It’s official – climate models are overheating and global warming may not be so bad after all. So say two authors of the recent Nature Geoscience study featured in this week’s Blowout. Nature, however, puts a different spin on this “good news” in the next article. We follow up with our customary mix: China’s growing oil demand; how Canada’s oil & gas industry benefits the US; North Sea oil & gas gone within 10 years; Hinkley workers consider strike action; coal woes in the US, Spain and Australia, the US solar industry tears itself apart; renewable energy “guarantees of origin” under scrutiny; Europe’s car makers face CO2 fines; the UK’s smart meter shambles; climate scientists asked to put their money where their models are and how the Giraffe 2.0 solves the EV charging problem.
Computer modelling used a decade ago to predict how quickly global average temperatures would rise may have forecast too much warming, a study has found.
Myles Allen, professor of geosystem science at the University of Oxford and one of the study’s authors told The Times: “We haven’t seen that rapid acceleration in warming after 2000 that we see in the models. We haven’t seen that in the observations.” The original forecasts were based on twelve separate computer models made by universities and government institutes around the world, and were put together ten years ago, “so it’s not that surprising that it’s starting to divert a little bit from observations”, Professor Allen added. According to The Times, another of the paper’s authors, Michael Grubb, a professor of international energy and climate change at University College London, admitted his earlier forecasting models had overplayed how temperatures would rise.
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