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Tag Archives: monetary policy
IMF Warns World “Dangerously Unprepared” For Upcoming Global Recession
IMF Warns World “Dangerously Unprepared” For Upcoming Global Recession In the starkest warning yet about the upcoming global recession, which some believe will hit in late 2019 or 2020 at the latest, the IMF warned that the leaders of the world’s largest countries are “dangerously unprepared” for the consequences of a serious global slowdown. The […]
The Fed, China, And The Markets
The Fed, China, And The Markets Amid market volatility and continued downside surprises in global growth, investors are focusing on the Fed and China. Regarding the Fed, the issue is whether and when it could signal potential changes in balance sheet normalisation (as it has on the policy rate path). On China, the question is […]
Central Bankers’ Fiscal Constraints
Sirinarth Mekvorawuth/EyeEm/Getty Images Central Bankers’ Fiscal Constraints With policy interest rates near zero in most advanced economies (and just above 2% even in the fast-growing US), there is little room for monetary policy to maneuver in a recession without considerable creativity. But those who think fiscal policy alone will save the day are stupefyingly naive. […]
Monetary Policy ‘Reset’: From Rhetoric to Actuality
Monetary Policy ‘Reset’: From Rhetoric to Actuality A resurgence in nationalistic tendencies has been predominately associated with the advents of Brexit and Donald Trump’s presidency. But have these outcomes meant that we now neglect to give due consideration to the years that preceded the supposed breakdown of the ‘rules based global order‘? It was in Davos […]
Drain, drain, drain…
Drain, drain, drain… Money from thin air going back whence it came from – circling the drain of a ‘no reinvestment’ black hole strategically placed in its way by the dollar-sucking vampire bat Ptenochirus Iagori Powelli. Our friend Michael Pollaro recently provided us with an update of outstanding Fed credit as of 26 December 2018. […]
Bear Markets, Fed Mistakes, and Quick Shots from John
Bear Markets, Fed Mistakes, and Quick Shots from John Powell Was Right but the Fed Is Wrong Time for an Emergency Fed Meeting Living on Island Time Quick Shots from the Frontline A winters day, In a deep and dark December… “Wait, it doesn’t feel like winter. It’s not deep and dark, and it’s actually […]
Rough Times Ahead, But Liberty Can Still Win
Rough Times Ahead, But Liberty Can Still Win While Congress and the president fight over funding a border wall, they continue to ignore the coming economic tsunami caused by the approximately 22 trillion dollars (and rapidly increasing) federal debt. President Trump may not be troubled by the debt’s effect on the economy because he believes […]
Why the Fed, Nor Any Central Bank, Can Ever Truly “Normalize”
Why the Fed, Nor Any Central Bank, Can Ever Truly “Normalize” Last week, I highlighted that since ’00, when the Federal Reserve has ceased adding to its balance sheet or begun “normalizing” (via rolling off assets), equity markets have swooned (detailed HERE). A simple idea today…that the end of population growth (where it matters) has long been upon […]
2018 in Review: Pension Problems, Hawkish Rate Hikes, and Piles of Debt
2018 in Review: Pension Problems, Hawkish Rate Hikes, and Piles of Debt A lot happened in 2018, and while it would be a challenge to cover them all, there are three big trends that appear to have defined this year economically. And, each of them had an impact on retirees, investors, and the overall U.S. […]
Murky 2019 Could Be In Store for U.S. Economy Thanks to Fed’s Monetary Policy
Murky 2019 Could Be In Store for U.S. Economy Thanks to Fed’s Monetary Policy December 19 marks the day the Fed may have decided it’s going “all in” on the idea of a “strong U.S. economy.” The Fed locked in an increase of the Federal Funds Rate from 2.25% to 2.40%, and it will increase […]
Kass: “Don’t Blame Powell For The Mess He’s Left To Clean Up”
Kass: “Don’t Blame Powell For The Mess He’s Left To Clean Up” Do we want to be Japan? “I need the Fed to shut up. I don’t trust the Fed at all. I don’t trust Jay Powell at all. Jay said everything that caused a tremendous selloff. You have got to start recognizing how powerful […]
Why Does the Fed Need to Raise Rates?
Why Does the Fed Need to Raise Rates? QUESTION: Hello Mr Armstrong I would like first to thank u for all the good information u give to us i have just a question : why do u write the fed need to increase rates to save the us pensionneers Not realy clear for me ( […]
It’s official: the Federal Reserve is insolvent
It’s official: the Federal Reserve is insolvent In the year 1157, the Republic of Venice was in the midst of war and in desperate need of funds. It wasn’t the first time in history that a government needed to borrow money to fight a war. But the Venetians came up with an innovative idea: Every […]
When Certainty Frays, Capital Gets Skittish
When Certainty Frays, Capital Gets Skittish The net result is capital is impaired in eras of uncertainty. As we look ahead to 2019, what can we be certain of? Maybe your list is long, but mine has only one item: certainty is fraying. Confidence in financial policies intended to eliminate recessions is fraying, confidence in […]
The Federal Reserve Is A Suicide Bomber With A Deeper Agenda
The Federal Reserve Is A Suicide Bomber With A Deeper Agenda Central bankers are sociopathic in nature and sociopathic people tend to behave like robots. When one understands the motivations of central bankers, or at the very least what their goals are, their actions become rather predictable. The question is, what truly motivates these people? […]
