Panic Spreads To Georgia, Carolinas As Trump Warns Category 4 Hurricane Dorian “Very Hard To Predict”
We’re starting to suspect that hurricane forecasters aren’t much better at predicting the future movements of storms than market forecasters are at predicting the future movements of markets.
To wit, on Saturday, the National Hurricane Center shifted its forecasts for Hurricane Dorian, placing a large swath of the American Southeast in its path. This inspired South Carolina Gov. Henry McMaster to declare a state of emergency, and prompted President Trump to declare that storms like Dorian are “very hard to predict.”
South Carolina’s order will enable “all state agencies to coordinate resources and sets into effect the State Emergency Operations Plan,” McMaster said. He went on to urge all South Carolinians to “prepare now”.
Looking like our great South Carolina could get hit MUCH harder than first thought. Georgia and North Carolina also. It’s moving around and very hard to predict, except that it is one of the biggest and strongest (and really wide) that we have seen in decades. Be safe!
As of Saturday afternoon, Dorian was sporting an unusually wide ‘cone of uncertainty,’ which is making it especially difficult to track, according to the NYT.
According to the NHC, since Dorian has slowed down and could now turn northward just before making landfall in the Continental US, “it is too soon to determine when or where the highest surge and winds could occur.” As a result, “the risk of strong winds and dangerous storm surge is increasing along the coasts of Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina during the middle of next week.”
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