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The Everything Bubble Has Met Its Needle… and It’s Named Jerome Powell
The Everything Bubble Has Met Its Needle… and It’s Named Jerome Powell In December, Jerome Powell confirmed that he is going to implement a financial reset. That reset will crash stocks. We know this because the Fed didn’t even HINT at tapering its Quantitative Tightening program at this latest Fed FOMC despite stocks staging the […]
Bear Markets, Fed Mistakes, and Quick Shots from John
Bear Markets, Fed Mistakes, and Quick Shots from John Powell Was Right but the Fed Is Wrong Time for an Emergency Fed Meeting Living on Island Time Quick Shots from the Frontline A winters day, In a deep and dark December… “Wait, it doesn’t feel like winter. It’s not deep and dark, and it’s actually […]
Kass: “Don’t Blame Powell For The Mess He’s Left To Clean Up”
Kass: “Don’t Blame Powell For The Mess He’s Left To Clean Up” Do we want to be Japan? “I need the Fed to shut up. I don’t trust the Fed at all. I don’t trust Jay Powell at all. Jay said everything that caused a tremendous selloff. You have got to start recognizing how powerful […]
Trump Is Considering Firing Fed Chair Powell
Trump Is Considering Firing Fed Chair Powell if amid the barrage of negative news hitting the market this quarter there has been one outstanding item which would have sent it sharply (even) lower, that would be a flashing red headline – or a tweet from the president – announcing that Trump has fired Fed Chair […]
The US will become a neo-feudal nation
The US will become a neo-feudal nation The Western world is heading for the next big social and economic crisis. America’s hegemony is waning and its establishment is fighting among themselves. To uphold American supremacy, President Trump and his administration are trying to reshape the nation into a neo-feudal society with a new relationship between […]
Weekly Commentary: Powell Federal Reserve Lowers “Fed Put” Strike Price
Weekly Commentary: Powell Federal Reserve Lowers “Fed Put” Strike Price I have little confidence history will get this right. Today’s overwhelming consensus view holds that Powell this week committed a major policy blunder. After his early-October “we’re a long way from neutral” “rookie mistake”, he has followed with a rate increase right in the throes […]
The Neutral Interest Rate Myth
THE NEUTRAL INTEREST RATE MYTH In his speech to the Economic Club of New York on November 28 2018, the Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell said that the US central bank’s policy interest rate is just below the neutral rate. This prompted many commentators to suggest that a tighter interest rate stance of the […]
Chairman Powell Talks Out of Both Sides of His Mouth
Chairman Powell Talks Out of Both Sides of His Mouth In a speech on Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that he had a “neutral” outlook on rates. According to a CNBC article, he was quoted: Interest rates are still low by historical standards, and they remain just below the broad range of estimates […]
DiMartino Booth: The Fraying Of The Fed’s Fragile Narrative
DiMartino Booth: The Fraying Of The Fed’s Fragile Narrative Former Dallas Fed official Danielle DiMartino Booth joins the show just as Chairman Jay Powell faces his first major challenge: will he keep raising rates as promised now that autos, housing, employment, and even tech stocks look soft? And if not, will he effectively signal that the US […]
Weekly Commentary: Framework for Monitoring Financial Stability
Weekly Commentary: Framework for Monitoring Financial Stability Upon the public release of Jerome Powell’s Wednesday speech came the Bloomberg headline: “Powell: No Preset Policy Path, Rates ‘Just Below’ Neutral Range.” When the Fed Chairman began his presentation to the New York Economic Club just minutes later, the Dow had already surged 460 points. From Powell’s […]
Competing Mortgage Headlines: Rates Barely Move vs Rates Surge Lower on Powell
Competing Mortgage Headlines: Rates Barely Move vs Rates Surge Lower on Powell Freddie Mac says “mortgage rates barely move” but Mortgage News Daily says “rates surge lower” Mortgage News Daily and Freddie Mac offer conflicting reports on the bond market reaction Jerome Powell’s speech yesterday. Mortgage News Daily says Mortgage Rates Surge Lower Mortgage rates […]
The Federal Punch Bowl Removal Agency
The Federal Punch Bowl Removal Agency US Money Supply and Credit Growth Continue to Slow Down Not to belabor the obvious too much, but in light of the recent sharp rebound, the stock market “panic window” is almost certainly closed for this year.* It was interesting that an admission by Mr. Powell that the central […]
Don’t Get Distracted By The Trump/Fed Soap Opera – The Crash Will Continue
Don’t Get Distracted By The Trump/Fed Soap Opera – The Crash Will Continue At the beginning of 2018 I wrote extensively on what was likely to happen under the administration of Jerome Powell, the new Federal Reserve Chairman. In my article ‘New Fed Chairman Will Trigger A Historic Stock Market Crash In 2018‘, published in […]
Rates on Their Way to 10-Year High After Hawkish Fed’s Recent Meeting
Rates on Their Way to 10-Year High After Hawkish Fed’s Recent Meeting Round and round we go, where the hawkish Fed stops, nobody knows… There was a bit of tension in the markets last week. This tension stemmed from a prediction that the federal funds rate would be well on its way to a decade […]
Steen Jakobsen: The Four Horsemen Portend A Painful Reckoning
Steen Jakobsen: The Four Horsemen Portend A Painful Reckoning Even the US is now ‘swimming naked’ Steen Jacobsen, Chief Economist and Chief Investment Officer of Saxo Bank sees economic slowdown ahead. Specifically, his “Four Horseman” indicators: the drivers of economic growth, are all flashing red. Jacobsen believes that the central banks will continue their liquidity […]
