Financial Markets: Pinocchio’s Enchanted Island
The control of the commercials and the COMEX manipulators have is very depressing for the gold market investor. As soon as gold and the miners are about to get on another bullish leg, that the moving averages are positively aligned and re-crossing the 200-day MA, that the traders are standing by to get back in the market and are following the buying signals, BANG ! A new flash crash ! And, as usual, it is explained by vague and far-fetched reasons. The last example we have is what happened last Friday: Because of slightly better numbers on jobs creation in the United States, gold has been massively attacked and lost $40 in a single day ! Ten days like that would bring gold down to $834 ! This is gigantic ! One doesn’t have to look very far to realise that the manipulators are still running the show and are systematically keeping gold from resuming a bull market. They have failed to keep it under $1,200 for any length of time in 2014, but they are very active in keeping it under $1,300, because this would trigger technical buying orders.
The Fed will probably try to hike interest rates in June by 0.25%… so? The dollar is already too expensive and will hurt exports, the mountain of private and public debt in the U.S. will not be able to support a rate hike, and neither will the stock market, already in an historic bubble ! An interest rate hike in the U.S. would most likely totally extinguish what frail economic recovery there is. The Fed is about to make the same mistake Jean-Claude Trichet made for Europe: By over-estimating the capacity for economic recovery and by wanting to retain the weapon of rates reduction when recession hits, the central bank is going to choke an eventual recovery. The reality is that central banks are caught in a snare and the only weapon they have left is the destruction of their own paper money. One after the other, they go for competitive devaluation of their currency. After the Fed and the Bank of Japan, it’s now the ECB’s turn. Who will be next?
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