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Trans-Pacific Partnership trade talks peak as Canada eyes election timing

Trans-Pacific Partnership trade talks peak as Canada eyes election timing

‘It’s hard to put out a press release during an election, let alone a 21st century trade agreement’

Pity Ed Fast’s campaign manager in Abbotsford, B.C.

While most MPs running for re-election are focused on campaigning, Stephen Harper’s trade minister is in Maui, Hawaii, this week to see if there’s a Trans-Pacific Partnership deal Canada can sign on to.

It’s an agreement, the prime minister said in June, that’s “essential” for Canada, establishing a basis for trade among not only the 12 Pacific Rim countries at the table, but others who could join later — like China, India or the Philippines.

A bad deal for Canada — or a deal so bad Canada has to walk away — would be another blow to the Conservatives’ election narrative of sound economic management.

Trade Minister Ed Fast

Trade Minister Ed Fast joins the talks Tuesday – and might have to interrupt his election campaigning in September if talks drag on. (Daniel Munoz/Reuters)

Fast appeared cool last week, not rising to the bait of Americans launching their position — a dismantling ofCanada’s marketing board regime for dairy, poultry and eggs — loud and clear in the media.

But as ministerial talks begin Tuesday, Fast faces awkward timing.

Newly enabled by fast-track authority from the U.S. Congress, the Americans and Japanese speak of concluding a deal now, and finalizing by the end of the year, before 2016 elections.

The Harper government might want to stretch final bargaining until its own vote is over — to strengthen its mandate and minimize electoral risks from what unfolds.

Timing not up to Canada

One of the trade minister’s former staff said it would be “next to impossible” for Canada to negotiate during the writ period.

Clinton-California

Public opinion in the U.S. is divided over the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal – but U.S. President Barack Obama has fast-track authority to get a deal done sooner rather than later. (Damian Dovarganes/Associated Press)

“It’s hard for a minister to put out a press release during an election campaign, let alone a 21st century trade agreement with 40 per cent of the world’s GDP,” said Adam Taylor, now with Ensight Canada’s international trade practice.

“I think people would never expect a democratic country in the middle of an election to come to the table to negotiate in a meaningful way.”

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