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Is the US Exporting a Recession?

IS THE US EXPORTING A RECESSION? The Federal Reserve continue to raise rates as S&P earnings beat estimates The ECB and BoJ maintain QE Globally, corporations rely on US$ financing, nonetheless Signs of a slowdown in growth are clearer outside the US After last week’s ECB meeting, Mario Draghi gave the usual press conference. He confirmed […]

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Japan Expects to Hit 2% Inflation in 5 Years, Aggressive Easing Will Continue

Japan Expects to Hit 2% Inflation in 5 Years, Aggressive Easing Will Continue The BOJ thinks Japan may hit its 2% inflation target in 5 years. Kuroda says risks are to the downside. It may take Japan five more years to reach its 2% inflation targetaccording to BOJ governor Haruhiko Kuroda. “Sometime within the next […]

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Bank of Japan Buys Record Amount of Equity ETFs: Once Upon a Time

Bank of Japan Buys Record Amount of Equity ETFs: Once Upon a Time The Japanese stock market fell, so the Bank of Japan bought more equity funds. After cornering the bond market, the Bank of Japan has its sight on the stock market with a Record Buying Binge in March. The Bank of Japan spent […]

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Monetary Policy is a Complete Failure? Will Shutting Down the Fed Solve All the Problems?

Monetary Policy is a Complete Failure? Will Shutting Down the Fed Solve All the Problems? I recently did an interview and was asked about the Federal Reserve. There is so much absolute nonsense sophistry that circulates where people think that ending the central bank will somehow cure everything. I really just laid it out plain […]

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Central Bank Money Rules the World

Central Bank Money Rules the World Central bank credit that supports markets — is not just creation of the Fed, but by central banks and institutions around the world colluding together. Global markets are too deeply connected these days to consider the Fed in isolation. Since last month’s correction, the world has been watching the […]

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Weekly Commentary: Cracks

Weekly Commentary: Cracks After posting an inter-week high of 25,800 on Tuesday, the DJIA then dropped 1,583 points (6.1%) at the week’s Friday morning low (24,218) – before closing the session at 24,538 (down 3.0% for the week). The VIX traded as low as 15.29 Tuesday. It then closed Wednesday at 19.85, jumped as high […]

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Kuroda Shocks Markets Hinting At QE End; Nikkei, USDJPY Tumble

Kuroda Shocks Markets Hinting At QE End; Nikkei, USDJPY Tumble In addition to the suddenly escalating global trade war, overnight traders had one more thing to worry about: another central bank unwinding its QE program. This happened shortly after midnight ET, when BOJ Governor Kuroda unexpectedly announced that the Bank of Japan will start thinking […]

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It’s Raining Money

It’s Raining Money With apologies to the Dire Straights: Now look at them yo-yo’s that’s the way you do it You play the bull on the fin TV That ain’t workin’ that’s the way you do it Money for nothin’ and stocks for free After 9 years of artificial liquidity drenching markets the same game […]

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Central Banks Will Let The Next Crash Happen

Central Banks Will Let The Next Crash Happen If you have been following the public commentary from central banks around the world the past few months, you know that there has been a considerable change in tone compared to the last several years. For example, officials at the European Central Bank are hinting at a […]

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Do Financial Markets Still Exist?

Do Financial Markets Still Exist? For many decades the Federal Reserve has rigged the bond market by its purchases. And for about a century, central banks have set interest rates (mainly to stabilize their currency’s exchange rate) with collateral effects on securities prices. It appears that in May 2010, August 2015, January/February 2016, and currently […]

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QE Party Over, even by the Bank of Japan

QE Party Over, even by the Bank of Japan First decline in its colossal balance sheet since 2012. An amazing – or on second thought, given how central banks operate, not so amazing – thing is happening. On one hand… Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda keeps saying that the BOJ would “patiently” maintain its […]

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Stranger Things

Stranger Things      The hidden agenda in the so-called tax reform bill is to act as stop-gap quantitative easing to plug the “liquidity” hole that is opening up as the Federal Reserve (America’s central bank) makes a few gestures to winding down its balance sheet and “normalizing” interest rates. Thus, the aim of the tax […]

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Bank of Japan Tapers (Quietly), QE Party Over

Bank of Japan Tapers (Quietly), QE Party Over No flashy announcement, to avoid alarming the markets. After years of blistering asset purchases, the Bank of Japan disclosed today that it held a total of ¥521.6 trillion in assets as of November 30, including Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs), gold, corporate bonds, Japanese REITs, equity ETFs, loans, etc. […]

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Nonsensical Global Worries Over Subdued Inflation: Yellen, Draghi, Kuroda

Nonsensical Global Worries Over Subdued Inflation: Yellen, Draghi, Kuroda Central bank presidents at the Fed, the ECB, and Bank of Japan are all concerned over low inflation. The Fed wants to hike anyway, but the Bank of Japan will keep pursuing aggressive monetary easing. Meanwhile, asset prices are in the biggest ever bubble. Bank of […]

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The Upcoming Increase in Interest Rates

THE UPCOMING INCREASE IN INTEREST RATES  Last week, both Janet Yellen of the Fed and Mark Carney of the Bank of England prepared financial markets for interest rate increases. The working assumption should be that this was coordinated, and that both the ECB and the Bank of Japan must be considering similar moves. Central banks […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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