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Stock Market Leverage Spikes in Historic Manner: Another WTF Chart of a Zoo that Has Gone Nuts
Stock Market Leverage Spikes in Historic Manner: Another WTF Chart of a Zoo that Has Gone Nuts In an investment environment where nothing matters anymore – until it suddenly does. In the current craze that encompasses everything from sneakers and NFTs to stocks, where valuations don’t matter because of widespread certainty that valuations will be even […]
Introducing the “Everything Bubble” Sentiment-o-Meter
Introducing the “Everything Bubble” Sentiment-o-Meter Since human wetware remains stuck in OS1.01, we can predict a remarkable reversal. The “Everything Bubble” has been a sight to behold. With central banks providing trillions to the big players and margin debt enabling small punters to leverage up, the hot money rotation has been a real merry-go-round as one asset and […]
No One Gets Out Of Here Alive
NO ONE GETS OUT OF HERE ALIVE “The seasons of time offer no guarantees. For modern societies, no less than for all forms of life, transformative change is discontinuous. For what seems an eternity, history goes nowhere – and then it suddenly flings us forward across some vast chaos that defies any mortal effort to […]
Stock-Market Margin Debt Plummets Most Since Q4 2008
Stock-Market Margin Debt Plummets Most Since Q4 2008 Wow, that was fast. Margin calls. During the ugly stock-market December, whose ugliness bottomed out on Christmas Eve, a nasty November, and the ugliest October anyone can remember, margin debt plunged by a combined $93.8 billion, the most since Q4 2008, after Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy. […]
Stock-Market Margin Debt Plunges Most Since Lehman Moment
Stock-Market Margin Debt Plunges Most Since Lehman Moment It gets serious. Margin calls? No one knows what the total leverage in the stock market is. But we know it’s huge and has surged in past years, based on the limited data we have, and from reports by various brokers about their “securities-based loans” (SBLs), and […]
BLINKING RED BUBBLE LIGHT: Stock Market Investor Margin Debt Reaches New High
BLINKING RED BUBBLE LIGHT: Stock Market Investor Margin Debt Reaches New High The world is standing at the edge of the financial abyss while most investors are entirely in the dark. However, specific indicators suggest the market is one giant RED BLINKING LIGHT. One of these indicators is the amount of margin debt held by […]
How the Asset Bubble Could End – Part 2
How the Asset Bubble Could End – Part 2 Contradictory Signals Special antennae that help traders catch upcoming opportunities. Available from the same outfit that sells the soup-cooling spoon (Acme Inc). There is just one more positioning indicator we want to mention: after surging by around $126 billion since March of 2016, NYSE margin debt […]
Stock Market Lazes Happily on a Powerful Time Bomb, and the Fed Begins to Worry
Stock Market Lazes Happily on a Powerful Time Bomb, and the Fed Begins to Worry Pointing at “excesses,” “distortions,” and “imbalances.” Margin debt in the stock market hit another record, $561 billion at the end of October, up 16% from a year ago, the New York Stock Exchange reported on Tuesday. Margin debt and the […]
Short Squeeze, Liquidity, Margin Debt and Deflation
Short Squeeze, Liquidity, Margin Debt and Deflation Some things you CAN see coming, in life and certainly in finance. Quite a few things, actually. Once you understand we’re on a long term downward path, also both in life and in finance, and you’re not exclusively looking at short term gains, it all sort of falls […]
The Margin Debt Time-Bomb
The Margin Debt Time-Bomb A terrible threat created by terrible decision-making What is perhaps the greatest risk to individual investors these days? Is it the potential for a decline in corporate earnings based on a slowing global economy? Is it that current valuation levels in both equities and fixed income instruments are much nearer historic […]
How Much More Extreme Can Markets Get?
How Much More Extreme Can Markets Get? These charts help us understand that a top is not just price, but a reversal in extremes of margin debt, valuation and sentiment. In blow-off tops, extremes of valuation, complacency and margin debt can always shoot beyond previous extremes to new extremes. This is why guessing when the blow-off […]
DANGER WILL ROBINSON
DANGER WILL ROBINSON It’s funny how the truth sometimes leaks out from the government. I’m guessing that Mr. Ted Berg will not be working for the Office of Financial Research much longer. This new agency was created by the Dodd Frank Law and is supposed to protect consumers from the evil Wall Street banks. But […]
