Crude oil prices will go the way of ‘whale oil’ as demand has peaked, says ARK’s Cathie Wood
Rising crude oil prices are a factor of supply rather than demand, she says
Much like the whale oil trade at its peak in the mid 1800s, crude oil prices have probably topped.
That’s according to Cathie Wood, founder and CEO of Ark Investment Management, who spoke of a coming peak in crude oil prices due to the arrival of electric vehicles (EV), in a series of tweets late Thursday.
Citing U.S. Energy Information Administration data, the investment manager said global oil demand peaked at 101 million barrels per day (mbd) in 2019, dropped to 92 mbd during the coronavirus in 2020, and has since rebounded to 97 mbd in 2021. “Based on our forecast for EV sales, @ARKInvest believes that oil demand has peaked,” Wood said.
ARK has predicted that EV sales will rise roughly 20-fold from around 2.2 million in 2020 to 40 million units in 2025, and industry heavyweight Tesla TSLA, 1.54% is the biggest holding in the flagship ARK Innovation exchange-traded fund ARKK, 1.04%. She also pointed to pension funds who are demanding oil companies reduce capital spending while Wall Street banks are denying them money for fracking, as OPEC is “holding the line on supply”.
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