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The Bulletin: July 3-9, 2025
The Bulletin: July 3-9, 2025 This past week’s articles of interest… CLICK HERE If you’re new to my writing, check out this overview. CO2 is Not Good for Your Health! – by Ugo Bardi Peak Shale Amid Maximum Pessimism Climate Change: An Unwelcome Future – Ecosophia Understanding the Electricity Grid: How It Works, Its Key […]
The Bulletin: December 19-25, 2024
The Bulletin: December 19-25, 2024 The Great Simplification in Action: Building Resilience Through Local Communities Antarctica’s tipping points threaten global climate stability Coal use to reach new peak – and remain at near-record levels for years | Energy industry | The Guardian Homesteading 101: Regenerative Farming and the American Farmer. A Predicament With An Outcome […]
Food Riots Continue In Sri Lanka As The Military Begins Shooting
Food Riots Continue In Sri Lanka As The Military Begins Shooting The starving and hungry people of collapsing Sri Lanks have been rioting over the cost of food and lack of energy. As if things couldn’t get worse, the ruling class has taken to gunning down those who stand against being ruled. People are starving […]
Countdown to U.S. Government Default
Countdown to U.S. Government Default Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC) are coming. And they’re coming much faster than most people care to think about. Are you ready? At the moment, roughly 90 central banks – including the European Central Banks and the Federal Reserve – are either experimenting with, or are in varying stages of CBDC implementation. […]
“Game Over?” – Russia To Be In Technical Default Within Hours
“Game Over?” – Russia To Be In Technical Default Within Hours More than two decades ago, on August 17, 1998, Russia defaulted on its debt and devalued the ruble, sparking a political crisis that culminated with Vladimir Putin replacing Boris Yeltsin and which also eventually resulted in the spectacular implosion of a then little known […]
Weekly Commentary: Contagion
Weekly Commentary: Contagion Another big miss for non-farm payrolls, with September’s 194,000 jobs gain less than half the 500,000 forecast. But with the Unemployment Rate down to 4.8% and Average Hourly Earnings up 4.6% y-o-y (not to mention almost 11 million job openings), there’s ample evidence that much of the labor market has turned exceptionally […]
“Catastrophic” Property Sales Mean China’s Worst Case Scenario Is Now In Play
“Catastrophic” Property Sales Mean China’s Worst Case Scenario Is Now In Play No matter how the Evergrande drama plays out – whether it culminates with an uncontrolled, chaotic default and/or distressed asset sale liquidation, a controlled restructuring where bondholders get some compensation, or with Beijing blinking and bailing out the core pillar of China’s housing […]
Evergrande Misses Debt Payments Due Monday As World’s Richest Banker Says China’s “Lehman Moment” Has Arrived
Evergrande Misses Debt Payments Due Monday As World’s Richest Banker Says China’s “Lehman Moment” Has Arrived Wall Street analysts have been churning out commentary this week proclaiming that while Evergrande’s troubles pose a serious threat to the Chinese economy, it’s potential collapse doesn’t represent a “Lehman Moment”. As Thursday’s bond-interest deadline looms, analysts at Mizuho […]
Debt Ceiling Drama, Yellen Begins “Extraordinary Measures” to Stave Off Default
Debt Ceiling Drama, Yellen Begins “Extraordinary Measures” to Stave Off Default Photo by Senator Mark Warner CC BY 2.0 Two years ago, the debt ceiling was lifted. Lifting the debt ceiling to make room for more government spending has been pretty routine since since 1917. Until now… While it’s quite likely that U.S. debt had already reached […]
Election Distraction Has Taken Eyes Off Our Economic Ills
Election Distraction Has Taken Eyes Off Our Economic Ills Lately it has been difficult to write about the economy because of all the noise flowing from the election and covid-19 hype. There is a growing reluctance to opine by many economic skeptics because it appears we have been wrong on recent predictions. Only time will […]
What? Default? Where? Dollar?
What? Default? Where? Dollar? It won’t come as a surprise to anyone that the first half of 2020 has brought, among many other things, renewed calls for the demise of the US dollar. It’s been pretty much a non-stop call for over a decade now, and longer. But this time, like all previous ones, I’m […]
Paper Assets And Promises Often End In Default
Paper Assets And Promises Often End In Default During times of financial disruptions defaults rise in importance and move front and center. The term financial crisis is applied broadly to a variety of situations in which some financial assets suddenly lose a large part of their nominal value, a default falls into this area. In the […]
Banks are going to drown in an ocean of defaults
Banks are going to drown in an ocean of defaults On November 6, 2000, then US presidential candidate George W. Bush told a crowd of cheering supporters, “they misunderestimated me.” Now, if English is not your native language, allow me to clear the air: ‘misunderestimate’ is not a word. But then again, George W. Bush […]
“We’ve Reached The Tipping Point” – Guggenheim’s Minerd Warns Virus Will Deflate The Everything Bubble
“We’ve Reached The Tipping Point” – Guggenheim’s Minerd Warns Virus Will Deflate The Everything Bubble Last week, Guggenheim’s Global CIO Scott Minerd exclaimed that “the cognitive dissonance in the market is stunning,” as he reflected on the ever-rising stock prices (and collapsing credit spreads) he was seeing in the face of growing global fears of the virus’ […]
The State of the Union: An Annual Reminder of Inevitable Default
The State of the Union: An Annual Reminder of Inevitable Default Last night’s State of the Union was particularly noteworthy for its showmanship. Scholarships were given away, medals were awarded, families reunited. At a time when national politics is bad theater, President Trump is clearly its most gifted star. Trump also knows what sells. As […]
