Home » Posts tagged 'complexity' (Page 3)
Tag Archives: complexity
5 Reasons Not to Predict the End of the World
5 Reasons Not to Predict the End of the World “Everyone, deep in their hearts, is waiting for the end of the world to come.” — Haruki Murakami So you want to talk about the end of the world without sounding like a crank? Rule #1 should be: Don’t predict when it will happen. A lot […]
Phase Shift — Part 1
Phase Shift — Part 1 Loosing polar ice, the Amazon and the fight against a coming recession Image credit: Pawel Czerwinski via Unsplash News stories and popular narratives on recent — and not so recent — events like how the economy got broke or why inflation is soaring focus too much on human decisions. As if ‘choices’ leading […]
This is how civilisations collapse
This is how civilisations collapse Last week, in an attempt to explain away the supply chain woes that are increasingly leading to goods shortages in America, President Biden cited a popular neoliberal fable. He observed that to make a pencil, wood and graphite must be sourced from the other ends of the world before the finished product can […]
Is the Future Already Written?
Is the Future Already Written? Image credit: Emile Guillemot Generally speaking the future is impossible to tell. The story of us could take many different paths branching into ever different versions of its current self. There are an infinite number futures, which we shape and select every day, every hour, every minute with our conscious decisions, […]
The Great Economic Destruction & COMPLEXITY
The Great Economic Destruction & COMPLEXITY COMMENT #1: OK Marty, it is now becoming obvious that not only Trump reads your stuff but so does Obama. Trump bought a $19 million remote island and Obama bought one for $15 million. This is not a coincidence. Your war cycle goes nuts next year and we have […]
Is the Future Predetermined?
Is the Future Predetermined? QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; it is easy to see why the government wanted Socrates. You said Monday would be the low then a bounce and that is what unfolds. You forecast so many markets and you get it to the day. Others claim this is the guy who called 2008 so buy […]
2022: Energy limits are likely to push the world economy into recessionIn my view, there are three ways a growing economy can be sustained:
2022: Energy limits are likely to push the world economy into recessionIn my view, there are three ways a growing economy can be sustained: With a growing supply of cheap-to-produce energy products, matched to the economy’s energy needs. With growing debt and other indirect promises of future goods and services, such as rising asset prices. […]
5 Signs a Civilization is About to Fail
5 Signs a Civilization is About to Fail
Things do not have to run out for their scarcity to become destabilizing
Things do not have to run out for their scarcity to become destabilizing Economic cornucopians who believe “innovation” and “substitution” will solve every constraint on the resources needed for modern civilization use a clever piece of misdirection to deflect the arguments of those concerned about limits. These cornucopians say that the claim by the limits crowd that […]
A problem shared is a problem doubled
A problem shared is a problem doubled At seven minutes to five on the afternoon of 9 August 2019, a lightening strike caused the loss of 150MW of distributed power (i.e., a large number of small wind, diesel and solar generators) from the National Grid. This sudden loss triggered the safety system on the giant Hornsea […]
How Breakdown Cascades Into Collapse
How Breakdown Cascades Into Collapse Maintaining the illusion of confidence, permanence and stability serves the interests of those benefiting from the bubbles and those who prefer the safety of the herd, even as the herd thunders toward the precipice. The misconception that collapse is an all or nothing phenomenon is common: Either the system rights itself with a […]
Supply v Demand – Does It Always Work?
Supply v Demand – Does It Always Work? QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, You say that wheat fell during the Great Depression during the Dust Bowl when supply would have declined. This makes no sense. Would you address that question? KL ANSWER: Your problem is typical in analysis. It appears that 99% of the people always try to reduce […]
