The Indian government ruffled a few feathers at the COP this morning, by raising the thorny question of the £722bn they were supposed to receive to aid their transition away from fossil fuels. Because, when all is said and done, the proposed transition is all about money. Decommissioning the old fossil fuel infrastructure will not happen unless states and private investors stump up sufficient cash to pay for the materials, equipment and workforce required to do the job. And at the same time, an entirely different group of workers, materials and equipment will have to be funded to build out the new, bright green infrastructure.
To aid things along, states will also use legislation to force the hands of businesses and households. The current UK government’s decision to legislate a ban on new internal combustion engine cars from 2030, for example, has forced the car industry to switch investment toward EVs. The ban on coal power plants from 2025 may provide the more realistic example, however, because of its unforeseen consequences – such as companies closing power stations early to save on maintenance, and the threat to energy security which has now emerged. Nevertheless, it is some combination of legislation and money which will drive the process.
The same can be said, of course, for any campaigning/political issue. You can count on one hand the number of campaigns which have called for less state spending and the revoking of laws. Most often, new law and additional spending underpins demand for reform, while failing to spend and/or legislate is among the biggest sins a government can make.
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