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The Bulletin: February 6-12, 2025

The Bulletin: February 6-12, 2025

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The Crises Yet To Come

When efficiency becomes a problem: Jevons Paradox in the Age of AI – Conhecimento Hoje

Supercharging the Predicaments We Face

Please, be a NIMBY – by Elisabeth Robson

Nuclear Fusion Is Just More Bullshit

Break the Consumption Cycle

Why pervasive media propaganda is ultimately self-defeating and destructive to the political class that wields it

Solar Panels for Collapse, Are They Worth It? Here’s an Honest Answer.

Fiji Water Lawsuit Raises Concerns About Microplastics – Newsweek

The Empire Self-Destructs

Overshoot Deficit Disorder – George Tsakraklides

“Recycling” Makes Plastic Pollution Worse

The overshoot myth: you can’t keep burning fossil fuels and expect scientists of the future to get us back to 1.5°C

The end of the dollar has already begun – Collapse Life

The Biggest, Most Corrupt News Organization You Have Never Heard of

Report: Apple Ordered to Provide Gov’t Access to ALL User Data on the Cloud | Headline USA

The Grocery Store Hack That Helps You Avoid Ultra-Processed Foods

The Collapse of the US Elite – by Ugo Bardi

The world isn’t close to breaking free from coal — in some countries, demand for it is surging

Danger of Deep Worldwide Recession in 2025 – Ed Dowd | Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog

World War In the 2030s

299-The Arc Of Inevitability

Dr  William Rees   Our obsolescent brains The climate, economics and overshoot

The Daily: 10 February 2025 – By My Solitary Hearth

12 Simple Things That You Can Start Doing Right Now To Become More Independent Of The System

Not More But Better, Part 1

Earth’s water cycle is off balance for the first time in human history | Climate & Capitalism

Trump Says Talk Of Wanting Canada to Be A Part of US Is Serious | ZeroHedge

In Soviet Germany, the government protests YOU

 

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Attempting a new payment system as I am contemplating shutting down my site in the future (given the ever-increasing costs to keep it running). 

If you are interested in purchasing any of the 3 books individually or the trilogy, please try the link below indicating which book(s) you are purchasing. 

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You can also find a variety of resources, particularly my summary notes for a handful of texts, especially William Catton’s Overshoot and Joseph Tainter’s Collapse of Complex Societies: see here.

The Bulletin: January 30-February 5, 2024

The Bulletin: January 30-February 5, 2024

What Won’t Happen

Trump’s Bold Energy Gamble: It’s Not What You Think | Art Berman

We already have a date for the zenith of civilization: 2025-2026 – Peak Everything, Overshoot, & Collapse

The Geopolitics of Climate Change || Peter Zeihan

The longest 10 minutes of your life have just begun – George Tsakraklides

The Dangers of Propaganda, Language Manipulation, and Thought Crimes

They Don’t Just Tell Us What To Think, They Train Us HOW To Think

Megadroughts are on the rise worldwide

Finally, an answer to why Earth’s oceans have been on a record hot streak | Grist

AMERICAN EMPIRE (Part Two): Holy War – by David Haggith

The Sweet Spot Between Doomscrolling and Hopium Smoking

Tom Cotton Admits The US Doesn’t Actually Care About Spreading Democracy

Surprising science — There’s no such thing as clean energy?

Trump Claims “We Have All the Oil We Need” True or False? – MishTalk

Growth Is Over

#298: Energy, not money – the sequence unfolds | Surplus Energy Economics

Lots of Solutions, But for Which Problems?

Another Mass Ukrainian Drone Attack Triggers Fires At Oil & Gas Facilities In Southern Russia | ZeroHedge

Tony Blair: Digital IDs Will Curb Populism, Backs Expanded Facial Recognition, Says Public Will Trade Privacy for Efficiency

Peak Oil: Requiem for a Failed Paradigm | Art Berman

Levels of microplastics in human brains may be rapidly rising, study suggests | Plastics | The Guardian

Crazy Town 97. The House Is Quite Literally on Fire: Peter Kalmus on the Climate Emergency Hitting Home – resilience

Our Project Is Self-Contradictory

Towards a WW III Scenario. The Privatization of Nuclear War. Michel Chossudovsky – Global Research

Ukraine Open To Trump Demand To Exchange Rare Earth Elements For Arms | ZeroHedge

EU AI Act Effectively Legalizes Biometric Mass Surveillance

From the Archives: This Is What Inflation Does To Our Kids

Trump Goes All-In On Stealing Gaza For His Zionist Owners

The Cost Of A Battery

Always Adding More: The Unpopular Reality about Energy Transitions

8 Reasons Why Prepping Is Good For Your Mental State

The Bulletin: January 16-22, 2025

The Bulletin: January 16-22, 2025

Visualizing All Of Canada’s Cancelled Energy Projects | ZeroHedge

Geological Events Show the Difference Between Predicaments and Problems

The Everything Bubble Suddenly Feels Unstable

The War Behind The War: What World War III Is Really Being Fought Over | ZeroHedge

When was growth?

Preventable Deaths And Vitamin D3 | ZeroHedge

Greece Calls On EU For Fast Response To Surging Energy Prices

Rare earth mining in Myanmar’s Chipwi region causes socio-economic decline and severe environmental damage – ENG.MIZZIMA.COM

Drill, Baby, Drill – Waking Up in the Age of Absurdity

Norway warns its oil and gas production is in decline

None Of These War Criminals Will Face Justice As Long As the US Empire Exists

Decoding the UN Sustainable Development Goals: Indoctrinating Your Children Into the New “Fake Sustainable” World Order – Global Research

Firecraft Guide Part I: Tindering the Flame

Climate, Net Zero and Other Words You Must Stop Using

Giant freshwater aquifer in southern Africa is under threat from mining

Greenland’s melting ice is clearing the way for a mineral ‘gold rush’

Is Digitization Catastrophic for Civilization?

Climate Fatigue: Why the Story of Saving the Planet Isn’t Selling | Art Berman

The Red Giant – The Honest Sorcerer

Every Large Economy on Earth is Shrinking

The Imp with a Chainsaw – by Ugo Bardi – The Seneca Effect

How to Survive a Pre-Collapse Dystopia: a Conceptual Segmentation – George Tsakraklides

Resource Insights: Wishful thinking? Sweden building nuclear waste site to last 100,000 years

Trump To Declare National Energy Emergency | ZeroHedge

Questioning lithium-ion batteries, fire risks & hydrating dry regions

Extremes Become More Extreme, Then Revert to the Mean

Frightening Memories of Project Ice-worm: Militarization and the Future of the Arctic Region – Global Research

Trump, Musk, Gaza, the Rise of Totalitarianism and the End of the US Empire

Decisions, Decisions | Do the Math

Donald Trump Is The Empire Unmasked – by Caitlin Johnstone

After millennia as CO₂ sink, more than one-third of Arctic-boreal region is now a source

Heat waves could worsen as soil moisture changes, climate models reveal

Unprecedented winter storm paralyzes Gulf Coast with record-breaking snow even in Florida | CNN

‘Catastrophic’: Great Barrier Reef hit by its most widespread coral bleaching, study finds

Alberta government lifts ban on coal exploration in Eastern Slopes | CBC News

The Do It Yourself Decade

Direction of Global Crises to Depend on Trump’s Next Steps, Russia’s Lavrov Says | The Epoch Times

PJM Grid Declares “Max Generation Alert” As Polar Vortex Unleashes Mini Ice Age | ZeroHedge

All Lifeforms Are Worthless – George Tsakraklides

What the “Rules Based International Order” Really Means

What the “Rules Based International Order” Really Means


This map, from Multipolarista, shows the US-centred Empire bloc of nations (in red) that subscribe to the US-invented Rules Based International Order. The countries in green do not recognize that order, and they continue to support de facto a UN-centred international system governed by international law.

There was a meeting a couple of years ago between the US and China where the two sides — pro-Empire and pro-Multipolarity — each used their own coded language to express what they had been conditioned, very differently, to believe to be in the best interests of world order and security. Clinton Fernandez, an Australian professor and former intelligence officer, recounts the event in his book Sub-Imperial Power:

AT A HIGH-LEVEL SUMMIT between the United States and China in March 2021, the US Secretary of State said he was ‘committed to leading with diplomacy to advance the interests of the United States and to strengthen the rules-based international order’. The director of China’s Foreign Affairs Commission countered by saying that China and the international community upheld ‘the United Nations–centred international system and the international order underpinned by international law, not what is advocated by a small number of countries of the so-called rules-based international order’.

China was essentially saying that the ‘rules-based international order’ was simply a euphemism for the will of the (US) Empire, and that China would fiercely oppose that Empire in favour of an ‘international order’ underpinned by international law (ie governed, at least ostensibly, in the interests of the people, not that of corporate wealth and power, and based on bilateral negotiations between autonomous nations, not the edicts of Empire).

This is perhaps the ultimate expression of the 21st century’s greatest “clash of ideologies”, one that could quite conceivably end in nuclear annihilation…

…click on the above link to read the rest…

Central Asia is the prime battlefield in the New Great Game

Central Asia is the prime battlefield in the New Great Game

So long as Russia and China remain the region’s dominant political and economic powers, the Central Asian heartland will remain a US and EU target for threats, bribes, and color revolutions.

Photo Credit: The Cradle

Samarkand, Uzbekistan – The historical Heartland – or Central Eurasia – already is, and will continue to be, the prime battlefield in the New Great Game, fought between the United States and the China-Russia strategic partnership.

The original Great Game pitted the British and Russian empires in the late 19th century, and in fact, never got away: it just metastasized into the US-UK entente versus the USSR, and, subsequently, the US-EU versus Russia.

According to the Mackinder-designed geopolitical game conceptualized by imperial Britain back in 1904, The Heartland is the proverbial “pivot of History,” and its re-energized 21st century historical role is as relevant as in centuries ago: a key driver of emerging multipolarity.

So it’s no wonder all major powers are at work in the Heartland/Central Eurasia: China, Russia, US, EU, India, Iran, Turkiye, and to a lesser extent, Japan. Four out of five Central Asian “stans” are full members of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO): Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan. And some, like Kazakhstan, may soon become members of BRICS+.

Map of Central Asia

The key direct geopolitical clash for influence across the Heartland pits the US against Russia and China on myriad political, economic, and financial fronts.

The imperial modus operandi privileges – what else – threats and ultimatums. Only four months ago, US emissaries from the State Department, Treasury, and Office of Foreign Affairs Control (OFAC) toured the Heartland bearing a whole package of “gifts,” as in blatant or thinly disguised threats. The key message: if you “help” or even trade with Russia in any way, you will be slapped with secondary sanctions.

…click on the above link to read the rest…

 

Why the End of the Petrodollar Spells Trouble for the US Regime

Why the End of the Petrodollar Spells Trouble for the US Regime

petrodollar

On January 17, the Saudi minister of finance, Mohammed Al-Jadaan, announced that the Saudi state is open to selling oil in currencies other than the dollar. “There are no issues with discussing how we settle our trade arrangements, whether it is in the US dollar, whether it is the euro, whether it is the Saudi riyal,” Al-Jadaan told Bloomberg TV.

If the Saudi regime does indeed embrace substantial trade in currencies other than the dollar as part of its oil-export business, this would signal a shift away from the dollar as the dominant currency in global oil payments. Or measured another way, this would signal the end of the so-called petrodollar.

But how large of a shift is this? With the increasingly frequent Saudi comments about trading in nondollar currencies, we’ve also seen an increasing number of pundits announcing the “collapse” of the dollar or the imminent implosion of the dollar’s currently outsized global power.

Will a shift away from the dollar in the global oil trade really lead to a big relative decline in the dollar? Probably and eventually. But a number of other dominoes would need to fall first, most especially the domino we call “Eurodollars.”

On the other hand, it would be foolish to simply dismiss the potential end of the Saudi preference for the dollar with hand-waving. The end of the petrodollar would indeed weaken the dollar, even if this would not be a mortal blow in itself. Moreover, it is especially foolhardy to ignore the status of the petrodollar because that status also has geopolitical implications. Saudi comments on the dollar signal that the Saudis no longer consider its alliance with the United States to be as important as it has been since the 1970s…

…click on the above link to read the rest…

An Empire of Denial

Is there a rise from the dead?

Despite claims to the contrary, we still live in an age of empires. The only difference this time is that the one dominating this planet is in full denial of this fact. No empire can avoid its fate however, and this one is of no exception either. In my previous post I’ve shown how Empires fail as they meet their fate at the end of their exponential growth period, but what are the ominous signs of this happening today? How long can the Empire mask its predicament by over-reliance on foreign resources, debt and constant territorial expansion? Is there a way to stop the unraveling, once the abundant flow of resources starts declining?

Finally, is there a way back for Empires from the land of the dead?

Empire State. Photo by Patrick Langwallner on Unsplash

In order to answer these questions, we have to understand what behavior has led up to this point. The key to understand this is that the overuse of resources to the point of unsustainability almost always lends a short term political advantage over those who are more reality conscious and think generations ahead. Thus the more unsustainable your actions are, the more successful you become — on the short term at least. This bidding game virtually guarantees that the Empire ends up overdoing things, resulting in overshoot: using natural resources and polluting Nature at rates well beyond the planet’s capacity to recover.

Lacking any meaningful — let alone politically acceptable — answer to this predicament, however, the Empire’s elite finds itself in a corner. The only way forward would be a rapid adaption and a radical cut-back on excess. Yet, elites cannot back down, else their rivals (both from within and outside) would immediately take advantage, threatening the Empire to plunge into chaos…

…click on the above link to read the rest…

Will the American Empire Collapse in Our Lifetime?

Will the American Empire Collapse in Our Lifetime?

All good things must come to an end.

Even the greatest of civilizations has an expiration date.

This happened to the likes of Ancient Greece and Rome, who were the most advanced civilizations of their respective epochs.

Once prosperous civilizations, eventually met their demise after years of economic and military decline. The arrogance, corruption, and myopia of their respective elites ushered in an irreversible phase of civilizational decline.

For centuries, historians have studied the causes of these civilizations’ respective declines. Elites of previous centuries did the best they could to understand the lessons of the past, and in turn, attempted to build political structures that would avoid similar fates of decline.

The Founding Fathers of the American Republic made sure to learn the lessons of Greece and Rome and create a system of government that would prevent many of the fatal mistakes these civilizations previously made.

While the American experiment has largely been successful, it is starting to go through a predictable phase of civilizational decay.

The past century has witnessed the American political class pursue policies that go against the very nature of the founding of the American Republic. Namely, the adherence to the principles of limited government.

The excessive domestic and military spending, the out of control monetary policy, the cultural decadence…..

Just some of the hallmarks of a civilization that’s clearly in a stage of decay.

It will take a massive awakening of the American populace to reverse course and prevent the country from falling down the predictable route of civilizational collapse.

The US will be no exception to this trend if things don’t reverse course anytime soon.

In the meantime, make sure to check out George Gammon’s video on how the American Empire could potentially collapse.

Putting all the Pieces Together

We start our podcast today more than 2,500 years ago at a time when the dominant superpower in the western world was the Achaemenid Empire of Persia.

Their civilization had reached an unfathomable level of wealth and sophistication; historical records show that, at peak, the Persian treasury had more than $300 BILLION in savings (in today’s money).

They had an intricate road network, a highly-functioning postal system, impressive engineering works, and had even invented a crude form of refrigeration and air conditioning.

Most of all they had a fearsome military. It was huge. And it was terrifying. Simply put, an invading Persian Army had never been defeated.

And yet, early in the 5th century BC, when they went to war against a rapidly rising power in Greece, the Persians suffered a humiliating defeat. Then again. And again. And again.

The losses changed the perception of their Empire forever. Practically overnight their reputation sank, and they were no longer viewed as a terrifying superpower able to dominate the world.

We’ve seen this story over and over again throughout history, from Ancient Rome to the Mongols to Imperial Portugal in the early 1800s.

Simply put, dominant superpowers almost invariably have an equally dominant, fearsome military that inspires awe and intimidation in the rest of the world… and especially in the superpower’s adversaries.

But superpowers have a life cycle. They rise, peak, and decline. And at some point during the decline, the military begins to show signs of weakness.

Often times there’s some specific event– something happens that’s so humiliating to the superpower that it shocks the world.

This is what happened to the Persians in 490 BC. And it’s what happened to the United States in 2021.

As a West Point graduate and US Army veteran, I still hold in my heart that the US military is the finest fighting force on the planet.

…click on the above link to read the rest…

The US Empire Is Accelerating Toward Global Conflict On Two Fronts

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

The Revolt of the Imagination, Part Three: Co-Creating the Future

The Revolt of the Imagination, Part Three: Co-Creating the Future

As I write these words, the Russo-Ukrainian war has raged for a week.  To a great many people, crises like these make the theme of my recent posts here—the potential of the human imagination—seem wholly irrelevant.  That’s a common mistake, but it’s still a mistake. To begin with, let’s please remember that wars and the political and economic crises that drive them are normal parts of human experience.  Granted, for the last three quarters of a century there’s been very little open warfare in the industrial world, but in the nonindustrial world—which is after all where most human beings live—insurgencies, civil wars, and wars between nations have been very nearly as common as ever.

The industrial nations have been relatively peaceful because they’ve been subject to the global hegemony of the United States.  That hegemony is cracking around us, and the Ukraine war puts the decline in American power into high relief. As something like 225,000 Russian troops drive deep into Ukraine, supported on the ground by tanks and artillery and from the air by waves of fighter-bombers and cruise missiles, and Ukranian military units and civilian irregulars confront them on battlefields scattered across Europe’s second largest country, the US response consists of moving a few token forces to countries well out of the line of fire, and imposing yet another round of financial sanctions aimed at Russian politicians—you know, the sort of meaningless gestures that have reliably failed to accomplish anything when used against other hostile nations for decades now.  It’s a good question why this response remains so rigidly glued in place, despite its abject failures…

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

The American Empire Self-Destructs, But Nobody Thought That It Would Happen This Fast

The American Empire Self-Destructs, But Nobody Thought That It Would Happen This Fast

Photograph Source: Phil Dolby – CC BY 2.0

Empires often follow the course of a Greek tragedy, bringing about precisely the fate that they sought to avoid. That certainly is the case with the American Empire as it dismantles itself in not-so-slow motion.

The basic assumption of economic and diplomatic forecasting is that every country will act in its own self-interest. Such reasoning is of no help in today’s world. Observers across the political spectrum are using phrases like “shooting themselves in their own foot” to describe U.S. diplomatic confrontation with Russia and allies alike. But nobody thought that The American Empire would self-destruct this fast.

For more than a generation the most prominent U.S. diplomats have warned about what they thought would represent the ultimate external threat: an alliance of Russia and China dominating Eurasia. America’s economic sanctions and military confrontation have driven these two countries  together, and are driving other countries into their emerging Eurasian orbit.

American economic and financial power was expected to avert this fate. During the half-century since the United States went off gold in 1971, the world’s central banks have operated on the Dollar Standard, holding their international monetary reserves in the form of U.S. Treasury securities, U.S. bank deposits and U.S. stocks and bonds. The resulting Treasury-bill Standard has enabled America to finance its foreign military spending and investment takeover of other countries simply by creating dollar IOUs. U.S. balance-of-payments deficits end up in the central banks of payments-surplus countries as their reserves, while Global South debtors need dollars to pay their bondholders and conduct their foreign trade.

This monetary privilege – dollar seignorage – has enabled U.S. diplomacy to impose neoliberal policies on the rest of the world, without having to use much military force of its own except to grab Near Eastern oil.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Ukraine Is A Sacrificial Pawn On The Imperial Chessboard

Ukraine Is A Sacrificial Pawn On The Imperial Chessboard

Listen to a reading of this article:

The war is not going well for Kyiv, and it would be unreasonable to expect that to change. As a vastly superior military force overwhelms the US client state, reality is in the process of crashing down hard in the face of western liberals who bought into the war propaganda that the brave, sexy comedian was leading an upset victory to kick Putin’s ass out of Ukraine.

Zelensky is now raging at NATO powers for refusing to intervene militarily against Russia, apparently having previously been given the impression that the US-centralized empire might risk its very existence defending its dear friends the Ukrainians from an invasion.

“Unfortunately, today there is a complete impression that it is time to give a funeral repast for something else: security guarantees and promises, determination of alliances, values that seem to be dead for someone,” Zelensky said Friday.

“All the people who will die starting from this day will also die because of you,” Ukraine’s president added. “Because of your weakness, because of your disunity.”

It must be hard, the process of learning that you were never actually a valued partner in western civilization’s fight for freedom and democracy. That you were always just one more sacrificial pawn on the imperial chessboard.

In a new article titled “U.S. and allies quietly prepare for a Ukrainian government-in-exile and a long insurgency“, The Washington Post reports that US officials anticipate Russia will reverse its early losses and successfully drive the Zelensky regime out of the country, after which “a long, bloody insurgency” is planned against the invaders backed by billions of dollars in US funding. 

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Perhaps The US Should Shut The Fuck Up About Respecting Other Countries’ Sovereignty

Perhaps The US Should Shut The Fuck Up About Respecting Other Countries’ Sovereignty

Listen to a reading of this article:

So Putin has finally made a move, issuing a decree formally recognizing the sovereignty of the separatist-held Donbas territories in eastern Ukraine known as the DPR and LPR. Russian troops are being deployed to the region in what Putin describes as a “peacekeeping” mission amid a dramatic spike in ceasefire violations.

“The recognition of the DPR and LPR means Russia’s withdrawal from the Minsk agreements, which were signed in 2014 and 2015 to establish the ceasefire in eastern Ukraine,” writes Antiwar’s Dave Decamp. “Under the Minsk agreements, Ukraine agreed to cede some autonomy to the DPR and LPR. Russia has grown increasingly frustrated over the fact that Kyiv hasn’t fulfilled its end of the agreement.”

 

Needless to say, the US empire has not been happy about this move. President Biden has already imposed strict sanctions on the DPR and LPR, saying Moscow’s recognition of their independence “threatens the peace, stability, sovereignty, and territorial integrity of Ukraine, and thereby constitutes an unusual and extraordinary threat to the national security and foreign policy of the United States.”

“Tomorrow we will be announcing new sanctions on Russia in response to their breach of international law and attack on Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity,” White House spokesperson Jen Psaki added.

“This decision represents a complete rejection of Russia’s commitments under the Minsk agreements, directly contradicts Russia’s claimed commitment to diplomacy, and is a clear attack on Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity,” adds Secretary of State Tony Blinken.

Other member states of the empire were equally upset about this unforgivable violation of Ukraine’s sovereignty.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Stockman: “We’re Not Useful Idiots!”

Stockman: “We’re Not Useful Idiots!”

Honest injun. We’re not useful idiots here at Contra Corner!

Actually, we thought it up all by our lonesome! Well, we’ll grant we did have a fair amount of help from Google, which insofar as we know works for the CIA, not the Russian SVR (foreign intelligence service).

In any event, at the very center of the crisis is the Washington claim that the rule of law and the sanctity of sovereign borders are on the line in Ukraine and that, therefore, Russia must not be allowed to encroach a single inch into sacrosanct Ukrainian territory.

That is to say, it is not a matter of America’s national security interest in the precise Ukrainian geography, which happens to lie cheek-by-jowl on Russia’s border, but the very governance of the entire planet: Conform to the “rule of law” as articulated by Washington or get sanctioned, outlawed, pariah-ed, and even invaded, if worst comes to worst.

We hear this refrain repeatedly from Secy Blinkey and national security advisor Snake Sullivan. But we find ourselves doubled over with laughter each time, knowing practically by heart the list of coups, regime change plots, invasions and occupations Washington has foisted upon other sovereign nations over the last 70 years.

For want of doubt, however, we recently Googled in pursuit of the exact list and came up with a systematic study by a young scholar named Lindsey A. O’Rourke. Here’s her summary conclusion:

Between 1947 and 1989, the United States tried to change other nations’ governments 72 times; That’s a remarkable number. It includes 66 covert operations and six overt ones.

…click on the above link to read the rest of the article…

Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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