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This Is Why A Serious Decline In U.S Shale Plays Is Not Far Away

This Is Why A Serious Decline In U.S Shale Plays Is Not Far Away The plunge in oil prices last year led many to say that a decline in U.S. oil production wouldn’t be far behind. This was because almost all the growth in U.S. production in recent years had come from high-cost tight oil […]

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Has U.S. oil production started to turn down?

Has U.S. oil production started to turn down? The plunge in oil prices last year led many to say that a decline in U.S. oil production wouldn’t be far behind. This was because almost all the growth in U.S. production in recent years had come from high-cost tight oil deposits which could not be profitable […]

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Oil Shipments by Rail Declining

Oil Shipments by Rail Declining Weekly oil shipments by rail can be found on the web at Weekly Carload Reports. And a summation of that data with charts can be found at Association of American Railroads  Freight Rail Traffic Data. Crude oil by rail basically started with the shale boom. Prior to that almost all oil […]

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EIA Confirms: Oil Production Peaked

EIA Confirms: Oil Production Peaked U.S. oil production has peaked…at least for now. That is the conclusion from a new government report that concludes that U.S. oil production is on the decline. After questions surrounding the resilience of U.S. shale and when low oil prices would finally cut into production, the EIA says the month […]

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Top 5 Oil Producing Countries Could See Production Peak This Year

Top 5 Oil Producing Countries Could See Production Peak This Year The EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook came out a few days ago. That is where they try to guess the future production and price for oil, for the USA as well as the world. As of late they seem to be getting a little timid with their […]

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The EIA’s Short-Term Guessing Game

The EIA’s Short-Term Guessing Game The EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook came out a few days ago. That is where they try to guess the future production and price for oil, for the USA as well as the world. As of late they seem to be getting a little timid with their predictions. They are saying not much […]

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The EIA’s Questionable Numbers

The EIA’s Questionable Numbers The EIA’s, on June 30th, published its Petroleum Supply Monthly. I Think their numbers are just way too high. I compared them with the EIA’s Weekly Petroleum Status Report. The chart below shows the Results. I averaged the weekly numbers and converted them to monthly data. They were pretty close for the first […]

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EIA Data Still Doesn’t Add Up

EIA Data Still Doesn’t Add Up As initially pointed out by Peakoilbarrel.com in a recent article, discrepancies between actual data for oil production in Texas vs. what the EIA claims are so stark it’s almost scary. How this can be overlooked by the mainstream media as well as by most of the broker community is even […]

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U.S. Oil Glut An EIA Invention?

U.S. Oil Glut An EIA Invention? In the latest weekly production data from the EIA, on the back of recent March revisions, the U.S. managed to post a 76,000 barrel per day increase in the lower 48. Production from Alaska fell by 61,000 barrels per day, putting overall U.S. output 15,000 barrels per day higher for the […]

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New International Energy Statistics.

New International Energy Statistics. The Eia has finally updated their International Energy Statistics with data through February 2015. All data in the charts below are Crude + Condensate and is in thousand barrels per day with the last data point February 2015. World C+C dropped 477,000 bpd in January and another 65,000 bpd in February for a total decline of […]

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Why A U.S Shale Slowdown Will Hardly Effect Oil Prices

Why A U.S Shale Slowdown Will Hardly Effect Oil Prices Just last week I wrote on the possibility of a renewed downturn in oil prices, owing to the fact that huge volumes of supplies could potentially come online in places like Iraq, Libya, and Iran. That is still the case. But let’s look at the other side […]

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Texas Oil and Gas Production for April

Texas Oil and Gas Production for April The preliminary Texas RRC Production Data is out this morning. There appears to be a considerable drop in Texas crude oil production in April. All Texas RRC data in the charts below is through April 2015 and all EIA data is through March 2015. For those new to this site, the Texas […]

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A Bit Of Perspective On Gasoline Prices

A Bit Of Perspective On Gasoline Prices To me, commodity pricing today is so distorted that it is almost startling. The media continues its post Goldman Sachs’ bearish calls to pound away on OPEC supply with little attention paid to rising demand. Admittedly, as we end the summer driving season, such demand will wane, adding […]

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OPEC + Different EIA Data

OPEC + Different EIA Data The latest OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is out. There were no big surprises. OPEC crude only production was up 23,000 bpd in May but that was after April had been revised upward by 110,000 bpd. Almost no change is Saudi production, down 5,000 bpd to 10,107,000 bpd. Iraq had the largest […]

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Why EIA, IEA, and BP Oil Forecasts are Too High

Why EIA, IEA, and BP Oil Forecasts are Too High When forecasting how much oil will be available in future years, a standard approach seems to be the following: Figure out how much GDP growth the researcher hopes to have in the future. “Work backward” to see how much oil is needed, based on how much […]

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