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Look to Prices, Not Official Metrics, for Inflation’s “Smoking Gun”
Look to Prices, Not Official Metrics, for Inflation’s “Smoking Gun” This week, Your News to Know rounds up the latest top stories involving gold and the overall economy. Stories include: The overlooked driver of gold and silver prices, what to expect from gold after last year’s fireworks, a heap of ancient gold figures has been […]
What Interest Rate Triggers The Next Crisis?
What Interest Rate Triggers The Next Crisis? The Ten-year U.S. Treasury note yields 1.61%. 10-year high-quality corporate bonds yield 2.09%. The rate on a 30-year mortgage is 3.05%. Despite recent increases, interest rates are hovering near historic lows. We do not use the word “historic” lightly. By “historic,” we refer to the lowest levels since […]
Getting Hyperinflation Right
Getting Hyperinflation Right Profligate money printing by the US Federal Reserve and by other Western central banks has amounted to around $10 trillion over just the last year. The amount of currency in circulation has grown to $2 trillion, breaking a record set in 1945 and showing an almost 12% increase over 2019. The US […]
Rabo: If Powell Does Nothing, We Will See Godzilla-Sized Shockwaves Across Markets Everywhere
Rabo: If Powell Does Nothing, We Will See Godzilla-Sized Shockwaves Across Markets Everywhere “Quadzilla is approaching Tokyo!” [Cue epic music] “Up from the depths; 30 trillion high; Breathing fire; Its name in the sky — Quadzilla! Quadzilla! Quadzilla!” [Sudden switch to comedy music] “…and Godz-EU-ki.” For those who grew up with 80’s cartoons, that intro may be […]
Inflation watch: Beware the ides of March
Inflation watch: Beware the ides of March President Biden has now had his $1.9 trillion stimulus package passed into law, and it will not be the last in the current fiscal year. Covid is not over and is sure to resurge with new variants next winter.But even assuming that is not the case, we still […]
The Fed’s Most Convenient Lie: A CPI Charade
The Fed’s Most Convenient Lie: A CPI Charade Despite a penchant for double-speak that would make a politician blush, the Fed tells us that its primary focus is unemployment not inflation. Let me remind readers, however, that an openly nervous Mr. Powell came out in the summer of 2020 with a specific, as well as […]
Stagflation Subterfuge: The Real Disaster Hidden By The Pandemic
Stagflation Subterfuge: The Real Disaster Hidden By The Pandemic In recent economic news, headlines are being dominated by concerns over rising bond yields. Increased bond yields are a sign of a possible spike in inflation and, logically, they call for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in order to prevent that inflation. Higher bond yields […]
Weekly Commentary: Regime Change
Weekly Commentary: Regime Change Ten-year Treasury yields closed out a tumultuous week at 1.41% bps, pulling back after Thursday’s spike to a one-year high 1.61%. Ten-year Treasury yields are now up 49 bps from the start of the year and almost 100 bps (1 percentage point) off August 2020 lows. More dramatic, five-year yields jumped […]
Jerome von Havenstein: Inflation Or Bust
Jerome von Havenstein: Inflation Or Bust This week brought forth new evidence that – to be perfectly frank – we’re all screwed. On Thursday, the yield on the 10 year Treasury note topped 1.55 percent. Subsequently, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, after hitting an all-time high on Wednesday, dropped 559 points. Wall Street must not […]
The Outage at the Federal Reserve
The Outage at the Federal Reserve The outage of the National Settlement Service and the Fedwire Securities Service, which provides issuance, settlement, and transfer services for Treasuries and other government securities, was down and this has caused some concern and then conspiracy theories mixed in. The Fed made progress reversing the shutdown within a couple […]
Yellen Challenges Powell’s Unlimited Control of the Markets
Yellen Challenges Powell’s Unlimited Control of the Markets Source: Federal Reserve The Fed attempts to maintain control of various rates (including inflation, unemployment and long-term interest rates) through its monetary policy decisions. In the past, poor choices arguably led to both the dot-com bubble and the Great Recession. But that’s old news. Today, Fed Chairman […]
Who Bought the $4.5 Trillion Added in One Year to the Incredibly Spiking US National Debt, Now at $27.9 Trillion?
Who Bought the $4.5 Trillion Added in One Year to the Incredibly Spiking US National Debt, Now at $27.9 Trillion? Someone had to buy every dollar of this monstrous debt. Here’s Who. The Fed isn’t the only one. But China continues to unwind its holdings. Driven by stimulus and bailouts, and fired up by the […]
Heal the Planet for Profit – Redux
Heal the Planet for Profit – Redux Giorgione The Tempest 1508“Mankind’s only chance to not destroy its planet lies in diverging from all other species in that not all energy available to it, is used up as fast as possible. But that’s a big challenge. It would, speaking from a purely philosophical angle, truly separate us from […]
Federal Reserve & Fake Conspiracies
Federal Reserve & Fake Conspiracies QUESTION: I found your history of the Federal Reserve very insightful which nobody else has put together. Can you explain your comment that the ECB could go bankrupt but not the Fed? Thank you very much. HB ANSWER: Here is a full set of $1 bills with each issued by its respective […]
