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Tag Archives: peak oil barrel

Bakken Flat but the EIA Predicts Decline

September 16, 2015

Bakken Flat but the EIA Predicts Decline The North Dakota Industrial Commission has published the July production data forThe Bakken and for all North Dakota. Bakken production was down 5,430 barrels per day while all North Dakota was down 9,410 bpd. Here is a more amplified view of what has happened during the last 12 months. Bakken […]

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OPEC August Production Flat

September 15, 2015

OPEC August Production Flat The latest OPEC Monthly Oil Market report is out with OPEC production numbers for August 2015. All charts below are in thousand barrels per day with the last data point August 2015. Not much has happened since June, OPEC 12 production was up 12,000 bpd in August that is well within the margin of […]

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The EIA Changes Data Collection Methods

September 5, 2015

The EIA Changes Data Collection Methods EIA begins monthly survey-based reporting of U.S. crude oil production With the release of today’s Petroleum Supply Monthly, EIA is incorporating the first survey-based reporting of monthly U.S. crude oil production statistics. Today’s Petroleum Supply Monthly includes estimates for June 2015 crude oil production using new survey data for 13 states and […]

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US Oil Production Nears Previous Peak

August 31, 2015

US Oil Production Nears Previous Peak The EIA’s Monthly Energy Review came out a couple of days ago. The data is in thousand barrels per day and the last data point is July 2015. US consumption of total liquids, or as the EIA calls it, petroleum products supplied, reached 20,000,000 barrels per day for the first time […]

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Jean Laherrere’s Bakken Update

August 25, 2015

Jean Laherrere’s Bakken Update Jean Laherrere sent me the below charts the other day. I had planned on posting them with more Bakken data. But my schedule has been busy so I am posting them alone. Jean’s interpretation for ND is as follows Bakken ultimate = 3 Gb Non Bakken ultimate = 2.2 Gb ND […]

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US Shale Declining and OPEC Still Climbing

August 12, 2015

US Shale Declining and OPEC Still Climbing There is new data out today. The EIA published their International Petroleum Statisticsyesterday. The EIA also published their Drilling Productivity Report which gave their expected shale oil and gas production through September. Then this morning OPEC published their Monthly Oil Marketing Report with OPEC crude only production numbers through July. First the Drilling […]

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International Rig Count Still Falling

International Rig Count Still Falling The Baker Hughes International Rig Count is out. I have decided to try something new with the charts. That is to compare the current year’s rig count with the previous two years count and to insert, within the charts, the percent change for this year as compared to last year. Also, this […]

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US Oil Production Finally Starting to Decline

US Oil Production Finally Starting to Decline There has been very little data to post about recently and as everyone should know by now, I post primarily about data. So if there is no data there is not much to post about. Also I have been very busy for the a week now and have […]

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World Natural Gas Shock Model

World Natural Gas Shock Model The post that follows relies heavily on the work of Paul Pukite (aka Webhubbletelescope), Jean Laherrere, and Steve Mohr. Any mistakes are my responsibility. For World Natural Gas URR Steve Mohr estimates 3 cases, with case 2 being his best estimate. Case 1 URR= 14,000 TCF (trillion cubic feet) Case 2 URR= 18,000 TCF […]

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Oil Shipments by Rail Declining

Oil Shipments by Rail Declining Weekly oil shipments by rail can be found on the web at Weekly Carload Reports. And a summation of that data with charts can be found at Association of American Railroads Freight Rail Traffic Data. Crude oil by rail basically started with the shale boom. Prior to that almost all oil […]

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OPEC Production Still Increasing

OPEC Production Still Increasing The July OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is out with all OPEC Crude Only production data for June 2015. Crude Only production for the entire OPEC 12 as up 283,000 barrels per day in June to 31,378,000 bpd. But that was after May production had been revised up by 120,000 bpd. So counting May’s […]

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The EIA’s Short-Term Guessing Game

The EIA’s Short-Term Guessing Game The EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook came out a few days ago. That is where they try to guess the future production and price for oil, for the USA as well as the world. As of late they seem to be getting a little timid with their predictions. They are saying not much […]

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Oil Shock Models with Different Ultimately Recoverable Resources of Crude plus Condensate (3100 Gb to 3700 Gb)

Oil Shock Models with Different Ultimately Recoverable Resources of Crude plus Condensate (3100 Gb to 3700 Gb) The views expressed are those of Dennis Coyne and do not necessarily reflect the views of Ron Patterson. The post that follows relies heavily on the previous work of both Paul Pukite (aka Webhubbletelescope) and Jean Laherrere and I thank them both […]

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The EIA’s Questionable Numbers

The EIA’s Questionable Numbers The EIA’s, on June 30th, published its Petroleum Supply Monthly. I Think their numbers are just way too high. I compared them with the EIA’s Weekly Petroleum Status Report. The chart below shows the Results. I averaged the weekly numbers and converted them to monthly data. They were pretty close for the first […]

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Bakken by County

Bakken by County North Dakota publishes monthly ND Historical Barrels of Oil Produced by County. This data however does not include confidential wells. But they do estimate, by county, their confidential well production here: Oil and Gas Production Report All charts are in barrels per day and are only for the last 16 months in order to […]

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