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This Is What A Bank Run Looks Like: Home Capital Loses 70% Of Deposits In One Week

This Is What A Bank Run Looks Like: Home Capital Loses 70% Of Deposits In One Week

In the beginning it was a slow pace, then it became a casual jog. Then, starting early last week, the jog morphed into a full-blown run, and – as of the past 3 days – the withdrawal of deposits at Home Capital Group’s high interest savings accounts has mutated into a full blown mad dash not to be the last person to have their money at what is now an effectively insolvent alternative lender.

According to HCG’s latest press release this morning, the “less than prime” Canadian mortgage lender held HISA deposits of only $391 million as of Monday, May 1; this is down C$130 million from Friday, or a reduction in the total amount by 25%. It is also down 72% from the C$1.4 billion reported one week ago.

For those who need to think all the way back to the third Greek bailout of 2015 to recall what a bank run looks like, here is what the deposit situation at HCG has looked like over the past month.

There is some good news: a terminal bank run at the mortgage lender has already been largely factored in, and is largely covered courtesy of the recently announced $2 billion emergency loan from the Ontario Pension Plan – putting up to 321,000 retirees on the hook – which carries a pre-bankruptcy interest rate of as much as 20%.  To this end, HCG announced today that its subsidiary, Home Trust, expects to receive the initial draw today of $1 billion from its $2 billion credit line.

However, there is another problem: the company has another C$12.8 billion in  Guaranteed Investment Certificate deposits, or GICS. As these 30- and 60-day deposits come due in the coming weeks, depleting HCG’s already tapped out liquidity, and forcing even more emergency loans. Without a deposit base, Home Capital can’t fund new mortgages.

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