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Only China Can Restore Stability in The Global Economy
Only China Can Restore Stability in The Global Economy Fan Ho East meets west 1963 For those of you who don’t know Andy Xie, he’s an MIT-educated former IMF economist and was once Morgan Stanley’s chief Asia-Pacific economist. Xie is known for a bearish view of China, and not Beijing’s favorite person. He’s now an […]
The S&P Is A Bloated Corpse
The S&P Is A Bloated Corpse Fan Ho In Paris 1953 Update: I never did this before, but now I think I must: change the title of an article. “Minsky and Volatility” isn’t nearly as good as “The S&P Is A Bloated Corpse”. Simple, really. The URL will be the same as before According to […]
When This Debt Bubble Bursts, Central Banks Will Turn to Money Printing… Again
When This Debt Bubble Bursts, Central Banks Will Turn to Money Printing… Again Let’s face the facts. The only reason the financial system has held together so well since 2008 is because Central Banks have created a bubble in bonds via massive QE programs and seven years of ZIRP/NIRP. As a result of this, the […]
Did the Economy Just Stumble Off a Cliff?
Did the Economy Just Stumble Off a Cliff? The signs are everywhere for those willing to look: something has changed beneath the surface of complacent faith in permanent growth. This is more intuitive than quantitative, but my gut feeling is that the economy just stumbled off a cliff. Neither the cliff edge nor the fatal misstep […]
Reagan Adviser: Why Trump Won’t Cut Taxes
Reagan Adviser: Why Trump Won’t Cut Taxes The mules of Wall Street were back at it again, buying the dips after the overnight whoosh downward in the futures market. Apparently, it will take an actual two-by-four between the eyes to break a habit that has been working for 96 months now since the March 2009 […]
2017’s Real Milestone (Or Why Interest Rates Can Never Go Back To Normal)
2017’s Real Milestone (Or Why Interest Rates Can Never Go Back To Normal) Forget about NAFTA or OPEC or TPP or crowd size or hand size or any other acronym or stat or concept that obsesses the financial press these days. Only two numbers actually matter. The first is $20 trillion, which is the level […]
QE/ZIRP Is Crushing the Global Supply Chain, Product Quality and Profits
QE/ZIRP Is Crushing the Global Supply Chain, Product Quality and Profits We will soon wish we were allowed an honest business cycle recession once the current overcapacity implodes the global economy. We all know the quality of many globally sourced products has nosedived in the past few years. I addressed this in Inflation Hidden in Plain Sight (August […]
Traveling Circus
Traveling Circus After Wednesday’s policy statements by the Fed and Bank of Japan, a harsh light is being shined on the incredible nature of their communications. It would be wise in the current environment to structure investment portfolios with a pro-volatility bias. Central banks in G7 economies have been carrying a heavy load for a […]
Negative Interest Rates and the War on Cash (1)
Negative Interest Rates and the War on Cash (1) Irving Underhill City Bank-Farmers Trust Building, William & Beaver streets, NYC 1931 It’s been a while, but Nicole Foss is back at the Automatic Earth -which makes me very happy-, and for good measure, she starts out with a very long article. So long in fact that […]
Simultaneous Elderly Overpopulation, Youth Depopulation & The Impact on Economic Growth
Simultaneous Elderly Overpopulation, Youth Depopulation & The Impact on Economic Growth Strangely, the world is suffering from two seemingly opposite trends…overpopulation and depopulation in concert. The overpopulation is due to the increased longevity of elderly lifespans vs. depopulation of young populations due to collapsing birthrates. The depopulation is among most under 25yr old populations (except Africa) […]
The Boomer Retirement Meme Is A Big Lie
THE BOOMER RETIREMENT MEME IS A BIG LIE As the labor participation rate and employment to population ratio linger near three decade lows, the mouthpieces for the establishment continue to perpetuate the Big Lie this is solely due to the retirement of Boomers. It’s their storyline and they’ll stick to it, no matter what the […]
Yelling ‘Stay’ In A Burning Theater—–Yellen Ignites Another Robo-Trader Spasm
Yelling ‘Stay’ In A Burning Theater—–Yellen Ignites Another Robo-Trader Spasm Simple Janet has attained a new milestone as a public menace with her speech to the Economic Club of New York. It amounted to yelling “stay” in a burning theater! The stock market has been desperately trying to correct for months now because even the casino regulars can read the tea […]
Worst Case Scenario = 73% Down From Here
WORST CASE SCENARIO = 73% DOWN FROM HERE As the stock market gyrates higher and lower in a fairly narrow range, the spokesmodels and talking heads on CNBC breathlessly regurgitate the standard bullish mantra designed to keep the muppets in the market. They are employees of a massive corporation whose bottom line and stock price […]
Interest Rates Are Never Going Back to Normal
Interest Rates Are Never Going Back to Normal Grotesque Mutants BALTIMORE – Let’s see… U.S. corporate earnings have been going down for three quarters in a row. The median household income is lower than it was 10 years ago. And now JPMorgan Chase has increased its estimated risk of a recession to about one in […]
Sweden Minister Says Cashless Society “Not Possible”; Elderly, Disabled People Blamed
Sweden Minister Says Cashless Society “Not Possible”; Elderly, Disabled People Blamed It was just a little over a week ago when we reported that Sweden had begun a 5-year countdown to becoming a cashless utopia. As The Local reported, “cash transactions today represent no more than two percent of the value of all payments made in Sweden, [and that […]
