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Wealth Gap And The Road To Serfdom
Wealth Gap And The Road To Serfdom One of the most interesting conundrums is the surging wealth gap in America. Despite two of the largest bull markets in history since 1980, most Americans struggle with making ends meet and are unprepared for retirement. Such a reality starkly differs from the belief that rising asset prices […]
Monetary Policy. Is The Fed Trying To Wean Markets Off Of It?
Monetary Policy. Is The Fed Trying To Wean Markets Off Of It? Is the Fed trying to wean the markets off monetary policy? Such was an interesting premise from Alastair Crooke via the Strategic Culture Foundation. To wit: “The Fed however, may be attempting to implement a contrarian, controlled demolition of the U.S. bubble-economy through interest rate […]
The Biggest Crash In History Is Coming? Kiyosaki Says So.
The Biggest Crash In History Is Coming? Kiyosaki Says So. Robert Kiyosaki recently tweeted, “The best time to prepare for a crash is before the crash. The biggest crash in world history is coming. The good news is the best time to get rich is during a crash. The bad news is the next crash will […]
A 50-Percent Decline Will Only Be A Correction
A 50-Percent Decline Will Only Be A Correction A 50-percent decline will only be a correction and not a bear market. I know. Right now, you are thinking, how could anyone suggest a 50-percent decline in the market is NOT a bear market. Logically you are correct. However, technically, we need an essential distinction between […]
Potemkin Economy: Costs & Consequences
Potemkin Economy: Costs & Consequences A Potemkin economy has lured the Fed, economists, and Wall Street analysts into a potentially dangerous assumption of economic normalcy. However, with a review of how we got here, we can better understand the costs and consequences of monetary interventions. “In 1783, after the Russian annexation of Crimea from the Ottoman Empire and the […]
Could The Fed Trigger The Next “Financial Crisis”
Could The Fed Trigger The Next “Financial Crisis” Could the Fed trigger the next “financial crisis” as they begin to hike interest rates? Such is certainly a question worth asking as we look back at the Fed’s history of previous monetary actions. Such was a topic I discussed in “Investors Push Risk Bets.” To wit: “With the entirety […]
The 5000-Year View Of Rates & The Economic Consequences
The 5000-Year View Of Rates & The Economic Consequences The fact we have the lowest interest rates in 5000-years is indicative of the economic challenges we face. Such was a note brought to my attention by my colleague Jeffrey Marcus of TPA Analytics: “BofA wants you to know that ‘Interest rates haven’t been this low […]
Markets Next “Minsky Moment”
Technically Speaking: The Markets Next “Minsky Moment” In this past weekend’s newsletter, I discussed the issue of the markets next “Minsky Moment.” Today, I want to expand on that analysis to discuss how the Fed’s drive to create “stability” eventually creates “instability.” In 2007, I was at a conference where Paul McCulley, who was with PIMCO at the time, discussed the idea […]
Lance Roberts: GMO’s Jeremy Grantham Is Correct, There’s An ‘Epic Bubble In Stocks’
Lance Roberts: GMO’s Jeremy Grantham Is Correct, There’s An ‘Epic Bubble In Stocks’ Following GMO’s co-founder Jeremy Grantham’s renewed warning about extreme overvaluations, RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts chimed in on the conversation Thursday morning. In “Three Minutes on Markets & Money,” Roberts agress with Grantham, saying, “the stock market is in a bubble.” To refresh readers on […]
Fourth Turning Accelerating Towards Climax
FOURTH TURNING ACCELERATING TOWARDS CLIMAX “At some point, America’s short-term Crisis psychology will catch up to the long-term post-Unraveling fundamentals. This might result in a Great Devaluation, a severe drop in the market price of most financial and real assets. This devaluation could be a short but horrific panic, a free-falling price in a market […]
Oil Price Crash Was Inevitable
Oil Price Crash Was Inevitable The oil price crash was inevitable. To understand why we have to review a bit of history. In 2013, I began warning of the risk to oil prices due to the ongoing imbalances between global supply and demand. Those warnings fell on deaf ears. Nobody wanted to pay much attention […]
#MacroView: The Fed Can’t Fix What’s Broken
#MacroView: The Fed Can’t Fix What’s Broken “The Federal Reserve is poised to spray trillions of dollars into the U.S. economy once a massive aid package to fight the coronavirus and its aftershocks is signed into law. These actions are unprecedented, going beyond anything it did during the 2008 financial crisis in a sign of […]
Margin Call: You Were Warned Of The Risk
Margin Call: You Were Warned Of The Risk I have been slammed with emails over the last couple of days asking the following questions: “What just happened to my bonds?” “What happened to my gold position, shouldn’t it be going up?” “Why are all my stocks being flushed at the same time?” As noted by Zerohedge: […]
Special Report: Panic Sets In As “Everything Must Go”
Special Report: Panic Sets In As “Everything Must Go” Note: All charts now updated for this mornings open. The following is a report we generate regularly for our RIAPRO Subscribers. You can try our service RISK-FREE for 30-Days. Headlines from the past four-days: Dow sinks 2,000 points in worst day since 2008, S&P 500 drops more […]
MacroView: The Next “Minsky Moment” Is Inevitable
MacroView: The Next “Minsky Moment” Is Inevitable In 2007, I was at a conference where Paul McCulley, who was with PIMCO at the time, was discussing the idea of a “Minsky Moment.” At that time, this idea fell on “deaf ears” as the markets, and economy, were in full swing. However, it wasn’t too long before the 2008 “Financial Crisis” brought […]
