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Election Distraction Has Taken Eyes Off Our Economic Ills
Election Distraction Has Taken Eyes Off Our Economic Ills Lately it has been difficult to write about the economy because of all the noise flowing from the election and covid-19 hype. There is a growing reluctance to opine by many economic skeptics because it appears we have been wrong on recent predictions. Only time will […]
World’s Negative-Yield Debt Pile Has Just Hit a New Record
World’s Negative-Yield Debt Pile Has Just Hit a New Record $17 trillion of investment-grade debt now has sub-zero rates U.K. and Australian central banks expand bond-buying programs The world’s stockpile of negative-yielding debt has swelled to a record in the wake of the U.S. election, as investors lower expectations for a fiscal splurge and turn […]
State of the American Debt-Slaves, Q3 2020: The Stimulus & Forbearance Phenomenon
State of the American Debt-Slaves, Q3 2020: The Stimulus & Forbearance Phenomenon Auto loans jump after historic price spikes. Credit cards still in stimulus wonderland. Student-loan borrowers count on debt forgiveness, mmmkay. Consumers have undertaken an astounding project instead of consuming: Paying down their credit cards. In September, outstanding balances of credit cards and other […]
Oil and the Changing World Order
OIL AND THE CHANGING WORLD ORDER U.S. oil inventories have fallen every week for two months yet WTI has averaged less than $40 per barrel since the end of August. That is because oil has been re-priced and markets are unwilling to pay more for it. Those who expect a return to 2019 price levels acknowledge […]
The Coming Financial Crisis of 2021
The Coming Financial Crisis of 2021 Economist Steve Keen issues new warning Economist Steve Keen predicts that even if the covid-19 health crisis subsides next year, a brewing financial crisis on par with the 2008 Great Recession is in the making. He sees the pandemic as having delivered an “unprecedented shock” to the global economy, […]
The Great American Oil & Gas Massacre: Bankruptcies Hit New Milestone as Bigger Companies Let Go
The Great American Oil & Gas Massacre: Bankruptcies Hit New Milestone as Bigger Companies Let Go The American Oil Boom Was Where Money Went to Die. The amount of secured and unsecured debts, such as loans and bonds, listed in bankruptcy filings in the third quarter by US oil and gas companies, at $34 billion, […]
Japan Embraced Debt As a Way Out of Its Budget Crisis. It’s Not Working.
JAPAN EMBRACED DEBT AS A WAY OUT OF ITS BUDGET CRISIS. IT’S NOT WORKING. The sudden resignation of Japans Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has led to evaluations of his so-called Abenomics. Many have praised Abe’s aggressive monetary policy because the long shopping list of the Bank of Japan (government bonds, corporate bonds, ETFs and real […]
Has Our Luck Finally Run Out?
Has Our Luck Finally Run Out? We are woefully unprepared for a long run of bad luck. Long-term cycles escape our notice because they play out over many years or even decades; few noticed the decreasing rainfall in the Mediterranean region in 150 A.D. but this gradual decline in rainfall slowly but surely reduced the grain […]
Collapse Is A Process, Not An Event
Collapse Is A Process, Not An Event How does one ‘get ahead’ during hard times? Look, I’m a systems guy. I think in systems terms. You should as well. Why? Because we’re entering a period of time when the major systems that have supported humanity are going to fail. Or, put more accurately: they are already failing. […]
America’s Fiscal Follies Are Dangerously in the Red
AMERICA’S FISCAL FOLLIES ARE DANGEROUSLY IN THE RED The Congressional Budget Office has recently issued a federal “Budget Outlook Update” for the next ten years in the context of the government’s fiscal condition in the face of the coronavirus and Washington’s spending spree. The message: the deficit for fiscal year 2020 is huge, and the national debt […]
The Four D’s That Define the Future
The Four D’s That Define the Future When the money runs out or loses its purchasing power, all sorts of complexity that were previously viewed as essential crumble to dust. Four D’s will define 2020-2025: derealization, denormalization, decomplexification and decoherence. That’s a lot of D’s. Let’s take them one at a time. I use the word derealization to […]
Massive Lines Form Outside Virginia Food Bank As Demand Hits One Million Meals Per Month
Massive Lines Form Outside Virginia Food Bank As Demand Hits One Million Meals Per Month The economic recovery has stalled, and in some cases, reversed. The $600 unemployment benefits that Americans received following the virus pandemic that crashed the economy in March-April expired on July 31, which means a fiscal cliff has been underway for 44 days (as of […]
Frederick Soddy’s Debt Dynamics
Frederick Soddy’s Debt Dynamics In the field of ecological economics, Frederick Soddy looms large. Born in 1877, Soddy became a chemist and eventually won a Nobel prize for work on radioactive decay. Then he turned his attention to economics. Between 1921 and 1934, Soddy wrote four books that looked at how money relates to the physical economy. For […]
In The Long Run We Are All Alive
In The Long Run We Are All Alive In 1976, economist Herbert Stein, father of Ben Stein, the economics professor in Ferris Bueller’s Day Off, observed that U.S. government debt was on an unsustainable trajectory. He, thus, established Stein’s Law: “If something cannot go on forever, it will stop.” Stein may have been right in […]



