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The evolution of credit and debt in 2023
The evolution of credit and debt in 2023 The evidence strongly suggests that a combined interest rate, economic and currency crisis for the US and its western alliance will continue in 2023. This article focuses on credit, its constraints, and why quantitative easing has already crowded out private sector activity. Adjusting M2 money supply for […]
What Happens If The Fed Doesn’t Capitulate On Interest Rates?
What Happens If The Fed Doesn’t Capitulate On Interest Rates? In the past stock markets used to rely on the innovation and profit reports of individual companies, and while there were sometimes all encompassing events that would push equities in one direction or another, in the last decade there has been only one factor that ever really […]
ECB Holds Emergency Meeting To Discuss Market Turmoil
ECB Holds Emergency Meeting To Discuss Market Turmoil Last week, shortly after the ECB’s latest meeting disappointed markets and concluded without a discussion of Europe’s growing bond market fragmentation (which is to be expected since QE – the glue that held the Euro area’s bond market together – is ending) and which has since sent […]
“Minsky Moments Almost Certainly Await”: Nomura Fears ‘Collateral’ Damage From The QE-to-QT Transition
“Minsky Moments Almost Certainly Await”: Nomura Fears ‘Collateral’ Damage From The QE-to-QT Transition “Minsky Moments” almost certainly await, warns Nomura’s Charlie McElligott in his latest note as he reflects on a massive week ahead for markets. With Powell testimony and bunches of Fed speakers, along with US economic releases headlined by the market’s most important datapoint in the […]
The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in Canada “Pause” after Bank of Canada Ends QE, Starts Unwinding its Balance Sheet
The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in Canada “Pause” after Bank of Canada Ends QE, Starts Unwinding its Balance Sheet Home prices fell in Vancouver, Ottawa, and Montreal; were flat in Toronto, other cities for the first time since 2019. So this is something that hasn’t happened in the Canadian housing market since 2019: The Teranet-National […]
Waypoints on the road to currency destruction — and how to avoid it
Waypoints on the road to currency destruction — and how to avoid it The few economists who recognise classical human subjectivity see the dangers of a looming currency collapse. It can easily be avoided by halting currency expansion and cutting government spending so that their budgets balance. No democratic government nor any of its agencies […]
We’re Living in a Chaos Economy. Here’s How to End It.
We’re Living in a Chaos Economy. Here’s How to End It. The Federal Reserve has been increasing the money supply at an explosive rate. The federal budget, deficits, and the trade deficit are record levels. Governments, both foreign and domestic, have locked down people, restricting production and consumption. How should this be viewed by an […]
Are We Really Crazy Enough to Believe This Is Going to Work?
Are We Really Crazy Enough to Believe This Is Going to Work? Unbeknownst to the giddy participants, they’re not just betting on the omnipotence of the Fed Politburo, they’re also making a max-leverage bet that “the madness of crowds” will never end. Imagine an economy so dominated by its central bank that all markets hang […]
The Biggest Federal Reserve Scandal
The Biggest Federal Reserve Scandal Following revelations that Federal Reserve officials made trades in financial assets while the Fed was taking extraordinary efforts to “stimulate” the economy, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ordered a review of the Fed’s ethics rules. While these trades appear problematic, they pale in comparison to the biggest Fed scandal — […]
EU To Propose Exempting “Green” Bonds From Deficit And Debt Limit Calculations
EU To Propose Exempting “Green” Bonds From Deficit And Debt Limit Calculations Yesterday, the ECB announced that in Q4, it would “modestly lower the pace of net asset purchases under the PEPP than in the previous two quarters” (even as Lagarde scrambled to convince markets not to call it tapering) with Reuters sources adding that “policymakers set a monthly target of between […]
Rabobank: The Market Has Become “Springtime For Hitler”
Rabobank: The Market Has Become “Springtime For Hitler” Buy-all-the-stocks and Boom? Readers will know my view that we are living in a black comedy. There is plenty of evidence of this, but US President Biden saying it is the Taliban who are in the midst of “an existential crisis” takes the biscuit today given the US is charging […]
Game Over
Game Over Game over. Occam’s Razor: The simplest explanation is often the best one. Central banks will never extract themselves. Whether they ultimately end QE is besides the point. They won’t reduce their balance sheets. They can’t. Powell’s “performance” yesterday was not an accident. He’s been running on the same theme of offering absolutely zero […]
Quantitative easing: how the world got hooked on magicked-up money
© Chronicle / Alamy Stock Photo Quantitative easing: how the world got hooked on magicked-up money Going cold turkey would finish off a dysfunctional global financial system that’s now hopelessly addicted to emergency infusions. The only solution is surgery on the system itself The world economy is a mess. The system, notionally governed by the […]
Bank of Canada Tapers Weekly QE To C$2BN, Sees Lift Off In “Sometime In Second Half Of 2022”
Bank of Canada Tapers Weekly QE To C$2BN, Sees Lift Off In “Sometime In Second Half Of 2022” As expected, the Bank of Canada took another step to normalize the emergency levels of stimulus, when it announced that it is tapering its bond purchases from C$3BN weekly to C$2BN, in what it hopes to telegraph […]
