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Fourth Turning 2022–Bad Moon Rising (Part 2)
FOURTH TURNING 2022 – BAD MOON RISING (PART 2) In Part 1 of this article I laid out how the global elite have used this covid flu to manipulate the weak minded into a fear induced mass psychosis as a key element in their Great Reset plan to control the world and keep you technologically enslaved […]
Federal Reserve IR Policy – Longer, Lower, and ZIRP Until Something (or Everything) Breaks
Federal Reserve IR Policy – Longer, Lower, and ZIRP Until Something (or Everything) Breaks The current interest rate cycle began in August of 2019 when the Fed cut rates from the previous cycle high of 2.4% to 2.1%. The Fed was then fighting the “repo-crisis” in which the Fed was incapable of setting interest rates…and […]
Fourth Turning Accelerating Towards Climax
FOURTH TURNING ACCELERATING TOWARDS CLIMAX “At some point, America’s short-term Crisis psychology will catch up to the long-term post-Unraveling fundamentals. This might result in a Great Devaluation, a severe drop in the market price of most financial and real assets. This devaluation could be a short but horrific panic, a free-falling price in a market […]
Aussie Reserve Bank, Considering “Extreme Measures”, Admits “We’re Almost Out Of Ammo”
Aussie Reserve Bank, Considering “Extreme Measures”, Admits “We’re Almost Out Of Ammo” At least one reserve bank globally is starting to ponder the question that many central banks across the world will soon inevitably be asking: what happens if we cut to zero and the economy continues to falter? This has led Australia to start considering QE, […]
The Positive Interest Rate Cycle, RIP…1950 – 2019
The Positive Interest Rate Cycle, RIP…1950 – 2019 I’m going to make the case that the US is concluding the final positive interest rate cycle and that upon the next downturn, the Japanese / EU style ZIRP and/or NIRP will become the new norm. But, before we say goodbye…let’s take a look at the ups, downs, and […]
The Corporate Debt Bubble
The Corporate Debt Bubble The largest asset bubbles occur while economic growth and inflation remain positive, but subdued, for extended periods of time. According to its dual mandate, the Federal Reserve focuses primarily on growth and price stability, and tends to ignore the creation of asset bubbles as long as economic activity is not running […]
Choking On the Salt of Debt
Choking On the Salt of Debt Life After ZIRP Roughly three years ago, after traversing between Los Angeles and San Francisco via the expansive San Joaquin Valley, we penned the article, Salting the Economy to Death. At the time, the monetary order was approach peak ZIRP. Our boy ZIRP has passed away. Mr. 2.2% effective […]
Peter Schiff Explains “What Happens Next” In 47 Words
Peter Schiff Explains “What Happens Next” In 47 Words Outspoken critic of The Fed and one of the few that can see through the endless barrage of bullshit to how this really ends, has laid out in a tweet “what happens next”… Likely sequence of events: 1. Bear market; 2. Recession; 3. Deficits explode; 4. […]
This ‘Deflationary’ Bull Markets Ending – And Here’s What’s Coming Next For Investors
This ‘Deflationary’ Bull Markets Ending – And Here’s What’s Coming Next For Investors After many years of cheap money and asset bubbles – it looks like the upside is finally over. That is – the potential upside against the amount of risk taken on – is over. I often write about investors needing to find […]
Why Trade Wars Ignite and Why They’re Spreading
Why Trade Wars Ignite and Why They’re Spreading The monetary distortions, imbalances and perverse incentives are finally bearing fruit: trade wars. What ignites trade wars? The oft-cited sources include unfair trade practices and big trade deficits. But since these have been in place for decades, they don’t explain why trade wars are igniting now. To truly […]
The Greatest Bubble Ever: Why You Better Believe It, Part 2
The Greatest Bubble Ever: Why You Better Believe It, Part 2 During the 40 months after Alan Greenspan’s infamous “irrational exuberance” speech in December 1996, the NASDAQ 100 index rose from 830 to 4585 or by 450%. But the perma-bulls said not to worry: This time is different—-it’s a new age of technology miracles that will change the laws […]
The Cost Basis of our Economy is Spiraling Out of Control
The Cost Basis of our Economy is Spiraling Out of Control What will it take to radically reduce the cost basis of our economy? If we had to choose one “big picture” reason why the vast majority of households are losing ground, it would either be the stagnation of income or the spiraling out of […]
700 Years Of Data Suggests The Reversal In Rates Will Be Rapid
700 Years Of Data Suggests The Reversal In Rates Will Be Rapid Have we been lulled into a false sense of security about the future path of rates by ZIRP/NIRP policies? Central banks’ misguided efforts to engineer inflation have undoubtedly been woefully feeble, so far. As the Federal Reserve “valiantly” raises short rates, markets ignore […]
The Biggest Ponzi in Human History
The Biggest Ponzi in Human History Jean-Léon Gérôme Slave market 1866Here’s the story in a nutshell: Ultra low interest rates mark a shift away from people’s wealth residing in their savings and pension plans, and into to so-called wealth residing in their homes, which are bought with ever growing levels of debt. When interest rates […]
Necessity is the Mother of Invention–Retirees Desperate Reach for Yield
NECESSITY IS THE MOTHER OF INVENTION – RETIREES DESPERATE REACH FOR YIELD Ben Bernanke’s creativity inspired a generation of economists and central bankers. QE, ZIRP and NIRP established a new class of economics that is mathematically sound but practically disastrous. Billions of dollars were transferred from savers to investors to boost the economy, but the […]
