is an advanced economy that cannot possibly suffer the same fate as Zimbabwe. Right? Or could Japan get hyperinflation? Below I explain why Japan, and with it investors’ portfolios, might be at risk. The other day, when I was on a panel discussing unsustainable deficits in […]

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China Warns Against Irrational Exuberance

China Warns Against Irrational Exuberance Yesterday, we pointed out that in US dollar terms, Chinese stocks are a real standout among the world’s equity markets, having nearly doubled in less than a year. The catalyst? Liquidity, driven by a number of factors including, as UBS notes, expectations of further policy easing, QE-lite, bank bridge loans, and of course, […]

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Lenin Was Right …

Lenin Was Right … Bear Markets Do Happen Today… the second of the speech about the end of the world we recently gave at Doug Casey’s La Estancia de Cafayate. (You can catch up on the first part here.) As Yogi Berra would say, America is going to come to a fork in the road… and […]

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Dollar Demand = Global Economy Has Skidded Over the Cliff (March 18, 2015)

Dollar Demand = Global Economy Has Skidded Over the Cliff   Borrowing in USD was risk-on; buying USD is risk-off. There is a lively debate about the global demand for U.S. dollars: Global finance faces $9 trillion stress test as dollar soars (Telegraph.co.uk) Is There a US$ Shortage? Will it Sink the Global Economy? Again? (Mish) The Dollar […]

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American Amoeba

American Amoeba   The money-moving world waits on tenterhooks for the Wednesday appearance of America’s oracle, Janet Yellen, to step out of her grotto and state whether or not she feels twinges ofpatience. Wikipedia notes that Pythia, the original priestess of Delphi “…delivered oracles in a frenzied state induced by vapors rising from a chasm […]

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Indeed This Time Is Different: Because It’s Far Worse

Indeed This Time Is Different: Because It’s Far Worse Suddenly the narrative that “everything is awesome” is showing to not be as “awesome” as it was first proclaimed. Merely a few months have passed since the ending of QE and praises of awesomeness everywhere are morphing into questions more akin to “Oh no: not again!” And […]

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The Great Immoderation: How The Fed Is Sowing The Next Recession

The Great Immoderation: How The Fed Is Sowing The Next Recession In February 2004 Ben Bernanke famously declared the business cycle had been tamed and took a bow in behalf of enlightened monetary management, claiming it was the principal source of this beneficent development. Exactly 55 months later, of course, he terrorized the Congressional leadership and a clueless President […]

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The Fed Blew It

The Fed Blew It The Fed had multiple opportunities to let the air out of unsustainable asset bubbles by notching interest rates higher and tapering its asset purchases (QE). The Federal Reserve blew it by not normalizing interest rates a long time ago. The consensus in financial circles is the exact opposite: the Fed has blown […]

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A Patient Fed Considers Losing Patience

A Patient Fed Considers Losing Patience I have always argued that quantitative easing and zero percent interest rates were misguided policies to combat economic weakness. But as the years went on, misguided turned into irresponsible, which led to ridiculous, and then turned into dangerous. But lately, the only word that comes to mind is “surreal.” How should we […]

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Happy 6th Birthday: The Day FASB Folded & “Mark-To-Fantasy” Was Born

Happy 6th Birthday: The Day FASB Folded & “Mark-To-Fantasy” Was Born The captured corporate MSM is celebrating the six year anniversary of when the stock market bottomed in March 2009. They will spin a false narrative of Bernanke, Obama and Geithner saving the world with TARP, QE, and the $800 billion Porkulus bill. What great heroes. […]

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Europe, The Morally Bankrupt Union

Europe, The Morally Bankrupt Union The European Union is busy accomplishing something truly extraordinary: it is fast becoming such a spectacular failure that people don’t even recognize it as one. People have no idea, they just think: this can’t possibly be true, and they continue with their day. They should think again. Because the Grand […]

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The ECB’s Lunatic Full Monty Treatment

The ECB’s Lunatic Full Monty Treatment Not Quite Right in the Head? The belief that the market economy requires “steering” by altruistic central bankers, who make decisions influencing the entire economy based on their personal epiphanies, has rarely been more pronounced than today. Most probably it has actually never been stronger. It is both highly amusing and […]

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The One Chart You Need to Predict the Future

The One Chart You Need to Predict the Future We are witnessing a profound secular sea-change: the failure of expanding debt and leverage to lift the real economy of wages and household income.   When push comes to shove, you only need one chart to predict the future: debt and wages ( credit and compensation). This […]

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QE Inventor: It’s EASY to Create a Full-Blown Recovery, But Central Banks Chose to Make Banksters Rich Instead of Helping Main Street

QE Inventor: It’s EASY to Create a Full-Blown Recovery, But Central Banks Chose to Make Banksters Rich Instead of Helping Main Street QE Is a Sham Richard Werner (economics professor at University of Southampton) is the inventor of quantitative easing (QE). Werner previously said that QE has failed to help the economy. (Former long-time Fed chair Alan Greenspan agrees.  Numerous academic studies confirm […]

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ECB Will Cut Rates To Minus 3%: JP Morgan

ECB Will Cut Rates To Minus 3%: JP Morgan A running theme here over the past several weeks has been that the ECB’s €1.1 trillion foray into quantitative easing will be severely hindered by a laundry list of constraints (some of which were unwittingly self-imposed). Another topic we’ve covered exhaustively is the idea that the world’s central […]

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