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How Executive Order 6102 Doomed America

How Executive Order 6102 Doomed America BUENOS AIRES – Today, we woke up in Buenos Aires with a disagreeable headache… and a depressing hypothesis: First, it doesn’t matter whether Brett Kavanaugh is on the Supreme Court or not; one more Deep State toad won’t make any difference. Second, the Supreme Court has been derelict in […]

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Bill Bonner: “America’s Economy Is On A Suicide Mission”

Bill Bonner: “America’s Economy Is On A Suicide Mission” Turning and turning in the widening gyre The falcon cannot hear the falconer; Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold; Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world, The blood-dimmed tide is loosed, and everywhere The ceremony of innocence is drowned; The best lack all conviction, while […]

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America’s Oil Boom Is a Fraud

America’s Oil Boom Is a Fraud PARIS – We promised to end the week with a bang! You’ll recall that Fed policy always consists of the same three mistakes… 1) Keeping interest rates too low for too long, resulting in too much debt; 2) Raising interest rates to try to gently deflate the debt bubble; […]

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How Trump Turns on The Fed

How Trump Turns on The Fed POITOU, FRANCE – The U.S. economy… all $20 trillion of it… explained in a single tweet (any similarity between this and one you might get from the president of the United States of America is pure coincidence): Just look at the Dow (near an all-time high)… and unemployment (near […]

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The Market Gods Are Laughing

The Market Gods Are Laughing POITOU, FRANCE – President Trump escalated the trade war yesterday, making a kamikaze attack on a vast armada of Chinese imports – $200 billion in total – headed for California. The Chinese say they will retaliate. Phony Wars Last month, we opined that the trade war wouldn’t go any better […]

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The Final Assault in the War on Cash

The Final Assault in the War on Cash Before I show you what I’ve learned about a plan to seize control of America’s money, let me make one point clear… If you value sound money and political freedom… if you value limited government and taxation with representation… and if you value enterprise and privacy… then […]

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Ike was right!

Ike was right! POITOU, FRANCE – We wait for the world to fall apart. The Dow is still more than 1,000 points below its high; so we presume the primary trend is down. Treasury yields – on the 10-year note – are near 3%… twice what they were two years ago. So we presume the […]

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Chart Predicts Every Market Crash in History

Chart Predicts Every Market Crash in History The Fed blows bubbles. Then it eventually pops them. Where are we in the cycle? Bill Bonner writes This Has Predicted Every Market Crash in History. I recreated the chart in Fred and added trendlines. But let’s tune in to Bill Bonner. “Buy the dip” has worked for […]

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The Antidote to Optimism

The Antidote to Optimism It is always brightest before they turn the lights out. You can quote us on that, Dear Reader. Just when you thought things couldn’t get better… guess what? They don’t. They go dark as a dungeon. Antidote to Optimism Our task today is to show that however wonderful things may appear […]

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A Bedtime Story

A Bedtime Story We are explaining our money system to our grandson, James, now 14 months old… His mother tries to get him to go to bed at 9 p.m. But the little boy’s internal clock is still on Baltimore time; it tells him it is much too early to go to sleep. Bill’s living […]

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Deep State First

Deep State First Lighting a Candle POITOU, FRANCE – On Tuesday, Donald Trump, president of all the Americans, said his country would spend more blood and money trying to force the Afghans to do what it wants them to do, whatever that is. If you are destined to stay on the Afghan plantation forever, might […]

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How Dumb Is the Fed?

How Dumb Is the Fed? Bent and Distorted POITOU, FRANCE – This morning, we are wondering: How dumb is the Fed? The question was prompted by this comment by former Fed insider Chris Whalen at The Institutional Risk Analyst blog. They’re not the best map readers, that much is known for certain. [PT] [O]ur message to the […]

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The Fed Will Blink

The Fed Will Blink Honest Profession GUALFIN, ARGENTINA – The Dow rose 174 points on Thursday. And Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin said we’d have a new tax system by the end of the year. Animal spirits were restless. But which animals? Dumb oxes? Or wily foxes? Probably both. Since Thursday there have been two additional […]

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Fake News From the Fed

Fake News From the Fed What you see in the media is mostly “fake news.” Reuters had this story recently: Most Federal Reserve policymakers think the central bank should take steps to begin trimming its $4.5 trillion balance sheet later this year as long as the economic data holds up, minutes from their last meeting […]

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Pulling Levers to Steer the Machine

Pulling Levers to Steer the Machine Ticks on a Dog A brief comment on Fed chief Janet Yellen’s revealing speech at the University of Michigan. Bloomberg: “Before, we had to press down on the gas pedal trying to give the economy all of the oomph that we possibly could,” Yellen said Monday in Ann Arbor, […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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