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Teranet: Canadian Real Estate Prices Drop Most In 7 Years, Led By Toronto

Teranet: Canadian Real Estate Prices Drop Most In 7 Years, Led By Toronto

Teranet Shows Canadian Real Estate Drops Most In 7 Years, Led By Toronto

Canadian real estate prices may be softening. Numbers from Teranet show that home prices generally declined across the country in September. This decline is led by a drop in prices around the Greater Toronto Area, extending through the Greater Golden Horseshoe. Although not all markets saw decline. Vancouver is once again leading the 11 city composite index in monthly price gains.

Who The F**K Is Teranet, And Why Should I Care?

Teranet is a land registry behemoth that operates, amongst other things, the land registries in Ontario and Manitoba. They build a Home Price Index with National Bank of Canada, that uses land registry data to compare how prices on the exact same house evolve over time. That is, they only use homes that have been sold more than once. This is known as a “sales pair” analysis, and is the kind of the stuff common in the US.

One of the the things they produce is an index for 11 cities, which they combine in an urban index. It’s debatable if it’s more or less accurate than CREA’s urban index. However, if you’re into national housing stats – you should be checking out both.

Canadian Real Estate Prices See Largest Drop Since September 2010

The Teranet National Composite House Price Index fell in September. The index experienced a 0.8% drop when compared to the month before. National Bank of Canada analysts noted this is the largest drop since September 2010. This is also the first time the 11 city composite has dropped since January 2016. While a single  drop isn’t a huge concern, the first after a long trend should be noted.

 

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Canadians Are Borrowing Against Real Estate At The Fastest Pace Ever

Canadians Are Borrowing Against Real Estate At The Fastest Pace Ever

Canadian real estate prices have soared, and so did borrowing against that value. Our analysis of domestic bank filings from the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) shows that loans secured against property has reached an all-time high. More surprising is the unprecedented rate of growth experienced this year.

Total Canadian Loans Secured Against Residential PropertyJan 2012Jul 2012Jan 2013Jul 2013Jan 2014Jul 2014Jan 2015Jul 2015Jan 2016Jul 2016Jan 2017$240$260$280$300$320Canadian Dollars (in Billions)

Month Total (in billions)
Jan 2012 252.67
Feb 2012 251.43
Mar 2012 268.75
Apr 2012 255.17
May 2012 258.07
Jun 2012 260.07
Jul 2012 258.96
Aug 2012 259.64
Sep 2012 261.66
Oct 2012 263.1
Nov 2012 262.24
Dec 2012 262.69
Jan 2013 257.82
Feb 2013 259.97
Mar 2013 259.22
Apr 2013 261.72
May 2013 262.22
Jun 2013 262.91
Jul 2013 260.75
Aug 2013 261.77
Sep 2013 260.87
Oct 2013 261.99
Nov 2013 262.54
Dec 2013 262.57
Jan 2014 265.15
Feb 2014 264.87
Mar 2014 263.4
Apr 2014 263.78
May 2014 265.75
Jun 2014 265.91
Jul 2014 267.76
Aug 2014 267.97
Sep 2014 269.29
Oct 2014 269.57
Nov 2014 269.45
Dec 2014 273.93
Jan 2015 277.08
Feb 2015 281.41
Mar 2015 282.17
Apr 2015 278.67
May 2015 280.8
Jun 2015 284.45
Jul 2015 285.66
Aug 2015 283.94
Sep 2015 285.85
Oct 2015 283.14
Nov 2015 286.56
Dec 2015 286.92
Jan 2016 285.29
Feb 2016 283.87
Mar 2016 282.05
Apr 2016 279.04
May 2016 282.34
Jun 2016 282.16
Jul 2016 283.65
Aug 2016 285.6
Sep 2016 286.17
Oct 2016 290.61
Nov 2016 291.01
Dec 2016 290.62
Jan 2017 293.46
Feb 2017 296.34
Mar 2017 297.14
Apr 2017 301.02
May 2017 303.26
Jun 2017 313.67

Total balance of loans secured against residential real estate across Canada, as determined through regulatory filings from all domestic banks. Source: OFSI, Better Dwelling.

Canadians Borrowed Against Over $313 Billion In Real Estate

Loans secured against residential real estate shattered a few records in June. Over $313.66 billion in real estate was used to secure loans, up 3.43% from the month before. The rise puts annual gains 11.16% higher than the same month last year, an increase of $31.51 billion. The monthly increase is the largest increase since March 2012. The annual gain is unprecedented according to an aggregate of domestic bank filings.

 

 

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“This Is Going To Blow Sky High” – Observations On Canada’s Housing Market

“This Is Going To Blow Sky High” – Observations On Canada’s Housing Market

For months we’ve been warning about real estate bubbles re-emerging in various markets around the world from Canada to Australia (see “There Are 66,719 Empty Mansions In Vancouver” and “Vancouver Home Sales Crash 40%, As Toronto Home Prices Soar 22%“).  And while facts and figures clearly indicate that certain markets are bubbling over courtesy of all the same mistakes that caused the ‘great recession’ in 2008, nothing helps to confirm the truly obscene nature of a real estate bubble quite like attending a good ole-fashioned, get-rich-quick real estate expo. As such, below are the musings of one financial market observer who recently attended the Canadian Real Estate Wealth Expo as a joke but walked away convinced the system is about “to blow sky high.”

* * *

Originally Authored By Tim Bergin of On Beyond Investing

Originally, I thought this would be a bit of a joke.  There were billboards in all the Toronto subway cars advertising the Canadian Real Estate Wealth Expo – learn how to become a millionaire.  I thought this was so ridiculous, it may be fun.  What better way to experience the top of the housing market than watching Tony Robbins and Pitbull along with a bunch of US real estate professionals explain how Toronto real estate is the path to riches.

Prices were originally $150 per ticket, but I was able to buy for $50.  While it deeply bothers me that I paid $50 to these shameless (amoral) self-promoters, I thought it would be worth it to witness, in person, the top of the housing market.

I had thought, there can’t be that many people stupid enough to attend this, but I was very wrong – 15,000 people were there!  I was blown away.  Bubbles are largely psychological.  This crowd was tangible proof of that.

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Foreign buyers driving demand for luxury homes, Sotheby’s says

Foreign buyers driving demand for luxury homes, Sotheby’s says

Luxury housing segment ($4M+) is hotter than the overall market in Vancouver, Toronto

International demand is expected to keep driving luxury real estate sales in Canadian cities for the rest of the year, according to a report from Sotheby’s International Realty.

A faltering Chinese economy and volatile global stock markets are likely to encourage an influx of foreign buyers, especially from mainland China, the company said in its fall outlook report.

Sotheby’s notes the surge in luxury sales in the first half of the year, with sales of property in the $4-million range rising 71 per cent in Vancouver and 72 per cent in the Greater Toronto Area.

Toronto and Vancouver are Canada’s hottest housing markets where even modest detached houses are priced at over $1 million.

With interest rates low and stable employment in both cities, 2015 has seen huge demand for housing in both cities, with more buyers than homes on the market.

But the luxury segment is even hotter than the overall housing market in Toronto and Vancouver, Sotheby’s said.

It predicts demand for condos over $1 million – considered a luxury price for a condo — will remain strong in both markets, especially near the downtown core. But the strongest percentage sales increases will be seen among detached homes in the $4-million range, it forecasts.

In Vancouver, demand for traditional luxury neighbourhoods will push high-end buyers east and south with neighbourhoods in Vancouver East and South Vancouver emerging as new options, Sotheby’s said.

Montreal also saw a period of heightened interest in its luxury properties in the fall of 2015 after the election of a Liberal government, Sotheby’s said. A luxury price in Montreal is in the $1.5-million range. The market is now more balanced, but foreign demand is picking up, it said.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

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