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Zoltan Pozsar: G7 Investors Should Worry About Gold-Backed Renminbi Eclipsing Dollars, Commodity Encumbrance
Zoltan Pozsar: G7 Investors Should Worry About Gold-Backed Renminbi Eclipsing Dollars, Commodity Encumbrance Credit Suisse contributor Zoltan Pozsar has continued his ongoing series about Bretton Woods III where commodities will dictate the new world order. For his last dispatch of the year, he described how the world is now shifting to a multipolar order “being built not […]
Weekly Commentary: “Hot Money” Watch
Weekly Commentary: “Hot Money” Watch In the People’s Bank of China’s (PBOC) Monday daily currency value “fixing,” the yuan/renminbi was set 0.33% weaker (vs. dollar) at 6.9225. Market reaction was immediate and intense. The Chinese currency quickly traded to 7.03 and then ended Monday’s disorderly session at an 11-year low 7.0602 (largest daily decline since […]
Trump’s Trade War May Spark a Chinese Debt Crisis
Trump’s Trade War May Spark a Chinese Debt Crisis (Bloomberg Opinion) — There’s no chance China will cut its trade surplus with the U.S. in response to President Donald Trump’s tariff threats. For starters, Washington has made no specific demand to which Beijing can respond. But its efforts may have an unexpected side effect: a debt crisis […]
Could the Renminbi Challenge the Dollar?
Wodicka/ullstein bild via Getty Images Could the Renminbi Challenge the Dollar? China’s rapid economic growth, coupled with savvy monetary management by its leaders, has internationalized the renminbi to a degree that scarcely could have been imagined just a few decades ago. But if China’s leaders ever want to challenge the US for global currency dominance, […]
As Petro-Yuan Looms, Bundesbank Adds Renminbi To Currency Reserves
As Petro-Yuan Looms, Bundesbank Adds Renminbi To Currency Reserves Just days after China’s (denied) threat to slow/stop buying US Treasuries, and just days before the launch of China’s petro-yuan futures contract, Germany’s central bank confirmed it would include China’s Renminbi in its reserves. The FT reports that Andreas Dombret, a member of Deutsche Bundesbank’s executive […]
Renminbi vs the Dollar
Renminbi vs the Dollar The dollar haters have been touting that the Chinese yuan, or otherwise known as the renminbi, would kill the dollar and gold will soar. I have warned that China will take the spotlight as the Financial Capital of the World once again but only after 2032. A real assessment of international capital flows […]
China is going to hit a wall
China is going to hit a wall “There is probably no company that is more representative of the investment bubble than Evergrande. It’s the biggest pyramid scheme the world has yet seen”, says Anne Stevenson-Yang (Bild: James Wasserman ) Anne Stevenson-Yang, co-founder and research director at J Capital, warns that the monster bubble in the […]
The Birth Of The PetroYuan (In 2 Pictures)
The Birth Of The PetroYuan (In 2 Pictures) Give me that!! It belongs to the Chinese now! h/t @FedPorn As we previously detailed, two topics we’ve deemed critically important to a thorough understanding of both global finance and the shifting geopolitical landscape are the death of the petrodollar and the idea of yuan hegemony. In November […]
Albert Edwards Hits Peak Pessimism: “S&P Will Fall 75%”, Global Recession Looms
Albert Edwards Hits Peak Pessimism: “S&P Will Fall 75%”, Global Recession Looms 2016 has thus far been a year characterized by remarkable bouts of harrowing volatility as the ongoing devaluation of the yuan, plunging crude prices, and geopolitical uncertainty wreak havoc on fragile, inflated markets. With asset prices still sitting near nosebleed levels after seven […]
Confirmation: China As Brazil
Confirmation: China As Brazil There is always some chicken and egg to any financial irregularity; as in does a crisis cause a panic or is it the panic that causes the crisis? Though the evidence of the past eight years is decidedly on the side of the irregularity, central banks continue to press as if […]
Not the “Death of the Dollar” but “Death of the Euro?”
Not the “Death of the Dollar” but “Death of the Euro?” The rise of the Chinese yuan as an international currency is not only unstoppable but is advancing in leaps and bounds, according to SWIFT. It comes at the expense of other currencies, though it’s not triggering the long-awaited “death of the dollar.” On the contrary. […]
China: Doomed If You Do, Doomed If You Don’t
China: Doomed If You Do, Doomed If You Don’t Whichever option China chooses, it loses. Many commentators have ably explained the double-bind the central banks of the world find themselves in. Doing more of what’s failed is, well, failing to generate the desired results, but doing nothing also presents risks. China’s double-bind is especially instructive. While there an […]
How China Cornered The Fed With Its “Worst Case” Capital Outflow Countdown
How China Cornered The Fed With Its “Worst Case” Capital Outflow Countdown Last week, in “What China’s Treasury Liquidation Means: $1 Trillion QE In Reverse,” we took a look at the potential size of the RMB carry trade, noting that according to BofAML, the unwind could, in the worst case scenario, be somewhere on the […]
Why QE4 Is Inevitable
Why QE4 Is Inevitable One narrative we’ve pushed quite hard this week is the idea that China’s persistent FX interventions in support of the yuan are costing the PBoC dearly in terms of reserves. Of course this week’s posts hardly represent the first time we’ve touched on the issue of FX reserve liquidation and its […]
