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Tag Archives: real investment advice
Oil Price Crash Was Inevitable
Oil Price Crash Was Inevitable The oil price crash was inevitable. To understand why we have to review a bit of history. In 2013, I began warning of the risk to oil prices due to the ongoing imbalances between global supply and demand. Those warnings fell on deaf ears. Nobody wanted to pay much attention […]
A Pandemic Iceberg Hits the ‘Unsinkable’ U.S. Economy– A Map Ahead
A Pandemic Iceberg Hits the ‘Unsinkable’ U.S. Economy– A Map Ahead The ‘unsinkable’ Titanic was designed to withstand a breach of four compartments, ensuring the ship would stay afloat. On the evening of April 14, 1912, the ship hit an iceberg, breaching five compartments, and within two and half hours, the vessel sank. Many investors […]
#MacroView: The Fed Can’t Fix What’s Broken
#MacroView: The Fed Can’t Fix What’s Broken “The Federal Reserve is poised to spray trillions of dollars into the U.S. economy once a massive aid package to fight the coronavirus and its aftershocks is signed into law. These actions are unprecedented, going beyond anything it did during the 2008 financial crisis in a sign of […]
Margin Call: You Were Warned Of The Risk
Margin Call: You Were Warned Of The Risk I have been slammed with emails over the last couple of days asking the following questions: “What just happened to my bonds?” “What happened to my gold position, shouldn’t it be going up?” “Why are all my stocks being flushed at the same time?” As noted by Zerohedge: […]
Special Report: Panic Sets In As “Everything Must Go”
Special Report: Panic Sets In As “Everything Must Go” Note: All charts now updated for this mornings open. The following is a report we generate regularly for our RIAPRO Subscribers. You can try our service RISK-FREE for 30-Days. Headlines from the past four-days: Dow sinks 2,000 points in worst day since 2008, S&P 500 drops more […]
Will The Corona Virus Trigger A Recession?
Will The Corona Virus Trigger A Recession? As if waking up to an economic nightmare, investors see headlines like these and many others flashing across their Bloomberg terminals: Facebook says Oculus headphone production will be delayed due to virus Apple extends country wide store closing for another week Foxconn delays iPhone production Qualcomm cuts production […]
“SARS” Versus “Wuhan”: The Difference Between “Now & Then”
“SARS” Versus “Wuhan”: The Difference Between “Now & Then” A week dominated by headlines of a spreading respiratory virus has had investors recalling pandemics past, from SARS in 2003 to the Ebola scare six years ago. While the “Wuhan” virus, or known scientifically as “nCoV,” is still in its infancy, it is closely tracking both the infection and, unfortunately, […]
When It Becomes Serious You Have To Lie: Update On The Repo Fiasco
When It Becomes Serious You Have To Lie: Update On The Repo Fiasco Occasionally, problems reveal themselves gradually. A water stain on the ceiling is potentially evidence of a much larger problem. Painting over the stain will temporarily relieve the unsightly condition, but in time, the water stain will return. This is analogous to a […]
J.M. Keynes: The Time He Had A Point
J.M. Keynes: The Time He Had A Point John Maynard Keynes once said: “Practical men, who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influence, are usually the slaves of some defunct economist. Madmen in authority, who hear voices in the air, are distilling their frenzy from some academic scribbler of a few years […]
Black Monday – Can It Happen Again?
Black Monday – Can It Happen Again? The 1987 stock market crash, better known as Black Monday, was a statistical anomaly, often referred to as a Black Swan event. Unlike other market declines, investors seem to be under the false premise that the stock market in 1987 provided no warning of the impending crash. The […]
8-Reasons To Hold Some Extra Cash
8-Reasons To Hold Some Extra Cash Over the past few months, we have been writing a series of articles that highlight our concerns of increasing market risk. Here is a sampling of some of our more recent newsletters on the issue. Never Hurts To Ring The Cash Register Looking For A Sellable Rally Bull vs. […]
The Mechanics of Absurdity
The Mechanics of Absurdity Over the past few decades, the central banks, including the Federal Reserve (Fed), have relied increasingly on interest rates to help modify economic growth. Interest rate management is their tool of choice because it can be effective and because central banks regulate the supply of money, which directly effects the cost to borrow […]
Whistling Past The $70 Trillion Debt Graveyard
Whistling Past The $70 Trillion Debt Graveyard Review & Market Update Whistling Past The $70 Trillion Debt Graveyard The Real Crisis Is Coming Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager Last week, we discussed the setup for a near-term mean reversion because of the massive extension above the long-term mean. To wit: “There is also just […]
The $6 Trillion Pension Bailout Is Coming
The $6 Trillion Pension Bailout Is Coming Fiscal responsibility is dead. This past week, Trump announced he had reached an agreement with Congress to pass a continuing resolution which will suspend the debt ceiling until July 2021. The good news is that it will ONLY increase spending by just $320 billion. What a bargain, right? […]
Federal Reserve Headlines – Fact or Fiction?
Federal Reserve Headlines – Fact or Fiction? “When it becomes serious, you have to lie.” – Jean-Claude Juncker, former President of the Eurogroup of Eurozone finance ministers On July 16, 2019, Chicago Federal Reserve President Charles Evans made a series of comments that were blasted across the financial news wires. In the headlines taken from […]
