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3 Central Bank Shocks Unleash Overnight Yield Crash, With Yuan On Verge Of Collapse
3 Central Bank Shocks Unleash Overnight Yield Crash, With Yuan On Verge Of Collapse There is just one way to describe the plunge in bond yields overnight and the events behind it: the global race to the currency bottom is rapidly accelerating in its final lap with a global deflationary Ice Age (take a bow Albert Edwards) waiting […]
Chinese Bank With $100 Billion In Assets Is About To Collapse
Chinese Bank With $100 Billion In Assets Is About To Collapse While the western world (and much of the eastern) has been preoccupied with predicting the consequences of Trump’s accelerating global trade/tech war and whether the Fed will launch QE before or after it sends rates back to zero, Beijing has quietly had its hands […]
Meanwhile In China, Echoes Of Lehman As Interbank Market Freezes
Meanwhile In China, Echoes Of Lehman As Interbank Market Freezes One month ago we wrote that in the aftermath of the shocking government May 24 seizure of Baoshang Bank – not shocking because the bank failed as most Chinese banks are insolvent if left to their own devices due to the real, and far higher levels of […]
China’s Debt Bomb Is Back: Beijing Injects Most Ever Credit For Month Of March
China’s Debt Bomb Is Back: Beijing Injects Most Ever Credit For Month Of March One month ago, we asked if that was it for China’s “Shanghai Accord 2.0”? Turns out the answer was a resounding “no.“ As we noted at the time, one month after the PBOC injected a gargantuan 4.64 trillion yuan ($685 billion) into the economy […]
Black Swan Watch: China Has Added Over $50 TRILLION in Financial Assets Since 2014
Black Swan Watch: China Has Added Over $50 TRILLION in Financial Assets Since 2014 The biggest black swan facing the financial system is China. China has been the primary driver of growth for the global economy since the 2008 Crisis. Despite only accounting for 15% of global GDP, China accounts for 25%-30% of GDP growth. […]
“A Daisy Chain Of Defaults”: How Debt Cross-Guarantees Could Spark China’s Next Crisis
“A Daisy Chain Of Defaults”: How Debt Cross-Guarantees Could Spark China’s Next Crisis On November 8, China shocked markets with its latest targeted stimulus in the form of an “unprecedented” lending directive ordering large banks to issue loans to private companies to at least one-third of new corporate lending. The announcement sparked a new round […]
China’s Economic Slump Accelerated In October, Early Indicators Show
China’s Economic Slump Accelerated In October, Early Indicators Show As corporate defaults surge, forcing a desperate PBOC to reverse its deleveraging efforts and threaten more interventions to stave off a more serious retrenchment in growth in the world’s second largest economy, it seems like not a day goes by without another warning sign that China’s […]
Weekly Commentary: “Whatever They Want” Coming Home to Roost
Weekly Commentary: “Whatever They Want” Coming Home to Roost Let’s begin with global. China’s yuan (CNY) traded to 6.9644 to the dollar in early-Friday trading, almost matching the low (vs. dollar) from December 2016 (6.9649). CNY is basically trading at lows going back to 2008 – and has neared the key psychological 7.0 level. CNY […]
“The Central Bank Will Intervene”: PBOC Said To Sell Reserves If Yuan Drops Below 7.00
“The Central Bank Will Intervene”: PBOC Said To Sell Reserves If Yuan Drops Below 7.00 According to the latest data from China’s SAFE, net FX outflows from China picked up to US$21BN in September (vs. US$11BN in August) and the highest since mid-2017 with Goldman noting that “outflow might have increased moderately further in October, but […]
Has China Finally Lifted its Thumb off of Gold?
Has China Finally Lifted its Thumb off of Gold? There’s a lot of talk about the Yuan price of gold falling out of a price suppression channel. Both Zerohedge and Nomura have weighed in on this. The Yuan price of gold surged overnight to above CNY 8500 per ounce which is a major breakdown But […]
Chinese Verbal Intervention In The Market Fails As Stock Rout Accelerates
Chinese Verbal Intervention In The Market Fails As Stock Rout Accelerates This morning, when we reported that the latest flood of margin calls, resulting from $600 billion in shares pledged as collateral for loans and representing a whopping 11% of China’s market cap, sent the Shanghai Composite tumbling 3% to the lowest level since November […]
China Changes Definition Of Aggregate Financing To Disguise Sharp Credit Slowdown
China Changes Definition Of Aggregate Financing To Disguise Sharp Credit Slowdown With investor attention increasingly focused on China’s credit pipeline to see if the recent crackdown on shadow lending has unlocked other sources of debt in a country where growth is always and only a credit phenomenon, and where both the housing and auto sectors […]
Has “It” Finally Arrived?
Shutterstock Has “It” Finally Arrived? Is this week’s 6% market drop the start of the Big One? With the recent plunge in the S&P 500 of over 5%, has the long-anticipated (and long-overdue) market correction finally begun? It’s hard to say for certain. But the systemic cracks we’ve been closely monitoring definitely got an awful […]
