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Tag Archives: credit
As Goes The Credit Market, So Goes The World
As Goes The Credit Market, So Goes The World When confidence cracks, we’ll see it there first During the prior economic cycle of 2003-2007, one question I asked again and again was: Is the US running on a business cycle or a credit cycle? That question was prompted by a series of data I have tracked […]
Gold Verses Fractional Reserves Part 2
Gold Verses Fractional Reserves Part 2 The Harmful Consequences We have now to examine the harm that the system does whether or not the pressure to reduce the reserve requirements is continuously successful. Let us begin with a situation in, say, Ruritania, which has a fractional-reserve gold standard and a central bank, but in which […]
A Much Bigger Threat Than Our National Debt
A Much Bigger Threat Than Our National Debt The markets are acting as though it was already summer. They are wandering around with little ambition in either direction. Meanwhile, we’ve been wondering about… and trying to explain… what it is we are really doing at the Diary. We expect a violent monetary shock, in which the dollar […]
“If It Looks Like A Duck” – The Man In The Moon: Part 2
“If It Looks Like A Duck” – The Man In The Moon: Part 2 In part 2 of the “Man in the Moon” series we look at Paul Volcker’s roundtrip – monetary policies and their impacts from 1971 through the Great Leveraging to today. Part 1 can be found here. If it Looks Like a Duck… […]
Use of Alternative Financial Services, Such as Payday Loans, Continues to Increase Despite the “Recovery”
Use of Alternative Financial Services, Such as Payday Loans, Continues to Increase Despite the “Recovery” Families’ savings not where they should be: That’s one part of the problem. But Mills sees something else in the recovery that’s more disturbing. The number of households tapping alternative financial services are on the rise, meaning that Americans are […]
What We Learned over Dinner from a Swiss Central Banker
What We Learned over Dinner from a Swiss Central Banker Dear Diary, Today… what we learned over dinner from a surprisingly smart central banker. But first, to the markets… The Dow shot up 121 Dow points yesterday, recovering most of Tuesday’s slide. In a series of business meetings Tuesday and Wednesday, we explained why nobody but us is rooting for […]
Are You Ready for the Coming Debt Revolution?
Are You Ready for the Coming Debt Revolution? Gualfin (“End of the Road”), Argentina Dear Diary, There is a specter haunting America… and all the developed nations of the world. It is the specter of a debt revolution. We left off yesterday talking about how the economy of the last 30 years – and especially that […]
Canadians pay cash less than half the time, Bank of Canada calculates
Canadians pay cash less than half the time, Bank of Canada calculates Credit cards get big boost as Canadians shun the ATM Cash is no longer king for Canadians when it comes to paying for retail transactions. A study released today by the Bank of Canada shows that less than half of our purchases are […]
The trouble with cash
The trouble with cash When interest rates are zero and it costs a bank to look after your money it becomes an unattractive asset. Banks in some jurisdictions (such as Switzerland, Denmark and Sweden) are even charging customers interest on cash and deposits. And if you go to your bank and withdraw large amounts in […]
Why Are Exchange-Traded Funds Preparing For A ‘Liquidity Crisis’ And A ‘Market Meltdown’?
Why Are Exchange-Traded Funds Preparing For A ‘Liquidity Crisis’ And A ‘Market Meltdown’? Some really weird things are happening in the financial world right now. If you go back to 2008, there was lots of turmoil bubbling just underneath the surface during the months leading up to the great stock market crash in the second […]
A Portrait of the Classical Gold Standard
A Portrait of the Classical Gold Standard “The world that disappeared in 1914 appeared, in retrospect, something like our picture of Paradise,” wrote the economist Cecil Hirsch in his June 1934 review of R.W. Hawtrey’s classic, The Art of Central Banking (1933). Hirsch bemoaned the loss of the far-sighted restraint that had once prevailed among the “bankers’ […]
How the Liquidity “Delusion” Leads to a Crash
How the Liquidity “Delusion” Leads to a Crash They were just about all there at the Las Vegas SkyBridge Alternatives Conference, or SALT: Daniel Loeb, T. Boone Pickens, and of course George Papandreou, who in March 2011 as Greek prime minister had produced one of the funniest official Eurozone lies ever when he reassured those that were […]
The Next 94 Days Could Be Bad for Your Wallet
The Next 94 Days Could Be Bad for Your Wallet The Longest, Deepest Depression in US History Yesterday’s good news was that there will be no 25-year recession. “We should be so lucky,” is the way a New Yorker might react. Because the bad news is much worse. The logic of the “long depression” is simple. […]
Bank Reserves and Loans: The Fed is Pushing On a String
Bank Reserves and Loans: The Fed is Pushing On a String The money multiplier effect no longer works. As you (hopefully) know, we live in a fractional reserve banking system: if the bank is required to have $1 in cash reserves for every $10 in loans, it means the bank creates $10 of new money when it issues a […]
