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Riptide in the World Economy
Riptide in the World Economy COMMENT: Marty, I think the storms are creating dangerous rip currents that just suck swimmers out to sea here in Jersey. Never hear about that in Florida. I guess that and taxes are what made you leave. LOL DK REPLY: Actually, I was caught in one when I was a teenager. My uncle […]
Economic Evolution Turns Many Comparisons Obsolete
Economic Evolution Turns Many Comparisons Obsolete The financial system has entered uncharted waters and it would be wise to take nothing for granted. To assume the economy will move forward without a glitch in such an environment is extremely optimistic. With time, things change and evolve, this transformation can be seen in both society and […]
Weekly Commentary: Generational Turning Point
Weekly Commentary: Generational Turning Point There is an overarching issue I haven’t been able to get off my mind: Are we at the beginning of something new or in the waning days of the previous multi-decade cycle? May 5 – Wall Street Journal (James Mackintosh): “We could be at a generational turning point for finance. […]
What is 2032?
What is 2032? Many people have asked, “Why is 2032 going to be such a major change in the world’s political economy and society as a whole?” We are confronted by the end of the Sixth Wave come 2032, which will be a profound economic and political change. It appears these world leaders are pushing […]
Clarifying Wind Turbines
Clarifying Wind Turbines It is possible to include heating elements in wind turbines to prevent freezing. They never took that into consideration in Texas where the wind turbines probably supply as much as 10% of the power. The same problem took place in Germany. Nobody seems to have done their research into historic weather patterns. […]
K-Wave – Real or Not?
K-Wave – Real or Not? QUESTION: What is your opinion on Kondratieff Waves? EH ANSWER: All those investigating cycles within the economy made a simple mistake. Kondratieff followed agriculture/commodity prices when agriculture accounted for 70% of the GDP pre-19th century. That only began to decline from 1850 forward, dropping to 40% by 1900 as the Industrial Revolution […]
Cycles, Systems and Seats in the Coliseum
Cycles, Systems and Seats in the Coliseum The idea that debt, leverage, speculation, greed, exploitation and parasitic elites can expand exponentially forever is magical thinking. Contrary to first impressions, I am not a doom-and-gloomer; I’m a systems-cycles-er, meaning I’m interested in where systems and cycles are heading. Cycles work because we’re still running Wetware 1.0 which entered beta testing […]
This Was All Predicted 10 Years Ago
This Was All Predicted 10 Years Ago In 2010, the scientific journal Nature published a collection of opinions looking ahead 10 years, i.e., where we are right now. Nature then published a short response from zoologist Peter Turchin in its February 2010 issue. Quantitative historical analysis reveals that complex human societies are affected by recurrent — and predictable — waves of political […]
Has Our Luck Finally Run Out?
Has Our Luck Finally Run Out? We are woefully unprepared for a long run of bad luck. Long-term cycles escape our notice because they play out over many years or even decades; few noticed the decreasing rainfall in the Mediterranean region in 150 A.D. but this gradual decline in rainfall slowly but surely reduced the grain […]
Why a Great Reset Based on Green Energy Isn’t Possible
Why a Great Reset Based on Green Energy Isn’t Possible It seems like a reset of an economy should work like a reset of your computer: Turn it off and turn it back on again; most problems should be fixed. However, it doesn’t really work that way. Let’s look at a few of the misunderstandings that […]
Our Fate Is Sealed, Vaccines Won’t Matter: Four Long Cycles Align
Our Fate Is Sealed, Vaccines Won’t Matter: Four Long Cycles Align A Covid-19 vaccine, or lack thereof, will have zero effect in terms of reversing these cycles. Call it Fate, call it karma, call it what you will, but the cycles have aligned and nothing can stop the unraveling of all that was foolishly presumed […]
Peter Turchin And The Coming Crisis Of The 2020s
Peter Turchin And The Coming Crisis Of The 2020s Increasingly, social science is dominated by Leftist ideologues who use the remaining respect that academia still has among the public to inculcate students and public alike with their equalitarian dogmas. But there are honorable exceptions. One of these: Peter Turchin, a Russian who is professor of Evolutionary Biology at the University of […]
Global Warming
GLOBAL WARNING “Sic Transit Gloria Mundi” (Thus passes the glory of the world). This phrase was used at the papal coronations between the early 1400s and 1963. It was meant to indicate the transitory or ephemeral nature of life and cycles. As we are now facing the end of a major economic, political and cultural cycle, […]
Why People Fail to Understand There are Cycles to Everything
Why People Fail to Understand There are Cycles to Everything There tends to be a fairly regular 21-year cycle in extreme climate shifts with respect to volatility. There was the extreme cold of 1936, followed 21 years later with a heatwave that melted the ice in the arctic, and then going into 1978 they were […]
