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How much oil remains for the world to produce? Comparing assessment methods, and separating fact from fiction

How much oil remains for the world to produce? Comparing assessment methods, and separating fact from fiction Abstract This paper assesses how much oil remains to be produced, and whether this poses a significant constraint to global development. We describe the different categories of oil and related liquid fuels, and show that public-domain by-country and global […]

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Energy consultancy keeps lowering worldwide recoverable oil resources

Energy consultancy keeps lowering worldwide recoverable oil resources It’s hard to say that three years makes a trend. But one of the world’s major energy consulting firms has lowered its estimate of world oil reserves for three years in a row now. Rystad Energy provides a publicly available analysis of world oil reserves each year. In […]

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Lev Tolstoy on Afghanistan: “It Happened Because it had to Happen”

Lev Tolstoy on Afghanistan: “It Happened Because it had to Happen” When an apple has ripened and falls, why does it fall? Because of its attraction to the earth, because its stalk withers, because it is dried by the sun, because it grows heavier, because the wind shakes it, or because the boy standing below […]

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Annual Reserve Revisions Part IV: Shale Producers

Annual Reserve Revisions Part IV: Shale Producers EIA Liquids Reserve Estimates This follows on from Part I, which looked at EIA reserves and revision estimates for US as a whole and the GoM, and concentrates on the on-shore tight oil and (below)gas producing regions. The EIA issues revision data by whole states or state districts […]

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How Much Oil Can Saudi Arabia Really Produce?

How Much Oil Can Saudi Arabia Really Produce? For decades, the true numbers relating to Saudi Arabia’s level of crude oil reserves and production have been a subject of much debate and confusion, not helped by the obfuscation from the Saudis over precisely what these numbers are. The reason for obfuscation is that Saudi Arabia’s […]

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Big Oil Is In Desperate Need Of New Discoveries

Big Oil Is In Desperate Need Of New Discoveries The year 2020 was a watershed moment for the fossil fuel sector. Faced with a global pandemic, severe demand shocks and a shift towards renewable energy, experts warned that nearly $900 billion worth of reserves–or about one-third of the value of big oil and gas companies–were […]

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Wikileaks Cables: Saudi Arabia Oil Reserves Overstated

Wikileaks Cables: Saudi Arabia Oil Reserves Overstated UNYOM The United States fears that Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest crude oil exporter, may not have enough reserves to prevent oil prices escalating, confidential cables from its embassy in Riyadh show. The cables, released by WikiLeaks, urge Washington to take seriously a warning from a senior Saudi government […]

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Brazil Reserves and Production Update, 1H2018

Brazil Reserves and Production Update, 1H2018 brazil c&c production Brazil and Petrobras show something in common with US LTO: even with a lot of debt and desire, and a strong resource base it is difficult to raise production in the face of high decline rates. It may also be a lesson for the world as […]

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GoM Reserves and Production Update, 1H2018

GoM Reserves and Production Update, 1H2018 crude and condensate reserves BOEM remaining C&C reserve estimates for GoM increased by 649 mmbbls for 2016 (i.e. to 31st December 2016). This was 112% reserve replacement and followed a similar growth of 618 mmbbls (111% reserve replacement) for 2015. The BOEM reserve calculation method appears to give highly […]

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Mexico Production and Reserves, 1H2018

Mexico Production and Reserves, 1H2018 mexico c&c production Mexico oil production is in decline though, at the moment, not as steep as it was expected to be (at least by me – IEA predictions are closer). Data is through June and comes from Pemex and National Hydrocarbons Information Center (CNIH)(both sites are pretty good). For […]

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Satellite Images Reveal Saudis May Be Lying How Much Oil They Have In Storage

Satellite Images Reveal Saudis May Be Lying How Much Oil They Have In Storage A little over a year ago, specialized satellite imaging company Orbital Insight which uses its proprietary imaging and algorithms to track above-ground oil storage, confirmed something we had alleged earlier in the year: that China was vastly under-representing the amount of […]

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CONFIRMED: North Korea has enough oil to survive embargo

CONFIRMED: North Korea has enough oil to survive embargo While a full scale oil embargo against North Korea is unlikely, the reality is that North Korea would be able to survive such a measure with comparative ease. The United States has recently suggested a global oil embargo against North Korea, something both China and Russia […]

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Venezuela Is About to Ditch the Dollar in Major Blow to US: Here’s Why It Matters

Venezuela Is About to Ditch the Dollar in Major Blow to US: Here’s Why It Matters (ANTIMEDIA) — Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro said Thursday that Venezuela will be looking to “free” itself from the U.S. dollar next week, Reuters reports. According to the outlet, Maduro will look to use the weakest of two official foreign exchange regimes (essentially the way […]

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Norway Oil and Gas: Reserves, Production and Future Projection

Norway Oil and Gas: Reserves, Production and Future Projection Norwegian oil production peaked in 2000 to 2001; gas production may be peaking about now. Oil hit a low in 2013 and then recovered towards a new local peak, probably concurrent with the gas. drilling and development The most surprising thing I find with their industry […]

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Australia’s oil stock coverage on record low

Australia’s oil stock coverage on record low In prime time evening news of the Australian public broadcaster ABC TV, on 21 June 2017, the business presenter Alan Kohler tried to explain a fall in oil prices by “record oil inventories around the world” http://www.abc.net.au/news/business/kohler-report/ Well, let’s go around the world on a map and stay […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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