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15 Facts Which Prove That A Massive Economic Meltdown Is Already Happening Right Now

15 Facts Which Prove That A Massive Economic Meltdown Is Already Happening Right Now Economic conditions just keep getting worse.  As we prepare to enter 2023, we find ourselves in a high inflation environment at the same time that economic activity is really slowing down.  And just like we witnessed in 2008, employers are conducting […]

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Inflation, recession, and declining US hegemony

Inflation, recession, and declining US hegemony In the distant future, we might look back on 2022 and 2023 as pivotal years. So far, we have seen the conflict between America and the two Asian hegemons emerge into the open, leading to a self-inflicted energy crisis on the western alliance. The forty-year trend of declining interest […]

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It’s Wholesale Robbery!

It’s Wholesale Robbery! The latest inflation news was glorious, they said. The whole media told us so! It’s easing, improving, better than it has been and headed in the right direction. So stop your kvetching and get out there and make (and spend) money. For that matter, throw around the credit card a bit and […]

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Global Rate Hikes Hit the Wall of Debt Maturity

Global Rate Hikes Hit the Wall of Debt Maturity More than ninety central banks worldwide are increasing interest rates. Bloomberg predicts that by mid-2023, the global policy rate, calculated as the average of major central banks’ reference rates weighted by GDP, will reach 5.5%. Next year, the federal funds rate is projected to reach 5.15 percent. Raising […]

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No Surprise: Wall Street Wants to Raise the Target Inflation Rate above 2 Percent

No Surprise: Wall Street Wants to Raise the Target Inflation Rate above 2 Percent Price inflation in the United States remains stubbornly high, with October’s print at 7.7 percent. The Fed’s preferred measure, so-called core inflation is only two-tenths of a percent below 40-year highs, at 6.3 percent. Yet, it was just last year that […]

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The Mother of all Economic Crises

The Mother of all Economic Crises Nouriel Roubini, a former advisor to the International Monetary Fund and member of President Clinton’s Council of Economic Advisors, was one of the few “mainstream” economists to predict the collapse of the housing bubble. Now Roubini is warning that the staggering amounts of debt held by individuals, businesses, and […]

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BIS warns of $80 trillion of hidden FX swap debt

BIS warns of $80 trillion of hidden FX swap debt LONDON — The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) has warned that pension funds and other ‘non-bank’ financial firms now have more than $80 trillion of hidden, off-balance sheet dollar debt in the form of FX swaps. Dubbed the central bank to the world’s central banks, […]

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Winter in Central Europe and for the dollar

Winter in Central Europe and for the dollar In this article I examine the current state of the fight for hegemonic control between America on the one side, and Russia and China on the other. It is being fought on two fronts. Ukraine, the one in plain sight, is about to endure a winter without […]

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The Unavoidable Crash

Spencer Platt/Getty Images The Unavoidable Crash After years of ultra-loose fiscal, monetary, and credit policies and the onset of major negative supply shocks, stagflationary pressures are now putting the squeeze on a massive mountain of public- and private-sector debt. The mother of all economic crises looms, and there will be little that policymakers can do […]

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Gold’s Climb Amidst Wisdom’s Decline

Gold’s Climb Amidst Wisdom’s Decline As the latest headlines from the FTX implosion remind us yet again of a politicized and rigged market riddled with deception, gold’s climb becomes easier to foresee. But first, a little philosophical musing… Modern Policy: High Office, Low Wisdom I have often referred to La Rochefoucauld’s maxim asserting the highest […]

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War on Cash: India Rolling Out Retail Pilot Program for Digital Rupee

War on Cash: India Rolling Out Retail Pilot Program for Digital Rupee NOVEMBER 23, 2022  BY SCHIFFGOLD   0   1 We recently reported that the Federal Reserve plans to launch a 12-week pilot program in partnership with several large commercial banks to test the feasibility of a central bank digital currency (CBDC). The US isn’t alone in experimenting with digital […]

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Poland’s central bank predicts double-digit inflation until 2024

Poland’s central bank predicts double-digit inflation until 2024 (Natural News) The National Bank of Poland (NBP) has predicted that the Central European nation will be saddled with high inflation for the next two years. According to the NBP, yearly inflation will hit 14.5 percent in 2022 and drop to 13.1 percent in 2023. Single-digit rates will […]

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Today’s Energy Crisis Is Very Different from the Energy Crisis of 2005

Today’s Energy Crisis Is Very Different from the Energy Crisis of 2005 Back in 2005, the world economy was “humming along.” World growth in energy consumption per capita was rising at 2.3% per year in the 2001 to 2005 period. China had been added to the World Trade Organization in December 2001, ramping up its […]

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The Regime Is Shifting, And Here’s What That Means

The Regime Is Shifting, And Here’s What That Means Authored by Simon White, Bloomberg macro-strategist, The macro landscape is changing. Inflation will remain in an elevated and unstable regime, but the first stage of the crisis is drawing to a close. That means the dollar in a downward trend, bonds in an upward trend, stocks underperforming […]

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The Unintended Consequences of Unintended Consequences

The Unintended Consequences of Unintended Consequences Decades of central bank distortions and regulatory / market-share capture by cartels and monopolies have completely gutted “markets,” destroying their self-correcting dynamics. Unintended consequences introduce unexpected problems that may not have easy solutions. An entirely different set of problems are unleashed as unintended consequences have their own unintended consequences. This is the problem with complex […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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