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Why Complex Systems Collapse Faster

Why Complex Systems Collapse Faster All civilizations collapse. The challenge is how to slow it down enough to prolong our happiness. Temple of the Great Jaguar, GuatemalaDENNIS JARVIS During the first century of our era, the Roman philosopher Lucius Annaeus Seneca wrote to his friend Lucilius that life would be much happier if things would […]

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2022: The Year of Breakdown

2022: The Year of Breakdown In other words, our economy and society have been optimized for failure. If we look at the fragility and instability of essential systems, it’s clear that 2022 will be the year of breakdown. Let’s start by reviewing how systems break down, a process I’ve simplified into the graphic below. 1. Regardless […]

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Joseph Tainter on the Dynamics of the Collapse of Civilization

Joseph Tainter on the Dynamics of the Collapse of Civilization

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#216. It’s now

#216. It’s now TIMING THE MOMENT OF FRACTURE When and how can we know that a change of direction is fundamental and lasting, rather than a temporary departure from established trends? That, in essence, is the call we need to make now. Far from being “transitory”, current conditions – including rising inflation, surging energy prices and […]

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The Coming Trucking Apocalypse – What’s Causing It?

The Coming Trucking Apocalypse – What’s Causing It? “While you’re sleeping, they’re hauling.  Have you thanked a trucker?” – Anonymous. Even though the Coronavirus has wreaked havoc in the lives of people worldwide, truckers have been struggling to keep the country moving.  Global lockdowns, massive shifts in consumer spending and supply chain issues, raw material […]

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Charles Hugh Smith: The System Will Fall Apart

Charles Hugh Smith: The System Will Fall Apart

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A Self-Fulfilling Prophecy: Systemic Collapse and Pandemic Simulation

A SELF-FULFILLING PROPHECY: SYSTEMIC COLLAPSE AND PANDEMIC SIMULATION A year and a half after the arrival of Virus, some may have started wondering why the usually unscrupulous ruling elites decided to freeze the global profit-making machine in the face of a pathogen that targets almost exclusively the unproductive (over 80s). Why all the humanitarian zeal? […]

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Tao of Degrowth

Tao of Degrowth I am a degrowther and a doomer but this is not what your first reaction indicates.  We are taught to be optimistic and so forth.  People loath pessimist and doomers.  People tire of people who cry wolf constantly.  This is what the doom movement has done for decades now.  There is some […]

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Welcome to the 21st Century Sequel of the Catastrophic 1600s

Welcome to the 21st Century Sequel of the Catastrophic 1600s As the chart below on ‘how systems collapse’ illustrates, the loss of stabilizing buffers goes unnoticed until the entire structure collapses under its own weight. Disruptive extremes of weather: check Rising geopolitical tensions with no diplomatic resolution: check Multiplying scarcities in essential commodities: check Domestic disorder accelerates as […]

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2021 is Already Optimized for Failure

2021 is Already Optimized for Failure One sure way to identify a system “optimized for failure” is if all the insiders are absolutely confident the system is “optimized for my success”. I often discuss optimization here because it offers an insightful window into how systems become fragile and break down. When we optimize something, we’re aiming to get […]

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The pandemic as the end of consumerism. Everything that’s happening is happening because it had to happen

The pandemic as the end of consumerism. Everything that’s happening is happening because it had to happen  These Medieval ladies look like fashion models. With their splendid dresses in silk brocade, they are displaying their wealth in an age, the 14th century, in which Europe was enjoying a period of economic growth and prosperity. They […]

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Charles Hugh Smith: What Would A Better System Look Like?

Charles Hugh Smith: What Would A Better System Look Like? Introducing the ‘Hacker’s Teleology’ Writer, philosopher and long-time contributor to PeakProsperity.com, Charles Hugh Smith, returns to the podcast to explain the new socio-economic model he has just introduced to the world through his new book A Hacker’s Teleology: Sharing the Wealth of Our Shrinking Planet. The […]

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Collapse Is A Process, Not An Event

Collapse Is A Process, Not An Event How does one ‘get ahead’ during hard times? Look, I’m a systems guy.  I think in systems terms.  You should as well. Why? Because we’re entering a period of time when the major systems that have supported humanity are going to fail. Or, put more accurately: they are already failing. […]

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This Is How It Ends: All That Is Solid Melts Into Air

This Is How It Ends: All That Is Solid Melts Into Air While the Federal Reserve and the Billionaire Class push the stock market to new highs to promote a false facade of prosperity, everyday life will fall apart. How will the status quo collapse? An open conflict–a civil war, an insurrection, a coup–appeals to our […]

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Preparing for the end of the world as we know it

Preparing for the end of the world as we know it For many Indigenous people, the collapse of our current system is not necessarily bad news. Image: Vanessa de Oliveira Andreotti, all rights reserved Gesturing Towards Decolonial Futures (GTDF) is a collective of researchers, artists, educators, activists and Indigenous knowledge keepers from the Global North […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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