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Will the world ever reach peak crude production of November 2018 again? (part 1)

Will the world ever reach peak crude production of November 2018 again? (part 1) According to EIA data global crude & condensate production peaked in November 2018 at 84.5 mb/d. The peak was short-lived: 2 months above 83 mb/d plus 3 months above 84 mb/d while the average for the remaining months was 82.2 mb/d. […]

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The world has a major crude oil problem; expect conflict ahead

The world has a major crude oil problem; expect conflict ahead Media outlets tend to make it sound as if all our economic problems are temporary problems, related to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. In fact, world crude oil production has been falling behind needed levels since 2019. This problem, by itself, encourages the world economy […]

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Peak Oil Might Be Just Three Years Away, McKinsey Says

Peak Oil Might Be Just Three Years Away, McKinsey Says The energy transition continues to gain steam, with oil demand projected to peak in this decade – perhaps as soon as 2025, according to new research by leading global consultancy McKinsey & Company. McKinsey’s Global Energy Perspective research was launched at a time when global […]

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Food shortages as the energy crisis grows and supply chains break?

Food shortages as the energy crisis grows and supply chains break? Preface. This is a long preface followed by two articles about how supply chains and complex tractors may be affected by energy shortages and consequent supply chain failures in the future.Which we’re already seeing as massive numbers of ships sit offshore waiting to be […]

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As oil declines, the threat of a greenhouse earth & extinction from climate change decline

As oil declines, the threat of a greenhouse earth & extinction from climate change decline Carbon sequestration, wind, solar, geo-engineering, and other remedies are trivial compared to the effect declining fossil fuels will have on reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The natural rate of decline today is 8.5%, exponentially increasing, and offset by 4%, so the […]

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Preparing for Peak Oil Part 1

Preparing for Peak Oil Part 1

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100 Things You Can Do To Prepare Yourself for Peak Oil

100 Things You Can Do To Prepare Yourself for Peak Oil Home: 1. If you live in a place where it gets hot in the summer, consider building a screen room (a room with screened windows all around or almost always around), either attached to your house or seperate. You can put a wood cookstove […]

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Food shortages as the energy crisis grows and supply chains break?

Food shortages as the energy crisis grows and supply chains break? Preface. This is a long preface followed by two articles about how supply chains and complex tractors may be affected by energy shortages and consequent supply chain failures in the future.Which we’re already seeing as massive numbers of ships sit offshore waiting to be […]

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Matt Simmons on Peak Oil

Matt Simmons on Peak Oil

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Russian oil production update Nov 2021

Russian oil production update Nov 2021 Pic 1: Druzhba oil pipeline, refineries supplied https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/ce/7/4144/4136/Druzhba%20IEA.pngFig 2: Crude production peaked before Covid at around 10.6 mb/d That this production level would be some kind of limit was known for a long time April 2008 The IEA’s latest medium-term outlook, published in July, points to Russia as the […]

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Is there a long emergency plan for peak oil?

Is there a long emergency plan for peak oil? Ever since I first learned about peak oil in 2000, the Master Resource that makes all other resources and activities possible, I’ve wondered what The Plan to cope with its decline and eventual disappearance was. So it wouldn’t be just a long emergency plan, but a […]

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Peak Fossil Fuels: overview of world peak oil, peak coal, & peak natural gas

Peak Fossil Fuels: overview of world peak oil, peak coal, & peak natural gas Source: World gas peaks in 2040 roughly. Delannoy L et al (2021) Assessing Global Long-Term EROI of Gas: A Net-Energy Perspective on the Energy Transition. Energies.  https://doi.org/10.3390/en14165112 Preface. Below are overviews of peak oil, coal, and natural gas, each followed by additional […]

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Peak oil is here!

Peak oil is here! Preface. Peak oil is here! The global production of crude oil happened in November of 2018 (EIA 2020), and has declined for four years, enough time to officially declare global peak oil production. Conventional crude oil production leveled off in 2005, and peaked in 2008 at 69.5 million barrels per day (mb/d) […]

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Russia’s Oil Output Could Peak In 2023

Russia’s Oil Output Could Peak In 2023 There are growing doubts as to whether Russia can grow petroleum production to the volumes forecast by Moscow. The world’s third-largest oil producer’s output will continue growing, peaking at 12.2 million barrels per day by mid-2023, according to Rystad Energy. A combination of extreme climate, rising depletion rates […]

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The Impending World Energy Mess with Robert L. Hirsch

The Impending World Energy Mess with Robert L. Hirsch

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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