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The Economy May Be Finally Peaking, and the Fed Won’t Help Matters
THE ECONOMY MAY BE FINALLY PEAKING, AND THE FED WON’T HELP MATTERS Here we go again it may seem to many. The Fed is preparing us for a policy tightening just when a powerful growth cycle upturn is faltering. Or is it in fact an example of another well-known type of error from Fed history—getting […]
My “Wealth Effect Monitor” & “Wealth Disparity Monitor” for the Fed’s Money-Printer Economy: December Update
My “Wealth Effect Monitor” & “Wealth Disparity Monitor” for the Fed’s Money-Printer Economy: December Update Billionaires got more billions, bottom half of Americans got peanuts and inflation. My “Wealth Effect Monitor” uses the data that the Fed releases quarterly about the wealth of households. The Fed, after having released the overall data for the third […]
Is the Crack-up Boom Here?
Is the Crack-up Boom Here? Bloomberg News recently solicited advice from Argentinians who lived through that country’s high inflation on how Americans should cope with rising inflation. The Argentinians suggested Americans spend their paychecks as fast as possible to avoid future price increases. They also suggested taking out loans that can be paid back later […]
Inflation In 2021 Far Different From What We Had In 1979
Inflation In 2021 Far Different From What We Had In 1979 The inflation of today is a starkly different creature than what we faced in 1979. The world is massively different and presenting us with a strain of inflation that will most likely be stronger and more difficult to combat without major disruptions to our […]
Inflation Is a Policy That Cannot Last
Inflation Is a Policy That Cannot Last Are we heading toward a Fed policy that fixes inflation at a permanent rate of five to six percent? We could be. But inflation is a policy that cannot last. We’re currently experiencing a massive wave of price inflation. This should come as no surprise. The Fed has increased […]
The Fed’s Catch-22 Taper Is A Weapon, Not A Policy Error
The Fed’s Catch-22 Taper Is A Weapon, Not A Policy Error Back in 2018 leading up to Christmas the Federal Reserve began publicly flirting with the notion of ending asset purchases, reducing their balance sheet and committing to an all around taper of stimulus. I wrote about it extensively at the time along with my […]
Chaos and the Triumph of Survival
CHAOS AND THE TRIUMPH OF SURVIVAL One of the most horrifying works of art is Bruegel’s “The Triumph of Death” painted in 1562. The painting depicts the end of life on earth. I sincerely hope that this is not what the world will literally look like in the next decade or two but metaphorically this is not […]
Inflation In 2021 Far Different From What We Had In 1979
Inflation In 2021 Far Different From What We Had In 1979 The inflation of today is a starkly different creature than what we faced in 1979. The world is massively different and presenting us with a strain of inflation that will most likely be stronger and more difficult to combat without major disruptions to our […]
The Clouds Have Cleared in 2021, and What We Are Seeing Is a Dystopian 2022
The Clouds Have Cleared in 2021, and What We Are Seeing Is a Dystopian 2022 Photo by Javier Quiroga This year was a doozy. Right out of the gate, millionaires were sounding the alarm that the markets were looking overvalued while reducing their risk exposure. In February we got a taste of what could be the […]
“Peak Inflation Is Here”- Jim Rickards
“Peak Inflation Is Here”- Jim Rickards Peak Inflation Is Here and Gone Last week Stansberry Investor’s Daniela Cambone interviewed Jim Rickards and got his take on inflation. We think this is a solid interview and Jim makes some good reasonable explanations as to why inflation has done what it has. Rickards puts much of the blame squarely […]
Chairman Powell Paralyzed With Fear As Inflation Takes Over
Chairman Powell Paralyzed With Fear As Inflation Takes Over Public domain, courtesy of the Federal Reserve One thing is certain, inflation is no longer officially “transitory.” For months, recently reappointed Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell kept telling the public that rising inflation was transitory, and would soon subside. It hasn’t, and isn’t likely to in the near future […]
Inflation Soared to 6.8% in November
Inflation Soared to 6.8% in November Inflation is soaring with no end in sight. The Consumer Price Index rose 0.8% in November, marking a 6.8% increase in inflation YoY. According to the Labor Department, this is the fastest pace of inflation since June 1982. In addition, Core-CPI rose 0.5% last month, amounting to a 4.9% […]
Fear and Inflation — The Timeless Policy Tools of Discredited Systems
Fear and Inflation — The Timeless Policy Tools of Discredited Systems If you’re wondering why the media, markets and mandates are making less sense despite a constant flow of hard facts contradicting their message, it’s critical to watch what is done rather than said by the policy makers behind the fear and inflation “new normal.” The Latest Fed-Speak Translation: […]
The next recession: Here’s when the ‘everything bubble’ will burst
The next recession: Here’s when the ‘everything bubble’ will burst In October 20XX. That’s not a typo. To reach the best guesstimate of when the next recession will begin, we need to understand how the Federal Reserve creates unsustainable booms and why the next bust may be just around the corner. A caveat is in […]
