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The Global Economy Is Rapidly Slowing Down
The Global Economy Is Rapidly Slowing Down Summary Between a domestic real estate bubble bursting, the Evergrande debt crisis, electricity power outages, plus negative service and manufacturing PMIs in September, China’s economic slowdown has been very swift. The practice of defaulting on foreign debt and trying to restructure domestic debt is common in emerging market […]
Shortages & Hyperinflation Lead to Total Misery
SHORTAGES & HYPERINFLATION LEAD TO TOTAL MISERY At the end of major economic cycles, shortages develop in all areas of the economy. And this is what the world is experiencing today on a global basis. There is a general lack of labour, whether it is restaurant staff, truck drivers or medical personnel. There are also […]
Why Do Central Banks Want Higher Inflation?
Why Do Central Banks Want Higher Inflation? The debt ceiling debate in U.S. Congress and related political nonsense brings even more to light the exponential growth in US federal government debt. US government debt has doubled in the 10 years since the last major debacle Congress created over raising the debt ceiling back 2011. The […]
Banks Disclose Tidbits of Hidden Stock Market Leverage of “Securities-Based Lending,” as Known Stock Market Leverage Surges
Banks Disclose Tidbits of Hidden Stock Market Leverage of “Securities-Based Lending,” as Known Stock Market Leverage Surges No one knows total stock market leverage, but it’s huge and ballooning, as we see from the tidbits we’re allowed to see. No one knows how much total leverage there is in the stock market. Only fragments are […]
Contagion!
Contagion! There has been a litany of bad news recently, including the U.S. August humiliation in Afghanistan, China’s aggressive actions against Taiwan and increased tensions with Iran, North Korea and Russia. It will take the U.S. years, possibly decades, to recover from the debacle of August 2021 and the collapse of American prestige. All of […]
Here is The Hidden $150 Trillion Agenda Behind The “Crusade” Against Climate Change
Here is The Hidden $150 Trillion Agenda Behind The “Crusade” Against Climate Change We now live in a world, where bizarro headlines such as the ones below, have become a daily if not hourly occurrence: *TREASURY TO STUDY IMPACT OF CLIMATE ON HOUSEHOLDS, COMMUNITIES *TREASURY LAUNCHES EFFORT ON CLIMATE-RELATED FINANCIAL RISKS *BRAINARD: CLIMATE-SCENARIO ANALYSIS WILL […]
Weekly Commentary: Contagion
Weekly Commentary: Contagion Another big miss for non-farm payrolls, with September’s 194,000 jobs gain less than half the 500,000 forecast. But with the Unemployment Rate down to 4.8% and Average Hourly Earnings up 4.6% y-o-y (not to mention almost 11 million job openings), there’s ample evidence that much of the labor market has turned exceptionally […]
“Catastrophic” Property Sales Mean China’s Worst Case Scenario Is Now In Play
“Catastrophic” Property Sales Mean China’s Worst Case Scenario Is Now In Play No matter how the Evergrande drama plays out – whether it culminates with an uncontrolled, chaotic default and/or distressed asset sale liquidation, a controlled restructuring where bondholders get some compensation, or with Beijing blinking and bailing out the core pillar of China’s housing […]
Life’s a Beach Until the Tsunami Hits: Four Waves Nobody Cares About–Yet
Life’s a Beach Until the Tsunami Hits: Four Waves Nobody Cares About–Yet Four monster waves are about to crash onto the Fed’s beach party and sweep away the unwary revelers. Hey, is the water in the bay receding? Never mind, free drinks are on the Federal Reserve, so party on, life’s a beach, asset bubbles […]
Like The Dance Band On The Titanic, The Band Plays On
Like The Dance Band On The Titanic, The Band Plays On As The Ship Goes Down The Band Plays On It is said the dance band on the Titanic played on as the ship went down. This was all done as a grand effort to reassure the passengers and ease the panic in their hearts. Consider […]
The Biggest Federal Reserve Scandal
The Biggest Federal Reserve Scandal Following revelations that Federal Reserve officials made trades in financial assets while the Fed was taking extraordinary efforts to “stimulate” the economy, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ordered a review of the Fed’s ethics rules. While these trades appear problematic, they pale in comparison to the biggest Fed scandal — […]
Evergrande Misses Debt Payments Due Monday As World’s Richest Banker Says China’s “Lehman Moment” Has Arrived
Evergrande Misses Debt Payments Due Monday As World’s Richest Banker Says China’s “Lehman Moment” Has Arrived Wall Street analysts have been churning out commentary this week proclaiming that while Evergrande’s troubles pose a serious threat to the Chinese economy, it’s potential collapse doesn’t represent a “Lehman Moment”. As Thursday’s bond-interest deadline looms, analysts at Mizuho […]
It’s a Fourth Turning: What Did You Expect?
IT’S A FOURTH TURNING: WHAT DID YOU EXPECT? “Reflect on what happens when a terrible winter blizzard strikes. You hear the weather warning but probably fail to act on it. The sky darkens. Then the storm hits with full fury, and the air is a howling whiteness. One by one, your links to the machine […]
From the Notebook – Will Germany Finally Start the EU Breakup?
From the Notebook – Will Germany Finally Start the EU Breakup? We’ve all been so focused on the internal divisions in the U.S. and with Davos trying to run the table here that we’ve neglected somewhat old theses about the potential breakup of the European Union. The EU is a mess. Everyone knows this. Its banks are […]
The dollar’s debt trap
The dollar’s debt trap On the fiftieth anniversary of the Nixon Shock, this article explains why fiat currencies have become joined at the hip to financial asset values. And why with increasing inevitability they are about to descend into the next financial crisis together. I start by defining the currencies we use as money and […]
