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Running On Empty

Running On Empty Well, we definitely seem to have passed a threshold of sorts. For most of the sixteen years since I started blogging, one of the things I had to point out constantly to my readers was the slow pace of historical change.  Whenever I posted an essay on the twilight of industrial society, […]

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Our Impending Impasse and Sid Smith’s New Series

Our Impending Impasse and Sid Smith’s New Series Keowee Toxaway State Park, South Carolina I have a backlog of articles I have started but haven’t yet finished, so I’m starting with this one which has to do with our impending impasse. I think William Catton, Jr. worded that very well. It actually comes from his […]

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Saudi Arabia warns that the world is running out of energy capacity: ‘I have never seen these things’

Saudi Arabia warns that the world is running out of energy capacity: ‘I have never seen these things’ The EU is planning a complete ban on Russian oil imports. iznashih/Getty Images Saudi Oil Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman warned Tuesday that the world is “running out of energy capacity at all levels.” “I am a dinosaur, […]

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Whispers of the Fall

Whispers of the Fall It’s been sixteen years now since I first started posting these weekly essays to the internet. Though I didn’t originally intend them to focus on the crisis of industrial society, that theme was impossible for me to evade, and I soon gave up trying; there was too much that had to […]

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Will the world ever reach peak crude production of November 2018 again? (part 1)

Will the world ever reach peak crude production of November 2018 again? (part 1) According to EIA data global crude & condensate production peaked in November 2018 at 84.5 mb/d. The peak was short-lived: 2 months above 83 mb/d plus 3 months above 84 mb/d while the average for the remaining months was 82.2 mb/d. […]

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The world has a major crude oil problem; expect conflict ahead

The world has a major crude oil problem; expect conflict ahead Media outlets tend to make it sound as if all our economic problems are temporary problems, related to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. In fact, world crude oil production has been falling behind needed levels since 2019. This problem, by itself, encourages the world economy […]

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Peak Oil Might Be Just Three Years Away, McKinsey Says

Peak Oil Might Be Just Three Years Away, McKinsey Says The energy transition continues to gain steam, with oil demand projected to peak in this decade – perhaps as soon as 2025, according to new research by leading global consultancy McKinsey & Company. McKinsey’s Global Energy Perspective research was launched at a time when global […]

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Food shortages as the energy crisis grows and supply chains break?

Food shortages as the energy crisis grows and supply chains break? Preface. This is a long preface followed by two articles about how supply chains and complex tractors may be affected by energy shortages and consequent supply chain failures in the future.Which we’re already seeing as massive numbers of ships sit offshore waiting to be […]

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As oil declines, the threat of a greenhouse earth & extinction from climate change decline

As oil declines, the threat of a greenhouse earth & extinction from climate change decline Carbon sequestration, wind, solar, geo-engineering, and other remedies are trivial compared to the effect declining fossil fuels will have on reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The natural rate of decline today is 8.5%, exponentially increasing, and offset by 4%, so the […]

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Preparing for Peak Oil Part 1

Preparing for Peak Oil Part 1

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100 Things You Can Do To Prepare Yourself for Peak Oil

100 Things You Can Do To Prepare Yourself for Peak Oil Home: 1. If you live in a place where it gets hot in the summer, consider building a screen room (a room with screened windows all around or almost always around), either attached to your house or seperate. You can put a wood cookstove […]

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Food shortages as the energy crisis grows and supply chains break?

Food shortages as the energy crisis grows and supply chains break? Preface. This is a long preface followed by two articles about how supply chains and complex tractors may be affected by energy shortages and consequent supply chain failures in the future.Which we’re already seeing as massive numbers of ships sit offshore waiting to be […]

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Matt Simmons on Peak Oil

Matt Simmons on Peak Oil

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Russian oil production update Nov 2021

Russian oil production update Nov 2021 Pic 1: Druzhba oil pipeline, refineries supplied https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/ce/7/4144/4136/Druzhba%20IEA.pngFig 2: Crude production peaked before Covid at around 10.6 mb/d That this production level would be some kind of limit was known for a long time April 2008 The IEA’s latest medium-term outlook, published in July, points to Russia as the […]

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Is there a long emergency plan for peak oil?

Is there a long emergency plan for peak oil? Ever since I first learned about peak oil in 2000, the Master Resource that makes all other resources and activities possible, I’ve wondered what The Plan to cope with its decline and eventual disappearance was. So it wouldn’t be just a long emergency plan, but a […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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