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Meet The New Recession Cycle——Its Triggered By Bursting Bubbles, Not Surging Inflation

Meet The New Recession Cycle——Its Triggered By Bursting Bubbles, Not Surging Inflation We are now in the month of April—–so the Wall Street Keynesians are back on their spring “escape velocity” offensive. Normally they accept the government’s seasonal adjustments in stride, but since Q1 is again hugging the flat line or worse, it seems that “bad seasonals” owing to an incrementally winterish […]

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Our Current Illusion of Prosperity

Our Current Illusion of Prosperity President Obama and Fed Chair Janet Yellen have been crowing about improving economic conditions in the US. Unemployment is down to 5.5 percent and growth in 2014 hit 2.2 percent. Journalists and economists point to this improvement as proof that quantitative easing was effective. Pile on More Debt Unfortunately, this latest […]

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If Anyone Doubts That We Are In A Stock Market Bubble, Show Them This Article

If Anyone Doubts That We Are In A Stock Market Bubble, Show Them This Article The higher financial markets rise, the harder they fall.  By any objective measurement, the stock market is currently well into bubble territory.  Anyone should be able to see this – all you have to do is look at the charts.  […]

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The Growth Delusion

The Growth Delusion It’s time to stop believing in GDP. Here’s why By Dirk Philipsen There is an idea that wields power unlike any other. Faith in it is truly global: crossing national and ideological barriers and defining the logic of every major economy in the world today. That idea is economic growth. The faith […]

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The American Dream – Moonshine and Scam

The American Dream – Moonshine and Scam Infection When we left you yesterday, we were trying to connect the bloated, cankerous ankles of the US economy to the sugar rush of its post-1971 credit-based money system. Today, we look at the face of our government. It is older… with more worry lines and wrinkles. But […]

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US Economy Heads Toward Zero Growth in Q1

US Economy Heads Toward Zero Growth in Q1 GDPNow: Wall Street’s promise of Escape Velocity is a joke. The consistency with which nearly every report on the US economy has deteriorated over the last few months is astonishing. Only the jobs report has been spared that sharp downdraft. So we blame the weather, which in […]

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The Oil Price Crash and Economic Slow Down in China

The Oil Price Crash and Economic Slow Down in China Two of the factors in the oil price crash are well constrained: 1) oversupply of expensive light tight oil (LTO) in North America and 2) the decision of OPEC to not cut production. The third possible factor of weak global demand is not so easy […]

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The Canadian Housing Bubble Has Begun To Burst

The Canadian Housing Bubble Has Begun To Burst Don’t look now but slumping crude prices are hitting the Canadian housing market like a freight train. Energy accounts for 10% of Canadian GDP and around 25% of exports and the swift fall in oil prices is having a profound effect in the nation’s oil producing regions. Take […]

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One Last Look At The Real Economy Before It Implodes – Part 3

One Last Look At The Real Economy Before It Implodes – Part 3 In the previous installments of this series, we discussed the hidden and often unspoken crisis brewing within the employment market, as well as in personal debt. The primary consequence being a collapse in overall consumer demand, something which we are at this […]

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C’mon Angela, Let Them Greexit

C’mon Angela, Let Them Greexit With each passing day it becomes more obvious that Europe is heading for an epochal financial conflagration. So buy-the-dip if you must, but don’t believe for a minute that the US has decoupled.  When the euro and EU eventually implode it will rattle the bones of every gambler and algo left […]

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Lenin Was Right …

Lenin Was Right … Bear Markets Do Happen Today… the second of the speech about the end of the world we recently gave at Doug Casey’s La Estancia de Cafayate. (You can catch up on the first part here.) As Yogi Berra would say, America is going to come to a fork in the road… and […]

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Economy Finally Reaches “Escape Velocity,” Heads South

Economy Finally Reaches “Escape Velocity,” Heads South It’s hard to measure the growth rate of a vast, complex economy with just one number, accurately, and on a timely basis. The Chinese found an ingenious solution. They decree the growth rate and announce it in advance, and that’s about what the number says when it comes out. It’s faster […]

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The EU’s Stalinesque “4 Year Plan”

The EU’s Stalinesque “4 Year Plan” They Didn’t Want to Call it the “5 Year Plan” We have already commented on previous occasions on the EU’s “investment plan” (see: “EU Planning to Spend Money it Doesn’t Have” for details), which is bound to result in the production of countless white elephants across Europe (such as Poland’s […]

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One Last Look At The Real Economy Before It Implodes – Part 2

One Last Look At The Real Economy Before It Implodes – Part 2 Consumer spending in the U.S. accounts for approximately 70 percent of gross domestic product, though it is important to note that the manner in which “official” GDP is calculated is highly inaccurate. For example, all government money used within the Medicare coverage […]

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What Happens to the Stock Market if the U.S. Follows the World into Recession?

What Happens to the Stock Market if the U.S. Follows the World into Recession? History is rather unkind to blind faith in central banks, just as the rising U.S. dollar and stagnant sales are being very unkind to corporate profits. The quasi-religious faith that central banks can push stock markets ever higher regardless of real-world […]

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