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Tag Archives: gdp
16 Signs That The Economy Has Stalled Out And The Next Economic Downturn Is Here
16 Signs That The Economy Has Stalled Out And The Next Economic Downturn Is Here If U.S. economic growth falls any lower, we are officially going to be in recession territory. On Wednesday, we learned that U.S. GDP grew at a 0.2 percent annual rate in the first quarter of 2015. That was much lower […]
Chinese energy figures suggest much slower growth than advertised
Chinese energy figures suggest much slower growth than advertised Last year China reported the slowest economic growth in 24 years, about 7.4 percent. But the true figure may actually be much lower, and the evidence is buried in electricity figures which show just 3.8 percent growth in electricity consumption. David Fridley, a staff scientist in the China Energy Group at […]
China Could Face “Sharp” Rise In Capital Outflows If Stocks, Economy Lose Momentum
China Could Face “Sharp” Rise In Capital Outflows If Stocks, Economy Lose Momentum We’ve written quite a bit over the past two months about capital outflows from China. Last week for instance, we documented how the country saw its fourth consecutive quarter of outflows in Q1, bringing the 12 month running total to some $300 billion. Why, […]
Potemkin on the Pacific—–Abenomics Is Still Failing
Potemkin on the Pacific—–Abenomics Is Still Failing For the first time since June 2012 Japan has attained a trade surplus. It is, however, premature to interpret that as an end to the impoverishment the island has undertaken these past three years, the last two under QQE. There are various reasons for the end of the […]
Hopium: How Far Can Irrational Optimism Take The U.S. Economy?
Hopium: How Far Can Irrational Optimism Take The U.S. Economy? If enough people truly believe that things will get better, will that actually cause them to get better? There is certainly something to be said for being positive and thinking that anything is possible. And as Americans, optimism seems to come naturally for us. However, […]
A Field Guide to Negative Progress
A Field Guide to Negative Progress I’ve commented before in these posts that writing is always partly a social activity. What Mortimer Adler used to call the Great Conversation, the dance of ideas down the corridors of the centuries, shapes every word in a writer’s toolkit; you can hardly write a page in English without […]
Chinese Economic Outlook “Skewed Heavily To The Downside,” BNP Says
Chinese Economic Outlook “Skewed Heavily To The Downside,” BNP Says Over the past several months we’ve built on several narratives out of China certainly not the least of which is the idea that economic growth in the country is decelerating quickly at a time when accelerating capital outflows make devaluation an unpalatable (if inevitable) proposition. […]
Money for Nothin’ and your Chicks for Free – and your Houses too!
Money for Nothin’ and your Chicks for Free – and your Houses too! Nothing Against the Old We would like to preface today’s Diary with a clarification: We don’t have anything against old people. We don’t have anything against high GDP growth rates either. But the two don’t go together. Some of this opinion comes from looking […]
Forget The Snow, It’s The Drought That Is Crushing The US Economy
Forget The Snow, It’s The Drought That Is Crushing The US Economy With all eyes and talking heads focused on the ‘weather’, it seems cold, wet, snowy, and frigid are the most GDP-destructive adjectives. However, as Bloomberg reports, the drought out West is starting to infiltrate U.S. housing data, according to the chief economist of a homebuilders’ group, […]
Has The Fed Already Lost?
Has The Fed Already Lost? Growth is dying & the Fed has few options left Increasingly we live in a world of Now. Instantaneous access to digital real time data and news has simply become a given in our lives of the moment. You may be surprised to know that the Federal Reserve has taken notice. […]
“There Are Big, Big Problems” – The Shocker Crushing The Economy Revealed
“There Are Big, Big Problems” – The Shocker Crushing The Economy Revealed We are grateful to Alexander Giryavets at Dynamika Capital for pointing us to something which is far more troubling than even the Atlanta Fed’s collapse in Q1 GDP tracking: namely the latest Credit Managers Index for the month of March which “deteriorated significantly over the last two months […]
No Major Country Is More Exposed to Banks than Australia
No Major Country Is More Exposed to Banks than Australia There are six large (with a market cap of over AUD50 billion) listed companies in Australia. The biggest four are banks, the fifth is BHP, one of the world’s largest mining companies. The sixth is the world’s most over-priced Telco, Telstra. The table below puts […]
TRUTH – THE CURE FOR COGNITIVE DISSONANCE
TRUTH – THE CURE FOR COGNITIVE DISSONANCE “In a time of deceit telling the truth is a revolutionary act.” ― George Orwell Every time the BLS puts out their monthly propaganda report on the wonderful state of the U.S. jobs market and states with a straight face the unemployment rate is a measly 5.5%, their corporate mouthpieces […]
There’s Trouble Brewing In Middle Earth
There’s Trouble Brewing In Middle Earth For the second time in three years, I’m fortunate enough to spend some time in New Zealand (or Aotearoa). In 2012, it was all mostly a pretty crazy touring schedule, but this time is a bit quieter. Still get to meet tons of people though, in between the relentless […]
