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IEA sees renewed pressure on oil prices as glut worsens

IEA sees renewed pressure on oil prices as glut worsens (Reuters) – Oil prices might have stabilized only temporarily because the global oil glut is worsening and U.S. production shows no sign of slowing, the International Energy Agency said on Friday. The West’s energy watchdog said the United States may soon run out of spare […]

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Deciphering The Latest Rig Count Data

Deciphering The Latest Rig Count Data The main take-away from this week’s rig count is that everything is on track for lower U.S. oil production by mid-year. The weekly changes vary but the overall trend since October is down and that is positive for achieving a better balance between supply and demand. Please remember the […]

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This Chart Shows the True Collapse of Fracking in the US

This Chart Shows the True Collapse of Fracking in the US “People need to kinda settle in for a while.” That’s what Exxon Mobil CEO Rex Tillersonsaid about the low price of oil at the company’s investor conference. “I see a lot of supply out there.” So Exxon is going to do its darnedest to add […]

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Rig Count Decline Re-Accelerates To 2nd Biggest Drop In 22 Years

Rig Count Decline Re-Accelerates To 2nd Biggest Drop In 22 Years Following last week’s slowing in the pace of rig count, crude prices dropped and then spiked, and it makes today’s data under more scrutiny. At around $49.50, WTI prices have round-tripped back almost perfectly to the scene of the crime before today’s rig count […]

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Where Have All The Rigs Gone?

Where Have All The Rigs Gone? Baker Hughes publishes a weekly oil and gas rig count by producing basin. I have created charts of all the most productive basins in order that we can see where oil and gas rigs are increasing or decreasing. Their historic rig count, by basin, goes back 4 years. It needs […]

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If Oil Prices Are Surprising, Then That Can Only Mean Demand

If Oil Prices Are Surprising, Then That Can Only Mean Demand Crude oil futures have been quite volatile of late, particularly in the front months where even the slightest changes in expectations of whatever factor (rig counts, CEO comments, etc.) send WTI surging or tumbling by turn. Despite that, however, the outer years on the […]

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OPEC Production Cut May Not Be Needed After All

OPEC Production Cut May Not Be Needed After All U.S. tight oil production may fall 600,000 barrels per day by June 2015 based on reasonable projections of current rig counts. I compared the decrease in rig counts that began in late 2014 to the rig count decrease in 2008 and 2009 following the Financial Crisis. […]

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Oil Plunges, Inventories Soar to Record, Glut Gets Worse

Oil Plunges, Inventories Soar to Record, Glut Gets Worse Crude oil had rallied 20% in three days, with West Texas Intermediate jumping $9 a barrel since Friday morning, from $44.51 a barrel to $53.56 at its peak on Tuesday. “Bull market” was what we read Tuesday night. The trigger had been the Baker Hughes report […]

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US Rig Count Crashes At Fastest Pace Since 2009 To 14-Month Lows

US Rig Count Crashes At Fastest Pace Since 2009 To 14-Month Lows Just as T.Boone Pickens warned, US Rig Counts are plunging. Down by 61 this week alone – the biggest weekly drop in over 5 years – at 1,750, this is now the lowest since November 2013 (and very close the lowest since 2010). The 10% or […]

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