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Tag Archives: credit
What Will Surprise Us in 2022
What Will Surprise Us in 2022 What seemed so permanent for 13 long years will be revealed as shifting sand and what seemed so real for 13 long years will be revealed as illusion. Magical thinking isn’t optimism, it is folly. Predictions are hard, especially about the future, but let’s look at what we already […]
Ellen Brown: The Real Antidote to Inflation
Ellen Brown: The Real Antidote to Inflation The Fed has options for countering the record inflation the U.S. is facing that are far more productive and less risky than raising interest rates. [Images Money / CC BY 2.0] The Federal Reserve is caught between a rock and a hard place. Inflation grew by 6.8% in November, […]
Will China Pop the Global Everything Bubble? Yes
Will China Pop the Global Everything Bubble? Yes The line of dominoes that is already toppling extends around the entire global economy and financial system. Plan accordingly. That China faces structural problems is well-recognized. The list of articles in the August issue of Foreign Affairs dedicated to China reflects this: Xi’s Gamble: the Race to Consolidate Power and […]
Weekly Commentary: Contagion
Weekly Commentary: Contagion Another big miss for non-farm payrolls, with September’s 194,000 jobs gain less than half the 500,000 forecast. But with the Unemployment Rate down to 4.8% and Average Hourly Earnings up 4.6% y-o-y (not to mention almost 11 million job openings), there’s ample evidence that much of the labor market has turned exceptionally […]
Markets Next “Minsky Moment”
Technically Speaking: The Markets Next “Minsky Moment” In this past weekend’s newsletter, I discussed the issue of the markets next “Minsky Moment.” Today, I want to expand on that analysis to discuss how the Fed’s drive to create “stability” eventually creates “instability.” In 2007, I was at a conference where Paul McCulley, who was with PIMCO at the time, discussed the idea […]
The long history of money
The long history of money We are approaching a critical turning point in the history of financial systems. Since the Great Financial Crisis, central banks have exerted control over the financial markets through their QE-programs and plan to extend their influence over the monetary system through the introduction of national digital currencies. Opposing forces include, as […]
The First “Global Inflationary Depression” Is Very Possible
The First “Global Inflationary Depression” Is Very Possible It is possible that we might soon be witness to the first global inflationary depression. This is not a mix of words we normally see placed together. Several factors make this scenario possible. First, we seldom have depressions but instead, tend to roll through mild recessions, however, […]
Weekly Commentary: State-Directed Credit Splurge
Weekly Commentary: State-Directed Credit Splurge New data released Friday confirm ongoing historic Chinese Credit excess. Total Aggregate Financing increased (a ridiculous) $524 billion during August to $40.5 TN, doubling July’s growth and exceeding estimates by almost 40%. It was the strongest monthly gain since March’s record $759 billion. This pushed y-t-d (8-month) growth to $3.828 […]
The anatomy of a financial crisis
The anatomy of a financial crisis In this blog, we present the anatomy of a financial crisis. A characteristic feature of a banking crisis is that it tends to follow, more-or-less, the same path regardless of the ‘shock’ or ‘trigger’ that initiates it. The next phase of the crisis is likely to be a global […]
Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh II
Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh II Monte Alban, Mexico (1988) Photo by author. My response to an ongoing discussion regarding debt-/credit-based fiat currency and it’s impact on our pursuing the infinite growth chalice. _____ Yes, credit-/debt-based fiat is certainly one of the most significant causes of our pursuing the infinite growth chalice. Not the only one, […]
Money Supply Growth in May Again Surges to an All-Time High
MONEY SUPPLY GROWTH IN MAY AGAIN SURGES TO AN ALL-TIME HIGH Money supply growth surged to another all-time high in May, following April’s all-time high that came in the wake of unprecedented quantitative easing, central bank asset purchases, and various stimulus packages. The growth rate has never been higher, with the 1970s the only period […]
China’s Central Bank Vows To Expand Total Credit By 30% Of GDP In 2020
China’s Central Bank Vows To Expand Total Credit By 30% Of GDP In 2020 One of the curiosities about the current global financial crisis is that unlike the global financial crisis of 2008 when a massive credit injection by China sparked a generous reflationary wave around the world which pulled it out of a deflationary […]
Weekly Commentary: Global Bubbles are Deflating
Weekly Commentary: Global Bubbles are Deflating “Bubble” is commonly understood to describe a divergence between overvalued market prices and underlying asset values. And while price anomalies are a typical consequence, they are generally not among the critical aspects of Bubbles. I’ll start with my basic definition: A Bubble is a self-reinforcing but inevitably unsustainable inflation. […]
Who’s Next to Fail in the Post-COVID World? As much as I hate to invoke The Ayn Rand lest I give off the impression I’m some kind of Objectivist, which I am most certainly not, the engine of the world is coming to a halt. Money velocity has been falling for years. It is now […]
