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What Will Rising Mortgage Rates Do to Housing Bubble 2?

What Will Rising Mortgage Rates Do to Housing Bubble 2? Oops, they’re already rising. The US government bond market has further soured this week, with Treasuries selling off across the spectrum. When bond prices fall, yields rise. For example, the two-year Treasury yield rose to 2.06% on Friday, the highest since September 2008. In the […]

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Drowning In The Money River

Photobank gallery/Shutterstock Drowning In The Money River Why the 99% of us are falling farther behind It’s a big club and you ain’t in it. ~ George Carlin If you suspect society is unfair, that there’s a different set of rules the rich live by, you’re right. I’ve had ample chance to witness first-hand evidence […]

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What Has QE Wrought?

What Has QE Wrought? [Editor’s Note: Watch Ron Paul deliver this Special Report here.​] The Great Recession began in 2007. It didn’t take long for the money managers to recognize its severity, and that a little tinkering with interest rates would not suffice in dealing with the economic downturn. In Dec. 2008, the first of four Quantitative […]

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QE Party Over, even by the Bank of Japan

QE Party Over, even by the Bank of Japan First decline in its colossal balance sheet since 2012. An amazing – or on second thought, given how central banks operate, not so amazing – thing is happening. On one hand… Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda keeps saying that the BOJ would “patiently” maintain its […]

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Quantitative Tightening Is the Biggest Economic Threat in 2018

Quantitative Tightening Is the Biggest Economic Threat in 2018 In response to the 2008 financial crisis, the Fed and other central banks deployed zero or near-zero interest rates, quantitative easing, and assorted other interventions. These may have averted an even worse disaster, but their impacts were far from ideal. Nonetheless, the economy slowly lifted off […]

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The Debt Beneath

The Debt Beneath Debt is irrelevant and matters not. It’s different this time. That’s the message from politicians, markets and participants. Tax cuts pay for themselves (they do not), leverage doesn’t matter (it does) and the increased costs of servicing the debt as a result of rising rates will be offset by imaginary real wage […]

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Abracadabra

Abracadabra And so, as they say in the horror movies, it begins…! The unwinding of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet. Such an esoteric concept! Is there one in ten thousand of the millions of people who sit at desks all day long from sea to shining sea who have a clue how this works? Or […]

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Stranger Things

Stranger Things      The hidden agenda in the so-called tax reform bill is to act as stop-gap quantitative easing to plug the “liquidity” hole that is opening up as the Federal Reserve (America’s central bank) makes a few gestures to winding down its balance sheet and “normalizing” interest rates. Thus, the aim of the tax […]

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Bank of Japan Tapers (Quietly), QE Party Over

Bank of Japan Tapers (Quietly), QE Party Over No flashy announcement, to avoid alarming the markets. After years of blistering asset purchases, the Bank of Japan disclosed today that it held a total of ¥521.6 trillion in assets as of November 30, including Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs), gold, corporate bonds, Japanese REITs, equity ETFs, loans, etc. […]

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Bank Of America Analyst: A ‘Flash Crash’ In Early 2018 ‘Seems Quite Likely’

Bank Of America Analyst: A ‘Flash Crash’ In Early 2018 ‘Seems Quite Likely’ Is the stock market bubble about to burst?  I know that I have been touching on this theme over and over and over again in recent weeks, but I can’t help it.  Red flags are popping up all over the place, and […]

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The Last Time These 3 Ominous Signals Appeared Simultaneously Was Just Before The Last Financial Crisis

The Last Time These 3 Ominous Signals Appeared Simultaneously Was Just Before The Last Financial Crisis We have not seen a “leadership reversal”, a “Hindenburg Omen” and a “Titanic Syndrome signal” all appear simultaneously since just before the last financial crisis.  Does this mean that a stock market crash is imminent?  Not necessarily, but as […]

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This Is What A Pre-Crash Market Looks Like

This Is What A Pre-Crash Market Looks Like The only other times in our history when stock prices have been this high relative to earnings, a horrifying stock market crash has always followed.  Will things be different for us this time?  We shall see, but without a doubt this is what a pre-crash market looks […]

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Mind the Junk—-This Ain’t Your Grandfather’s Capitalism

Mind the Junk—-This Ain’t Your Grandfather’s Capitalism The financial system is loaded with anomalies, deformations and mispricings—-outcomes which would never occur on an honest free market. For example, the junk bond yield at just 2% in Europe is now below that of the “risk-free” US treasury bond owing solely to the depredations of the ECB. Indeed, madman Draghi has […]

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The Federal Reserve Has Just Given Financial Markets The Greatest Sell Signal In Modern American History

The Federal Reserve Has Just Given Financial Markets The Greatest Sell Signal In Modern American History Why have stock prices risen so dramatically since the last financial crisis?  There are certainly many factors involved, but the primary one is the fact that the Federal Reserve has been creating trillions of dollars out of thin air […]

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The Swiss National Bank Now Owns A Record $88 Billion In US Stocks

The Swiss National Bank Now Owns A Record $88 Billion In US Stocks In the third quarter of 2017, one in which the global economy was supposedly undergoing a unprecedented “coordinated growth spurt”, and in which central banks were preparing to unveil their QE tapering intentions, in the case of the ECB, or raising rates […]

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