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Fourth Turning 2022 — Bad Moon Rising

FOURTH TURNING 2022 – BAD MOON RISING “Try to unlearn the obsessive fear of death (and the anxious quest for death avoidance) that pervades linear thinking in nearly every modern society. The ancients knew that, without periodic decay and death, nature cannot complete its full round of biological and social change. Without plant death, weeds […]

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It’s a Fourth Turning: What Did You Expect?

IT’S A FOURTH TURNING: WHAT DID YOU EXPECT? “Reflect on what happens when a terrible winter blizzard strikes. You hear the weather warning but probably fail to act on it. The sky darkens. Then the storm hits with full fury, and the air is a howling whiteness. One by one, your links to the machine […]

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A Look Back at Nixon’s Infamous Monetary Decision

A Look Back at Nixon’s Infamous Monetary Decision A half century ago one of the most disastrous monetary decisions in U.S. history was committed by Richard Nixon.  In a television address, the president declared that the nation would no longer redeem internationally dollars for gold.  Since the dollar was the world’s reserve currency, Nixon’s closing of […]

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Culmination of Fed Interventions Inflates Historic “Everything Bubble”

Culmination of Fed Interventions Inflates Historic “Everything Bubble” via HistoryDaily We reported on last year’s partial deflation of the “everything bubble,” aided in part by the COVID-19 pandemic and erratic response to it. But it could be a bit premature to consider that partial crash a singular event, followed by another period of economic recovery. In fact […]

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Recovery or Renewal? Time for an economic rethink

Recovery or Renewal? Time for an economic rethink A recent study of long-term fluctuations in economic growth published in Nature Scientific Reports suggests both danger and opportunity in the emerging debate about post Covid-19 economic recovery. In this blog, Craig D. Rye and Tim Jackson outline their findings. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects the global economy to […]

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Unstoppable: The Greatest Depression and the Reverse Wealth Effect

Unstoppable: The Greatest Depression and the Reverse Wealth Effect We are entering The Greatest Depression because there is no exit. I’ve endeavored to explain why The Greatest Depression is unstoppable in recent posts: The Covid-19 Dominoes Fall: The World Is Insolvent March 16, 2020 Pandemic Pandemonium: The Tides of Globalization and Financialization Reverse March 31, 2020 Here’s […]

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Great Depression to our Depression: Debt Deflation Doom Loop Lessons

Great Depression to our Depression: Debt Deflation Doom Loop Lessons We are now in the crosshairs of a mega debt deflationary bankruptcy phase. Some of our sharpest forefathers left us illustrations to better understand how this cycle operates. It helps that many both actually lived through and studied the last one fresh off it happening. […]

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Rickards: This Time IS Different

Rickards: This Time IS Different Stocks stumbled out of the gate today, at least partially on fears about a resurgence in coronavirus cases. South Korea, which did an excellent job containing the virus, has reported a new batch of cases. Japan and Singapore also reported new cases. Infections are increasing in Germany as well, where […]

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Investing Legend Sees A Second Great Depression For Stocks By 2023

Investing Legend Sees A Second Great Depression For Stocks By 2023 The name of Kiril Sokoloff, author of the weekly WILTW (What I Learned This Week) newsletter through his advisory firm 13D Global Strategy & Research, needs no introduction on this website for the simple reason that over the past few years we have often published […]

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Mr. President: Open the Economy Now – Martin Armstrong

Mr. President: Open the Economy Now – Martin Armstrong Legendary financial and geopolitical cycle analyst Martin Armstrong says shutting down the economy is far worse that the effects of the Wuhan China virus. Armstrong says, “This is just scare mongering, and there is another agenda going on. The WHO is part of the UN, and […]

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The Lesson of a Crash that Cured Itself

The Lesson of a Crash that Cured Itself If a government wishes to alleviate, rather than aggravate, a depression, its only valid course is laissez-faire—to leave the economy alone. Only if there is no interference, direct or threatened, with prices, wage rates and business liquidation, will the necessary adjustment proceed with smooth dispatch. — Murray […]

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Pandemic-Related Unemployment and Shutdowns Are a Recipe for Social Unrest

Pandemic-Related Unemployment and Shutdowns Are a Recipe for Social Unrest That’s a huge concern as forecasters expect the U.S. unemployment rate in the months to come to surpass that seen during the depths of the Great Depression. Could the stalled economy we’ve inflicted on ourselves in our frantic efforts to battle the COVID-19 pandemic lead […]

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The Crash Of 2020 Is Now Worse Than The Great Depression

The Crash Of 2020 Is Now Worse Than The Great Depression Back in December, someone in China made bat soup (at least according to the officially accepted narrative that doesn’t get you banned on Facebook, Twitter, etc), and the rest is history: in the next three months, the global equity market has lost $24 trillion […]

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Nothing to Fear But Fear Itself

NOTHING TO FEAR BUT FEAR ITSELF “So, first of all, let me assert my firm belief that the only thing we have to fear is…fear itself — nameless, unreasoning, unjustified terror which paralyzes needed efforts to convert retreat into advance. In every dark hour of our national life a leadership of frankness and of vigor […]

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Spirits in the Material World

SPIRITS IN THE MATERIAL WORLD There is no political solutionTo our troubled evolutionHave no faith in constitutionThere is no bloody revolution  The Police – Spirits in the Material World As I was driving home from work last week, an almost forty-year-old song began emanating from my radio. I’ve always appreciated the music of The Police, […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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