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The looming derivative crisis
The looming derivative crisis The powerful forces of bank credit contraction are at the heart of a rapidly evolving financial crisis in global derivatives, whose gross value is over $600 trillion; an unimaginable sum. Central banks are on course to destroy their currencies through unlimited monetary expansion, lethal for bullion banks with fractionally reserved unallocated […]
Peter Schiff: This Is a Financial Crisis
Peter Schiff: This Is a Financial Crisis A lot of people in the mainstream still insist this isn’t a financial crisis like we saw in 2008. They say this is just a self-inflicted shutdown of the economy. Since we decided to shut it down, we can decide to start it back up again. Peter Schiff […]
We’re Not Going Back to Normal
We’re Not Going Back to Normal Turn the key and the economy will restart. That’s a myth a lot of people in the mainstream have peddled since governments started shutting down the economy in response to the coronavirus pandemic. That’s not going to happen. We’re not going back to normal. In fact, things weren’t “normal” […]
Cover-19 and the Death of Market Fundamentalism
COVID-19 AND THE DEATH OF MARKET FUNDAMENTALISM On top of the countless human tragedies, there will be many long-lasting social and economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. Perhaps none will be more profound though, than the death of free market fundamentalism and the return of the State. Why now? After all, there have long been […]
Covid-19 and the Collapse of Cash
Covid-19 and the Collapse of Cash In my last article I referred to how since fears of Covid-19 in the UK took root in March, cash usage has fallen dramatically. Whilst the drop off has been substantial, the trend of cash payments being in decline is long established. Based on early evidence, the coronavirus pandemic has exacerbated this […]
OPINION: Foxes in the henhouse – Who decides where bailout money goes?
OPINION: Foxes in the henhouse – Who decides where bailout money goes? In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, trillions of bailout dollars in the U.S. and Canada are about to be fire hosed into particular areas of the economy. Given that this is public money held by governments, who decides where and to whom […]
Oil, Gas, Petrochemical Financial Woes Predate Pandemic — And Will Continue After, Despite Bailouts, Report Finds
Oil, Gas, Petrochemical Financial Woes Predate Pandemic — And Will Continue After, Despite Bailouts, Report Finds The oil, gas, and petrochemical industries have taken a massive financial blow from the COVID-19 pandemic, a new report from the Center for International Environmental Law (CIEL) concludes, but its financial troubles preexisted the emergence of the novel coronavirus and are likely to extend […]
Will it be an Inflationary or Deflationary Depression?
Will it be an Inflationary or Deflationary Depression? At some point, the economy is no longer controlled by individual citizens in the marketplace but by government “planners,” who find they have only one of two alternatives: stop “stimulating” and permit a full-scale credit collapse, or continue stimulating until the dollar loses all value and society […]
A Pandemic Iceberg Hits the ‘Unsinkable’ U.S. Economy– A Map Ahead
A Pandemic Iceberg Hits the ‘Unsinkable’ U.S. Economy– A Map Ahead The ‘unsinkable’ Titanic was designed to withstand a breach of four compartments, ensuring the ship would stay afloat. On the evening of April 14, 1912, the ship hit an iceberg, breaching five compartments, and within two and half hours, the vessel sank. Many investors […]
Overcapacity / Oversupply Everywhere: Massive Deflation Ahead
Overcapacity / Oversupply Everywhere: Massive Deflation Ahead The price of a great many assets will crash, out of proportion to the decline in demand. Oil is the poster child of the forces driving massive deflation: overcapacity / oversupply and a collapse in demand. Overcapacity / oversupply and a collapse in demand are not limited to the […]
Credit Markets – The Waiting Game
Credit Markets – The Waiting Game Everything and the Kitchen Sink After the first inter-meeting rate cut in early March, we opined that further rate cuts were a near certainty and that “not-QE” would swiftly morph into “QE, next iteration” (see Rate Cutters Unanimous for the details). As it turned out, the monetary mandarins did not even […]
Weekly Commentary: When Money Died
Weekly Commentary: When Money Died Sitting at the dinner table, our eleven-year old son inquired: “If a big meteor was about to hit the earth, how much money would the Fed print?” I complimented his sense of humor. Yet it was a sad testament to the historic monetary fiasco that will haunt his generation. Federal […]
Worst Recession in 150 Years
Worst Recession in 150 Years The stock market had another big day today, spurred by the Fed’s massive recent liquidity injections. But you really shouldn’t be terribly surprised by the rally. Even the worst bear markets see substantial bouncebacks. And you can expect the market to give back all of its recent gains in the […]
What Are You Gonna Do About It?
What Are You Gonna Do About It? Tucked into the recent recovery bill was a provision granting the Federal Reserve the right to set up a $450 billion bailout plan without following key provisions of the federal open meetings law, including announcing its meetings or keeping most records about them, according to a POLITICO review […]
Houston: The Banks Have A Huge Problem
Houston: The Banks Have A Huge Problem For many years after the financial crisis, US commercial banks were mocked when instead of generating earnings the old-fashioned way, by collecting the interest arb on loans they had made, or even by frontrunning the Fed with their prop (and flow) trading desks, they would “earn” their way […]
